NFC Championship Odds
The first ticket to the Super Bowl will be punched in the NFC Championship as the Atlanta Falcons host the Green Bay Packers today at 3:05PM ET.
According to the oddsmakers at BetDSI, the Falcons are favored at home in today’s game. Atlanta is getting odds of -6 points against the Packers, while the over/under total is listed at 60.5 points. Opening odds had Atlanta as a 4.5-point favorite. The spread dipped to 4 points briefly before making the climb up to 6, its peak. The public wagers for the game are going with Green Bay. Currently, 62 percent of the wagers are on the Packers with the points. These two did meet back on Oct. 30, with Atlanta getting a 33-32 win at home as a 3-point favorite. The home team has won three straight in the series, but the road team has covered in all three games.
The Packers come in very hot, winners of eight straight, including a 34-31 victory at top-seeded Dallas last week. The Packers have also covered in seven of those eight wins thanks largely to Aaron Rodgers. The veteran QB is in one of his best stretches in his career. He had a regular season that saw him throw for 4,428 yards and 40 touchdowns with just 7 interceptions. In this 8-game stretch he has 21 touchdowns passes with just 1 interception. He has thrown for over 300 yards in five of those games. The Packers have now scored at least 30 points in six straight games but the team does have injury concerns at receiver. Jordy Nelson is dealing with fractured ribs from the playoff opener, but he is listed as just questionable for this game. Devante Adams is dealing with a sprained ankle and is also questionable. Those two combined for 172 receptions for 2,254 yards and 26 touchdowns this season. Their presence is big as Green Bay lacks much of a run game, averaging just 103.5 yards per game on the ground. Defensively, Green Bay allows 24 points and 367.6 yards per game. Their pass defense is really suspect, allowing 271.9 yards per game. They ranked 31st in pass defense during the regular season.
Despite being at home, Atlanta has flown under the radar somewhat coming into this game, due to the play of Rodgers. However, the Falcons are certainly quite hot as well, winning five straight and six of their last seven. Atlanta’s offense is as good as any in the NFL. The Falcons average 33.9 points and 416.2 yards per game. They have scored at least 33 points in five straight, including a 36-20 win over the Seahawks last week. Matt Ryan may be the NFL MVP this year, as he threw for 4,944 yards and 38 touchdowns with 7 interceptions during the season. He had 338 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions in last week’s playoff win. One big concern for Ryan will be the status of Julio Jones, who is battling turf toe. Jones is listed as probable, but was clearly hampered late in last week’s game. Along with Ryan, Atlanta also has a pair of dynamic backs in Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. The two ran for a combined 1,599 yards and 19 touchdowns while catching 85 passes for 883 yards and five scores this season. Defensively, Atlanta has been showing improvement. They have held four of their last five opponents to 20 points or less. They have an improving pass rush thanks to Vic Beasley Jr., who led the NFL with 15.5 sacks during the regular season. Atlanta also created 22 turnovers in 2016.