Saints vs. Rams Total Prediction
The Saints and Rams will play a rematch of last season’s NFC championship on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET, only this time the game will be played in L.A. Will the two teams light up the scoreboard or will the matchup turn into a sneaky under play for bettors?
283 New Orleans Saints (+2) at 284 Los Angeles Rams (-2); O/U 52
4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 15, 2019
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Rams are receiving 54% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
New Orleans Saints Fantasy Spin
Drew Brees completed 32-of-43 passes for 370 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception in the Saints' 30-28, Week 1 win over the Texans Monday night. Brees attempted one pass more than 20 yards down the field and was his usual surgical self in the intermediate range, hitting Michael Thomas 10 times for 123 yards. However, Brees' two touchdown passes were 10- and 14-yard hookups with Taysom Hill and Tre'Quan Smith of all people. The Saints got this win without their heavyweight offensive stars finding the end zone. Brees had a horrendous red-zone pick in the first quarter but obviously overcame it to engineer a win. Brees will be a borderline QB1 next week on the road in a date with the Rams.
Los Angeles Rams Fantasy Spin
When asked how he felt about splitting carries with Malcolm Brown in Sunday's Week 1 victory over the Panthers, Todd Gurley said, "Felt good." Gurley led the Rams with 103 yards from scrimmage in Sunday's season-opening win at Carolina but didn't seem particularly pleased about his usage, logging just 15 touches to Malcolm Brown's 11. While it may be jarring to see Gurley—a three-time All-Pro selection and one of the league's highest earners at his position—reduced to a committee role, Sunday's split was consistent with how the Rams employed him during last year's postseason. Maybe that's for the best given Gurley's chronic knee issues, which led to him taking a backseat to C.J. Anderson down the stretch last year. Even if it wasn't the workload he anticipated, Gurley was extremely efficient against the Panthers, cruising to a healthy 6.9 yards per carry in the winning effort. Assuming the Rams continue to use him in tandem with Brown, Touchdown Todd is probably best viewed as an RB2 going forward.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 6-1 in the Saints’ last seven games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The under is 4-1 in the Rams’ last five games played in the second week of the season.
The over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams when the Rams are the host (either St. Louis or Los Angeles). The over is also 5-1 in the Rams’ last six home games, is 4-1 in their last five games in L.A. when hosting a team with a winning road record and is 7-2 in their last nine games played in the month of September. On the other side, the over has cashed in seven of the Saints’ last nine games played in September and is 4-1 in their last five games after playing on a Sunday following a Monday night game.
NFL Week 2 Prediction: Saints/Rams OVER 52