Tyler Higbee SBLIII Prop Predictions
How many total receptions, total receiving yards and total receiving yards on his first reception will Rams tight end Tyler Higbee record in Super Bowl 53? We make predictions on those props, as well as how far his longest reception will be as part of our SBLIII prediction series.
101 New England Patriots at 102 Los Angeles Rams
6:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, February 3, 2019
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Patriots are 2.5-point favorites to beat the Rams. The total, meanwhile, sits at 56.5 points. As of this writing, 80% of the public betting tickets are on the Patriots to cover the point spread.
Tyler Higbee just completed his third season with the Rams and played all 16 games for a third consecutive year. He caught 24 passes on 34 targets for 292 yards with two touchdowns and a fumbled lost. His longest reception this season (36) was in line with his longest receptions in previous years, which were 38 (2017) and 31 (2016) yards. That information is useful when it comes to predicting how far his longest reception will be in Super Bowl 53.
Tyler Higbee Super Bowl Prop Predictions
Higbee averaged 2.06 targets per game during the regular season and 1.50 receptions for 18.25 yards. That said, he saw four targets in each of his playoff games, catching two passes versus the Cowboys and all four versus the Saints, for one touchdown. He racked up 30 yards receiving versus Dallas and 25 yards against New Orleans.
Tyler Higbee Total Receptions: O/U 2
Tyler Higbee Total Receiving Yards: O/U 22.5
Tyler Higbee Total Receiving Yards on First Reception: O/U 10.5
Tyler Higbee Longest Reception: O/U 13.5
I’m going to toss out the last two props because I don’t see value in those, but I do like “Over 2” and “Over 22.5” for Higbee’s total receptions and total receiving yards. If we assume that he’ll see four targets versus New England, just as he saw against Dallas and New Orleans, he’ll be right in the range of catching 2-4 passes. Yes, he only averaged 18.25 yards per game during the regular season, but he cleared 22.5 in both of his two playoff games, which is an indication that Sean McVay is getting the young tight end more involved.