Baseball Betting Tips for Second Half

Baseball Betting Tips for Second Half

Baseball Betting Tips for Second Half
ATSConsultants.com

Betting on baseball is not rocket science nor is it the easiest thing you'll ever attempt. If you played the first half of baseball, you probably struggled with the issues most players have in betting baseball.

The good news is that it's not too late to turn things around. Baseball is a marathon, not a sprint and patience is the key to winning.

The best thing about the four-day All-Star break is that most players get a chance to re-charge their batteries. The players that participate in the All-Star game and some of the other festivities are taxed by spending more days around the game and then travelling. That's not what you would call a "break".

Recognize the buyers and the sellers

Look at the first half standings and make sure you look at the teams that are in the playoff race. Those who are in first place or in the wild card race, are likely to be "buyers" right before the trade deadline on July 31. Teams are looking to ask for that one final piece that could put them over the top without giving up a major prospect. As the season goes on, teams might start to widen their lead and they get to the point where they can rest their starters. The sellers are usually the ones who have all but given up

Which teams are in trouble due to injuries

One of the important factors in baseball betting is injuries. Check each team's injury report and you'll find whether a player is ready to come back after the break. If a team is starting to get healthier, their team could be ready to bust out. A team like the 2014 New York Yankees or Texas Rangers is so overcome by numerous key injuries, that their chance to bust out becomes minimal. The Yankees lost four of their five opening day starters due to injuries. Two of their starting pitchers are likely out for the season and two may return in the second half. The Yankees managed to finished .500 at the break, but the Rangers are a in much more difficult situation at 19 games below .500.

Which teams are going to collapse?

In 2012, Miami was 41-44 at the break and finished 69-93. Boston also was in the mix at 43-43 last year and went a pitiful 26-50 in the second half. Of course, the following season, the Red Sox won the World Series. In 2012, Pittsburgh went from 48-37 at the break and then finished 31-46 in the second half, missing out on the playoffs for the 20th straight year. The bottom line is that players tend to fade during the second half after productive first halves. The second half is not always a replay of the first half.

Are there warning signs of a collapse?

The obvious red flags are injuries but there are other issues. Young pitchers or hitters are eventually going to fade at some point due to fatigue or "hitting the wall". Find young players that are starting to tail off right before the break or showing signs of slowing down. Another red flag or warning sign is teams that are starting to argue with their manager or having contract issues with their own club. If a star player is unhappy that he hasn't been extended contractually, he may start to press. 

Always remember that money management is everything in baseball. Don't bet on -150 or more favorites and play more totals if possible.


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