Bills vs. Chiefs Prediction
The Bills and Chiefs will play a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game when the two teams meet in the Divisional round of the NFL playoffs on Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET. With the Chiefs laying 1.5 points and the total sitting at 54 points, what’s the best bet on the board?
317 Buffalo Bills (+1.5) at 318 Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5); o/u 54
6:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 23, 2022
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
Josh Allen completed 21-of-25 passes for 308 yards and five touchdowns in the Bills' 47-17, Wild Card Round win over the Patriots, adding six carries for 66 additional yards. Excluding the end-of-game kneeldowns, the Bills scored touchdowns on all seven of their possessions, running the Patriots out of the building as they prepare for a likely Divisional Round showdown with the Chiefs. It was one of the best offensive performances in postseason history, with Allen becoming the first-ever playoff quarterback to post 300-plus passing yards, five-plus aerial scores and 60-plus yards rushing. The Pats had zero answer for a quarterback bowling over defenders like Cam Newton on the ground and shooting lasers through the air. It was the kind of dual-threat masterpiece the Bills will need every round as they eye their first AFC championship since 1993.
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
NFL Network's James Palmer reports Clyde Edwards-Helaire (shoulder) isn't expected to be on a snap count in Sunday's Divisional Round against Buffalo. The Chiefs removed Edwards-Helaire from the injury report after he practiced fully throughout the week. The second-year back shouldn't have any restrictions in his return to the lineup, but his pass game role is in question after Jerick McKinnon's breakout against the Steelers in the Wild Card round. The Chiefs are likely to feature Edwards-Helaire on early downs, with McKinnon sticking as the third-down back.
NFL Divisional Round Betting Prediction
The Bills are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games at Arrowhead Stadium, while the road team is 9-3 against the number in the last 12 meetings between these two teams. The Bills are also 4-0-1 against the spread in their last five games overall, are 6-2 against the number in their last eight games as an underdog and are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog. On the other side, the Chiefs are just 4-11 against the spread in their last 15 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game and are 7-15 against the number in their last 22 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND BETTING PREDICTIONS: BUFFALO BILLS +1.5