Sunday 7/8/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, WNBA and CFL games.
Arthur Ralph
FREE play: SUNDAY Cubs w/Lester-150
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Arizona w/Greinke -185 Over San Diego
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY: Take ATLANTA/MILWAUKEE OVER the total of 8½ runs
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im Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, July 8, 2018
7/08 05:05 PM PT / 8:05 PM ET
MLB (979) LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS (980) LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Take: (979) LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Totals4U
Sunday's Free Selection: Colorado Rockies/Seattle over 8 1/2
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Jeff Allen Sports
Sunday's Free Selection is on the NY Yankees
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Atlantic Sports
Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Boston - 225
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#1 Sports
Sunday's Free Selection: Boston Red Sox - 240
Platinum Plays
Free Pick the Washington Nationals w/Roark -185 over Miami
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Golden Dragon Sports
Free Pick LA Dodgers Wood -125
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: SF Bumgarner -138
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Hawkeye Sports
Sunday's Free Pick: Arizona - 185
The Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Sunday: Take BOSTON/KANSAS CITY UNDER the total of 9½ runs
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Sunday: Boston Red Sox - 240
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John Anthony Sports
Sunday's Free Selection: Oakland Athletics + 180
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Sunday: Take WASHINGTON (Roark) -165 over Miami
Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play for Sunday, July 8, 2018
7/08 05:05 PM MLB (979) LOS ANGELES DODGERS (A WOOD - L) VS (980) LOS ANGELES ANGELS (A HEANEY - L)
Take : Dodgers
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Mike Williams
Jul 08 '18, 2:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Orioles vs Twins
Play on: Orioles +150
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Jimmy Boyd
Jul 08 '18, 1:10 PM in 2h
MLB | OAK vs CLE
Play on: OVER 9 -109
1* Free Pick on A's/Indians OVER
I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's MLB action that has the Indians hosting the A's. The OVER has been a great play in Cleveland's home games. The OVER is 27-13 in their last 40 home games and 10-2 when they are listed as a favorite of -150 to -200.
OVER is also 9-2-1 in the A's last 12 games against a team with a winning record and 9-3-1 in their last 13 when playing a game on the road against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Note that these two teams have already combined for 23 runs over the first two games of the series and that was with the Indians starting Carrasco and Kluber. Take the OVER!
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Bobby Conn
Jul 08 '18, 2:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Orioles vs Twins
Play on: Orioles +161
Totals Guru
Jul 08 '18, 2:10 PM in 3h
MLB | BAL vs MIN
Play on: UNDER 9½ -105
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Marc Lawrence
Jul 08 '18, 4:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Cardinals vs Giants
Play on: Cardinals +128 at 5Dimes
Play - St. Louis Cardinals w/Flaherty (Game 959).
Edges - Cardinals: Flaherty 2.86 ERA with 1.01 WHIP away this season; and 25 Ks and 5 BBs last three starts… Giants: Bumgarner 1-7 last eight team starts during July. With that look for Flaherty to improve to 3-0 in his career team starts in day games this afternoon. We recommend a 1* play on St. Louis. Thank you and good luck as always
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Matt Fargo
Jul 08 '18, 1:35 PM in 2h
MLB | Phillies vs Pirates
Play on: Pirates -127 at pinnacle
Jameson Taillon was cruising for us yesterday before Philadelphia put together three straight two-out hits in a three-run seventh inning, lifting the visiting Phillies past the Pirates 3-2 for their sixth win in a row. They remain tied with the Braves atop the National League East and we will take another shot going against them here as the Pirates are in desperate need for a victory. They have lost five straight games and are now two games under .500 at home but they finally catch a break with the offense as they will be facing Drew Anderson who is making his first Major League start. He was here for a brief stint last season as he allowed six runs in 2.1 innings of relief work back in August. Nick Kingham counters for Pittsburgh and while he is coming off a rough outing, it came on the road against the red hot Dodgers. His last three starts have come on the road and he has been spot on at home with a 2.89 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in three starts. Here, we play against National League road teams that are averaging between 4.0 to 4.5 rpg and with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games going up against a starter with an ERA between 4.20 and 5.20. This situation is 30-15 (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (954) Pittsburgh Pirates
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Dustin Hawkins
Jul 08 '18, 4:10 PM in 5h
MLB | COL vs SEA
Play on: UNDER 8½ -105
Larry Ness
Jul 08 '18, 8:05 PM in 9h
MLB | Dodgers vs Angels
Play on: Dodgers -117 at betonline
My free play is on the LA Dodgers at 8:05 ET. The Dodgers stumbled to a 16-26 start in 2018 but will enter tonight's finale of their three-game series with the LA Angels at 48-40. The Dodgers look for their sixth win in seven tries tonight in Anaheim, as they have closed within one game of the NL West-leading Arizona Diamondbacks (note: LA has won five straight NL West titles). The Angels jumped out of the gate 13-3 but unlike the Dodgers, who are 32-14 since May 16, the Angels are just 32-42 since their strong start and sit at .500 on the season at 45-45 (14 1/2 games back of the defending champion Astros in the AL West). The good news for the Angels going into tonight's game is that despite last night's 3-1 loss, they have won seven of the last 11 meetings in the Freeway Series.
Lefty Alex Wood (5-5, 3.84 ERA) will get the ball for the Dodgers and he's starting to show the form he delivered for most of the 2017 season, one in which he went 16-3 with a 2.72 ERA. Wood has won each of his last four starts, after being able to earn just ONE victory over his first 13 starts of 2018 (Dodgers went 6-7 in those starts). He is coming off a six-inning effort Monday vs Pittsburgh in which he permitted one run over six innings during a win. Wood has allowed only six ERs during his winning streak and will be facing the Angels for the first time in his career. He hopes to improve on his 3-6 record and 3.15 ERA in 18 interleague appearances (12 starts).
The Angels also send a lefty to the mound tonight on ESPN in Andrew Heaney (4-6, 3.94 ERA). Heaney lost 4-1 this past Tuesday in Seattle, although he allowed a modest three runs across seven innings. However, he notched his second 10-strikeout performance of the season, and for the most part, has been strong at home in 2018. He will take the mound tonight with a 4-2 record (2.18 ERA) in seven home starts, while holding opponents to a .201 batting average. Heaney was traded from the Miami Marlins to the Dodgers at the winter meetings Dec. 12, 2014, but a few hours later the Dodgers dealt him to the Angels for second baseman Howie Kendrick.
Heaney had two chances to beat the Dodgers during the 2015 season, but lost both games. He gave up two runs on four hits in 5.1 innings of a 3-1 loss at Dodger Stadium on Aug 1 of that season and five weeks later at Angel Stadium, gave up five runs on six hits in five innings of a 6-4 loss. That's seven runs allowed in just 10.1 innings, giving him a 6.10 ERA. Heaney's solid home numbers will be severely tested by a Dodgers lineup that is averaging 5.33 RPG on the road in 2018. Wood comes in with a 2.19 ERA during his four-game winning streak and I'll back the Dodgers to take the rubber match of this edition of the Freeway Series.
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Brandon Lee
Jul 08 '18, 4:10 PM in 5h
MLB | COL vs SEA
Play on: UNDER 8½ -110
10* FREE MLB PICK (Under 8.5)
I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 8.5 in the series finale Sunday between the Mariners and Rockies. Colorado will send out Antonio Senzatela, who was great in his first start of 2018 on 7/3. Senzatela allowed just 3 hits and didn't walk a batter over 7 scoreless innings. He will be up against Seattle's Wade LeBlanc, who is 4-0 with a 2.89 ERA in 12 starts and has a 1.80 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in 7 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5!
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Steve Janus
Jul 08 '18, 1:10 PM in 2h
MLB | A's vs Indians
Play on: A's +185 at YouWager
1* Free Sharp Play on A's +185
My money is on the A's to cash in as a big road dog against the Indians. Oakland is riding a wave of confidence after taking down Cleveland 6-3 on Saturday with the Indians starting their ace Kluber. The A's are now 9-2 in their las 11 and have gone 43-17 in their last 60 vs teams from the AL Central. Indians starter Shane Bieber is 4-0 with a 2.97 ERA, but is coming off a sub-par outing at KC and his 1.384 WHIP suggest he hasn't been quite as good as that ERA would lead you to believe. I just don't see that big of an edge on the mound here for the Indians to be this big of a favorite. Bet Oakland +185!
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Mike Lundin
Jul 08 '18, 4:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Rockies vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners -140 at BMaker
#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Colorado Rockies have won five straight and look to complete the sweep of this three-game series at Seattle Sunday afternoon.
Easier said than done though, as they'll be coming up against Wade LeBlanc (4-0, 3.19 ERA) who gave up just one run on three hits through seven innings of a 4-1 win over the Los Angeles Angels his last time out. The left-hander is 4-0 with a 2.45 ERA in nine apperances (seven starts) at home on the season and the Mariners have won each of his last 13 starts at Safeco. Rockies are 5-16 in their last 21 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Colorado turns to right-hander Antonio Senzatela (3-1, 4.44 ERA) who tossed seven scoreless innings of three-hit ball against San Francisco on July 3 in his first start since being recalled from Triple-A Albuquerque. That was home at Coors Field though, and Rockies are 1-5 in Senzatela's last 6 road starts.
Free pick on Seattle Mariners.
Jack Brayman
Though pitchers are automatically listed when making Run Line wagers, I am insisting you DO NOT worry about who the scheduled starters are. In the event of a scratch, you MUST re-wager the game with the new pitcher(s) who are scheduled. This play will stand no matter who pitches for either team.
The Twins are doing a great job in turning back a dreadful period right now, as they they've dropped eight of 12. But they've won three in a row and remain in second place in the American League Central - the worst division in baseball. It is the only division with one team above .500. Minnesota, and maybe Detroit, have the potential to be better. The Twins are showing that a bit of late.
The Twins are now 23-20 at home, after last night's win and have beaten Baltimore by a combined 16-8 the last three nights. That momentum continues against Baltimore, the worst team in the American League with a 24-64 mark. The Orioles are mired in a 2-12 slide, and have the worst road mark in baseball at 12-35.
Baltimore's offense is abysmal, including the worst road batting average of .222. The O's have scored just 161 runs on the highway, fourth-least in the league.
The Orioles are doomed again, having lost eight straight and 10 of 12.
After this four-game set, the Twins host the Kansas City Royals and Tampa Bay Rays. Of the 11 games, I wouldn't be surprised to see Minnesota win at least eight. It's off to a good start thus far.
It's must-win time for the Twins, before the All-Star Break. Lay the run line today.
3* TWINS RUN LINE
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Chris Jordan
Rather than play a big number on a card that features several of them, I will once again play a total to go high with one of the worst teams in the league and one of the best lineups.
The Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros are going to soar past the number today, one day after putting an 18-spot on the board. Last night I delivered a 600♦ on the Over and the Astros won 12-6. Today, another double-digit total, and you get it for free.
MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager. But with this game I am not concerned with who goes for either team tonight and want you playing this game on the Run Line regardless. That being said, IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY to be sure you have action even if one of the pitchers scheduled to start is scratched, by re-wagering the game if that takes place.
The Astros, who are 10-3 over against teams out of the American League Central, are a dangerous team at home, where they are hitting .252 and boast a slugging percentage of .412. Those numbers improve in July, with a .295 average and a slugging percentage of .498 - each going up about 30 points after last night's blowout victory.
Houston will take advantage of a Chicago pitching staff that has the second-highest road ERA (5.61), and third-highest (7.34) in July.
And as I said yesterday, the White Sox will contribute to getting us over the number and into double digits, as they've been sneaky good just seven days into the month with a league fifth-best 42 runs scored. Their slugging percentage ranks fifth in July, at .488. Chicago has gone high in 9 of 11 on the road, 9 of 10 against teams from the A.L. West and 14 of 18 overall.
Play this one high.
4* OVER White Sox-Astros
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Jeff Benton
Your Sunday freebie is the Over in the White Sox-Astros contest.
Friday was a Houston 11 run outburst, as the 'Stros and White Sox combined for a 15 runs Over.
Saturday was a Houston 12 run outburst, as the 'Stros and Sox combined for 18 runs, and another Over.
Sunday I see more of the same, as Pale Hose hurler Lucas Giolito has not figured out how to pitch effectively at this level just yet.
Giolito is the un-proud owner of a 6.93 season ERA, and is fresh off a 7 runs, 8 hits, 5 inning stint versus Cincinnati his last time out in a game that sailed Over the total. The Over is 3-1 the last 4 times he has made the start.
Dallas Keuchel will go for Houston, and his season ERA stands at 4.12, with the Over on a 6-2-1 Kuechel's last 9 assignments.
With last night's game landing Over, Chicago is 9-2 Over the total their last 11 on the road, and 14-4 Over the total their last 18 games this season.
Runs rack up again on Sunday.
Chicago-Houston Over the total.
5* WHITE SOX-HOUSTON OVER
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Brad Wilton
Sunday comp play is Boston and Kansas City to land Over the posted total.
There have been some big runs plated this weekend thus far in Kansas City, as Boston and Kansas City combined for 15 runs on Friday, 19 runs on Saturday, and today I say more runs to be scored as this 3-game series concludes.
These teams have now played 5 times this season, and 4 of the 5 have gone Over. In fact, the Over in the series is now 17-6-3 the past 26 times these teams have faced one another.
Rick Porcello has gone 10-3 for the first half of the season, but based on his 10-6-2 Over mark in his 18 starts, you can see the Sox tend to hit the baseball when Porcello is on the mound.
As for Kansas City starter Jakob Junis, he is enduring a stretch that has seen him allow 29 runs (28 of them earned) in a span of just 27 innings pitched, the Over connecting in 3 of the 5 starts in that stretch.
Boston's bats have been bopping, and today they continue to bop.
Red Sox-Royals Over the total.
2* BOSTON-KANSAS CITY OVER