Bears vs. Redskins MNF Prediction
The Bears are laying 5 points on the road to the Redskins on Monday Night Football. Is that too big of a spread to hand a home dog in prime time or will Washington struggle?
489 Chicago Bears (-5) at 490 Washington Redskins (+5); O/U 41
8:15 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 23, 2019
FedExField, Landover, MD
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Bears are receiving 56% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Chicago Bears Fantasy Spin
Mitchell Trubisky completed 16-of-27 passes for 120 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions while scrambling once for eight yards Sunday in Chicago’s Week 2 victory over the Broncos. Trubisky was well-protected by his line, not taking any sacks. The third-year signal-caller averaged a meager 4.4 yards per attempt, a predictable outcome playing on the road against a stout Denver secondary. He picked a great time to unleash his longest completion of the afternoon, finding Allen Robinson open for a 25-yard pick-up in the closing seconds, setting up the eventual game-winning kick by Eddie Pineiro. Fantasy owners were hoping Trubisky would take the next step forward after his breakout 2018, but that hasn't been the case through two weeks. The Bears will take a 1-1 record into their Week 3 matchup at Washington. That will be the Monday night game.
Washington Redskins Fantasy Spin
Case Keenum completed 26-of-37 passes for 221 yards and two touchdowns in Washington's Week 2 loss to the Cowboys. His box score may be respectable, but Keenum struggled immensely to make reads against pressure, even missing rookie Terry McLaurin running wide open downfield before taking a hit and launching a shallow incompletion between the hash marks. Keenum has held up well as a back-end starter through two weeks (56-of-82 for 601 yards and five scores) given the circumstances, but it's only a matter of time until No. 15 overall pick Dwayne Haskins takes over as long as the Redskins continue to falter. Keenum's a tough pill to swallow even in 2-QB leagues against Chicago's swarming defense in Week 3.
NFL Betting Trends
The Bears are 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 games versus an opponent with a losing record and is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games.
The Redskins have failed to cover the spread in their last four home games and is 1-5 ATS in their last six conference matchups.
If I trusted Mitchell Trubisky to move the ball efficiently, I wouldn’t blink laying the points against a below-average Washington team. That said, five points is a lot to hand a home team in prime time playing a quarterback that has been dreadful. I don’t expect the Redskins to move the ball much on the Bears’ defense but Washington has more talent on its defense that what it has shown the first two games. The Bears are winless in their last five games versus the Redskins while the underdog has cashed in six of the previous eight meetings between these two teams.
NFL Week 3 Prediction: Washington Redskins +5