Chargers vs. Patriots Total Prediction
With bad weather expected to hit the Foxborough area on Sunday, will the Divisional round matchup between the Chargers and Patriots turn into a defensive struggle? Or, given the capabilities of Tom Brady and Philip Rivers, will the game turn high-scoring?
305 Los Angeles Chargers at 306 New England Patriots
1:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 13, 2019
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Patriots are 4-point favorites to beat the Chargers. The total, meanwhile, sits at 47.5 points. As of this writing, 61% of the public betting tickets are on the Chargers to cover the point spread.
Los Angeles Chargers
Hunter Henry (knee) is practicing in full for Sunday's Divisional Round game against the Patriots. He's on track to make his season debut after missing the past seven months with a torn ACL. Henry has been one of the better receiving tight ends in football since arriving as a second-round pick in 2016, though he'll likely be on a strict snap count against New England. Antonio Gates and Virgil Green will have their roles scaled back upon Henry's return.
New England Patriots
Cordarrelle Patterson (knee) is practicing in full for Sunday's Divisional Round game against the Chargers. He missed the Patriots' regular season finale with a knee injury but had the bye to heal up. Patterson was recently selected to his fourth All-Pro team as a kick returner. The hybrid receiver/running back only logged 230 offensive snaps during the regular season.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 5-1 in the Chargers’ last six games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
The over is 12-4 in the Patriots’ last 16 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous contest.
The Patriots have been unbelievable at home in the playoffs, averaging 33.3 points per game in their last 10 postseason contests at Gillette Stadium. That said, this isn’t the same New England offense that football fans have grown accustomed to seeing over the years. Their lone deep threat in Josh Gordon is suspended, Rob Gronkowski is a shell of his former self and Tom Brady just put together four-year lows in quarterback rating (97.7), yards per attempt (7.8) and touchdown rate (5.1%). That doesn’t mean Brady hasn’t been solid, he just hasn’t been the G.O.A.T. On the other side, Rivers struggled versus Baltimore’s defense last week but L.A.’s defense was excellent. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams, is 4-0 in the Patriots’ last four home games and is 4-1 in the Chargers’ last five games overall.
NFL Divisional Round Predictions: Chargers/Patriots under 47.5