Broncos Season Win Total Prediction
Thanks to a putrid offense and, eventually, a checked-out defense, the Denver Broncos stumbled to a 5-11 record in 2017. After signing Case Keenum to man the controls this offseason, will the Broncos rebound to win at least seven games in 2018?
Denver Broncos Betting Odds
According to oddsmakers, the Broncos' win total has been set at over/under 7 games, with the over carrying juice of 5/7 and the under checking in at 11/10. Denver is also 35/1 to win the Super Bowl, 15/1 to win the AFC title, and 4/1 to win the AFC West, which gives the Broncos the worst odds to win the division.
Check out updated 2018 Super Bowl and conference title odds
Offseason Additions
Keenum was the biggest addition this offseason, as he takes over under center for a team that has yet to figure out how to replace Peyton Manning. Receiver Kenny Bell, cornerback Tramaine Brock, safety Su'a Cravens, punter Marquette King, offensive tackles Jared Veldheer and Andres Knappe, as well as defensive tackles DeShawn Williams and Clinton McDonald, were acquired either in free agency or via trades.
Meanwhile, in the draft, John Elway used the fifth overall pick to select NC State defensive end, Bradley Chubb. Elway then went with back-to-back picks on offense, landing SMU receiver Courtland Sutton in the second round and Oregon running back Royce Freeman in the third. He then went back to defense with the 99th overall pick, taking Boston College cornerback Isaac Yadom. In the fourth, the Broncos selected Iowa linebacker Josey Jewell with the 106th pick and Penn State receiver DaeSean Hamilton with the 113th selection.
Offseason Departures
Denver cut running back C.J. Anderson and did not re-sign receiver Cody Latimer, who signed with the Giants. Defensive lineman Jared Crick also remains a free agent after not re-signing with the team and the same goes for running back Jamaal Charles. Allen Barbre remains a free agent as well.
Broncos Season Win Total Prediction
The Broncos are one of the most difficult team to project because they had so much turnover from a year ago. On one hand, they've dramatically upgraded the most important position on the field going from Trevor Siemian to Keenum. On the other, the offensive line remains a major question mark (Veldheer struggled badly in Arizona last season), as does the running game and the tight end position. Yes, Keenum gives the Broncos a boost and there's a new face at running back with Freeman. Those things don't automatically mean more wins in Denver.
Then again, the defense is good enough for the Broncos to compete in a wide-open AFC West. OC Bill Musgrave also vowed this offseason to simplify his offense and make it more player-friendly based on his players' strengths. Again, that all sounds good but what does it mean for Denver's win total?
Let me get off the pot: I think the Broncos' win total is perfect at 7. They have some layups this season in the Jets, Cardinals , nd Browns, but they also face a couple of projected top-5 opponents and four teams that could wind up being top-10 foes. Given all the question marks that remain on offense, I'm going to take the under seven but I feel like even if I predict the over this thing will wind up with a push at 7.
Denver Broncos Season Win Total Prediction: Under 7