Packers vs. 49ers Total Prediction
The total for Sunday’s NFC Championship Game has climbed to 46.5 at some books but is back down to 46 as of early afternoon. Will the Packers and 49ers combine to hit the over tonight at Levi’s Stadium?
311 Green Bay Packers (+8) at 312 San Francisco 49ers (-8); o/u 46
6:40 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 19, 2020
Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the 49ers are receiving 51% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Green Bay Packers Fantasy Spin
Aaron Rodgers completed 16-of-27 passes for 243 yards and two touchdowns in the Packers' 28-23, Divisional round win over the Seahawks Sunday. Rodgers has just one 250-yard passing game since Week 8. While the stats haven't been there much of this season, Rodgers made some truly ridiculous throws in this one, including a dime to Davante Adams on third down late in the fourth quarter to help seal the win. He later hit Jimmy Graham on the next third down to end the game and get the win. Rodgers particularly flamed Seattle on third downs. The No. 2 seed Packers will travel to San Francisco for the NFC title game next Sunday evening.
San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Spin
Jimmy Garoppolo completed 11-of-19 passes for 131 yards, one touchdown and an interception in the 49ers' 27-10, Divisional Round win over the Vikings. Garoppolo, frankly, wasn't very good, but he didn't need to be with the 49ers' defensive front erasing Kirk Cousins and the Vikings from the face of the earth. The 49ers' ground game dominated. Garoppolo's pick came when Eric Kendricks didn't bite on a play fake. It's not sophisticated analysis, but Garoppolo is going to have to be twice as good if the 49ers are to beat the Packers or Seahawks to advance to Super Bowl LIV. He remains the Niners' biggest liability.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is 4-0 in the Packers’ last four playoff games but the under has hit in five of their last six games when they’re an underdog.
The under is 4-0 in the 49ers’ last four playoff games and is 3-1-1 in their last five games coming off a win.
While I do envision a lower-scoring first half between these two teams based on Green Bays’ 6-1 under record in road games this season, eventually I see these two offenses opening up. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams and both squads have excellent play-callers in Kyle Shanahan and Matt LaFleur, who was an assistant for both Shanahan and Rams coach Sean McVay. Shanahan is outstanding at showing the same formation to his opponent, but then running a different play out of that formation in efforts to get defenses on their heels. LaFleur, meanwhile, couldn’t figure out Robert Saleh’s defense in the first meeting but now that he gets another shot, he should be better prepared for San Francisco’s tendencies. The over is 4-0 in the Packers’ last four playoff games, is 5-1 in their last six playoff road games and is 4-1 in their last five playoff games as an underdog. On the other side, the over is also 7-2-1 in the 49ers’ last 10 games versus NFC opponents and is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME PREDICTION: PACKERS/49ERS OVER 46