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College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, November 15

College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, November 15

WASHINGTON (6 - 3) at UCLA (7 - 2) - 11/15/2013, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 70-99 ATS (-38.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
UCLA is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
UCLA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Washington is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing UCLA
Washington is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing UCLA
UCLA is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of UCLA's last 8 games at home

Washington at UCLA
Washington: 4-10 ATS last 14 road games
UCLA: 9-4 ATS last 13 meetings

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Washington at UCLA
By Brian Edwards

Matchup: Washington at Stanford
Venue: Rose Bowl (Grass) from Los Angeles, California
Date: Friday, Nov. 15, 2013
Time/TV: 9:00 pm. ET - ESPN2
Line: UCLA -3, Over/Under 61
Last Meeting: 2010, Washington (-3) 24 vs. UCLA 7

In order to maintain control of its own destiny in the Pac-12 South race, UCLA (7-2 straight up, 6-3 against the spread) needs a win when it plays host to Washington on Friday night.

As of early Thursday evening, most betting shops had the Bruins favored by three (at even money) with a total of 61. Gamblers can back the Huskies to win outright for a +125 return (risk $100 to win $125). For first-half bets, UCLA is favored by one with a total of 30 or 30.5.

Jim Mora Jr.’s team returns home after going on the road and capturing a 31-26 win at Arizona last weekend. UCLA took the cash as a 1.5-point underdog, while the 57 combined points slipped ‘under’ the 60.5-point total.
Brett Hundley threw for 227 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. The sophomore signal caller also rushed for 56 yards and one TD. Myles Jack moved over from his linebacker position to play running back and responded with 120 rushing yards and one TD on just six carries. Jack played both ways and recovered a key fumble in the third quarter.

Jack, a true freshman, probably won’t have to play on offense this week. That’s because junior RB Jordon James will get the starting nod after sitting out last week. James has missed four of the last five games with an ankle injury.

James missed three games and then gave it a go in a 45-23 non-covering home win over Colorado two weeks ago. But he was ineffective with just eight rushing yards on six totes. The word out of SoCal is that James has looked 100 percent at practice this week. In the team’s first four contests, he ran for 471 yards and five TDs while averaging 5.9 yards per carry.

Hundley is completing 68.5 percent of his throws for 2,225 yards with an 18/8 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has rushed for a team-high 471 yards and seven scores. With OT Simon Goines ruled ‘out’ Thursday, Hundley will play without three starters on the offensive line for the fourth consecutive game.

Washington (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) has won back-to-back games since suffering through a three-game losing streak during a murderous stretch of the schedule. In a three-week span, UW played at Stanford, vs. Oregon and at Arizona St.

Steve Sarkisian’s team ended the slide with a 41-17 non-covering win over California before an open date. When the Huskies returned off the bye last weekend, they trounced Colorado 59-7 as 30-point home favorites.

Senior QB Keith Price torched the Buffaloes by throwing for 312 yards and two TDs without committing a turnover. Price also had a pair of rushing scores. Bishop Sankey rushed 23 times for 143 yards and one TD.

Sankey is third in the nation in rushing with 1,305 yards and 13 TDs. He is averaging 5.9 YPC. Price has connected on 65.4 percent of his passes for 2,481 yards with an 18/4 TD-INT ratio. He’s also rushed for four TDs.

Washington owns an 8-12 spread record in 20 games as a road underdog during Sarkisian’s five years at the helm. Meanwhile, UCLA has compiled a 5-3 spread record as a home favorite on Mora’s watch.

The ‘under’ is 6-3 overall for UCLA, but the ‘over’ has hit at a 3-1 clip in its four home games. The Bruins’ game have averaged a combined score of 59.4 points per game.

The ‘under’ is 5-4 for Washington, but the ‘over’ is 2-1 in its three road assignments. The Huskies have seen their games average a combined score of 59.0 PPG.

These schools haven’t faced each other since 2010 when Washington ended a three-game losing streak to UCLA by collecting a 24-7 win as a two-point home ‘chalk.’ The ‘under’ is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings between these long-time adversaries.

Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

Miami is 3-1 ATS as a road favorite under Al Golden. The Hurricanes are 3.5-point favorites Saturday at Duke. The Blue Devils are 10-11 ATS as home underdogs during David Cutcliffe’s tenure.

Louisville is favored by 16 for Saturday’s home game vs. Houston. The Cardinals have limped to a 7-12 spread record as double-digit favorites under Charlie Strong. The Cougars have taken the cash in both of their games as double-digit ‘dogs in 2013.

Virginia Tech is an atrocious 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 games as a double-digit favorite. The Hokies are favored by 16 Saturday at home vs. Maryland.

Indiana has seen the ‘over’ cash at an 8-1 overall clip this year. The Hoosiers play at Wisconsin this weekend with a total of 70 at most books.

Vanderbilt is 8-2 ATS as a home favorite under James Franklin. The Commodores are 12.5-point home ‘chalk’ Saturday vs. Kentucky. The Wildcats are 2-0 ATS as road ‘dogs this season.

Boston College is a perfect 4-0 ATS at home this year. The Eagles are favored by 7.5 on Saturday vs. visiting North Carolina St.

The ‘over’ is 9-1 for the Troy Trojans, who visit The Grove this weekend to take on Ole Miss. The total is 69 at most spots.

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Washington at UCLA: What Bettors Need to Know

Washington Huskies at UCLA Bruins (-2.5, 60.5)

UCLA freshman Myles Jack probably won’t kick any field goals when the No. 15 Bruins host Washington on Friday, but even that can’t be ruled out after last week’s performance. The talented linebacker/running back sparked the Bruins’ 31-26 victory over Arizona with eight tackles while rushing for 120 yards on six carries, including a 66-yard touchdown. He’ll need another big game for the Bruins to keep pace with Washington, which has averaged 50 points and amassed 1,270 yards of total offense in the last two games.

UCLA is in position to win the Pac-12 South Division for the second time in two seasons under coach Jim Mora, who was positively giddy after the Bruins won for the seventh time in nine games last week. "We’ve got a long ways to go, no doubt, but what’s awesome is that we’re making strides," he said. “It’s only a matter of time before this program goes where we’re aiming.” Washington, which gained bowl eligibility with last week’s 59-6 rout of Colorado, certainly has the offensive firepower to derail UCLA’s Rose Bowl hopes.

ABOUT WASHINGTON (6-3, 3-3 Pac-12): Quarterback Keith Price threw two touchdowns and ran for two more against Colorado, and running back Bishop Sankey surpassed 100 yards rushing for the seventh time this season. Tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins recorded a season-high 62 receiving yards, and coach Steve Sarkisian indicated the team will look to get the preseason All-American more involved this week. Safety Sean Parker has a team-high four interceptions for the Huskies, who rank second in the Pac-12 in pass defense.

ABOUT UCLA (7-2, 4-2): The Huskies’ secondary may want to be ready for quarterback Brett Hundley, who has thrown long touchdown passes early in the first quarter of the Bruins’ last two games. Hundley has completed 74 percent of his passes over the last three games, and is also been the team’s leading rusher over the past five games with 245 yards and four scores. The Bruins boast an embarrassment of riches at linebacker, where Jack joins Eric Kendricks, Anthony Barr and Jordan Zumwalt, who has 38 tackles over the last six games.


* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Huskies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games in November.
* Over is 5-1 in Bruins last six Friday games.


1. UCLA leads the series 38-30-2, and has won 11 of the last 14 matchups.

2. Washington has outscored its opponents 132-58 in the third quarter this season.

3. The Bruins are 14-0 when leading at the half under Mora.

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NCAAF Week 12

Washington/UCLA haven't met since 2010, so Mora is coaching against his alma mater for first time; Bruins won 11 of last 14 series games, as Huskies lost last seven visits to UCLA, with three of seven losses by 4 or less points. UCLA is 3-1 as home favorite this year, winning in Rose Bowl by 38-46-26-22 points- they've allowed 23+ points in each of last four games. Washington is 1-2 on road, losing 31-28 at Stanford, 53-24 at Arizona State in last two away games; they scored 100 points in winning last two games, both at home. Only two of Washington's nine games were decided by less than 18 points. Both teams covered one of their last four games. Huskies are 1-1 as an underdog this year.

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Huskies, Bruins clash

WASHINGTON HUSKIES (6-3) at UCLA BRUINS (7-2) Line & Total: UCLA -3 & 61.5
Opening Line & Total: Bruins -2 & 62.5

No. 13 UCLA Bruins will look to remain within striking distance of Arizona State in the Pac-12 South division as it plays host to Washington at the Rose Bowl on Friday night.

These two teams are both riding two-game win streaks, but have not met since 2010, a game in which the Huskies won 24-7 behind now Tennessee Titans quarterback Jake Locker. With Keith Price at the helm for the Huskies, Washington once again finds itself with a very talented quarterback. Price is coming off a game in which he threw for 312 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for two scores in a dominating 59-7 victory over Colorado. Washington under head coach Steve Sarkisian has continued to improve, but is still missing that marquee win. The matchup in Pasadena gives the Huskies (1-2 SU and ATS on the road) another opportunity for a huge victory, but it will not be easy.

The Bruins (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS at home) are coming off a 31-26 win over Arizona in which freshman linebacker Myles Jack did everything. He finished with eight tackles on the defensive side, but solved the UCLA running back issues by coming in and rushing for 120 yards and one touchdown on just six carries. His performance will be vital once again, as top RB Jordon James (ankle) may not play in this game either. Bruins QB Brett Hundley was his normal terrific self, throwing for 227 yards and two touchdowns, as his team was able to hang on.

However, the defense will need to play better this week as they are going up against a very balanced Huskies offense. Also, road underdogs averaging at least 450 YPG after gaining 7.25+ yards per play in their previous game are 37-9 ATS (80%) in the past five seasons. But UCLA is 35-20 ATS (64%) at home facing a team with a winning record since 1992, and 32-15 ATS (68%) at home after 2+ straight wins in this same timeframe.

Washington ranks 17th in FBS in rushing (229 YPG) and 25th in passing (287 YPG) while also averaging an impressive 37.2 points per game. While senior QB Keith Price (2,481 passing yards, 18 TD, 4 INT) gets a lot of the talk and rightfully so, the pulse of the offense is junior RB Bishop Sankey. He currently ranks third in the nation with 1,305 rushing yards, averaging 5.9 yards per carry with 13 touchdowns, including at least 1 TD in all nine games.

The passing game has been sparked by the play of sophomore WR Jaydon Mickens, who has 50 catches for 614 yards and four touchdowns. He has big-play ability, evidenced by touchdown catches of 68 and 47 yards against California two games ago when he totaled 180 receiving yards. While he has been the guy that Price has looked for most of this season, TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins (23 catches, 306 yards, 5 TD) is one of the biggest mismatches in the country. At 6-foot-6, 276 pounds, he is nearly impossible to stop in the red zone, but must bring the intensity on every single game, as his numbers are way down from last year when he caught 69 passes for 852 yards.

The defense has played well this season, allowing only 21.8 points per game. Senior DB Tre Watson (32 tackles) has been solid all year, but showed his playmaking ability by returning an interception 84 yards for a touchdown last week. The Huskies have a fast defense, and they must be able to run to the ball and not allow UCLA's star QB Brett Hundley to get on the perimeter.

Hundley (2,225 passing yards, 18 TD, 8 INT) has continued to develop into a more consistent passer, completing 69 percent of his passes this year. However, what makes him one of the best quarterbacks in the country is his ability to make plays with his feet as well. He has rushed for 487 yards (4.3 YPC) and seven touchdowns, making it nearly impossible for defenses to slow him down. The one thing that he has to do is not always look for the home-run play. He is so confident in his arm that sometimes he will force the ball, which has been the cause for most of his eight interceptions on the season. However, when he is on, the Bruins are tough to beat, and senior Shaquelle Evans (34 catches, 503 yards, 7 TD) gives him a big-time target at wide receiver. At 6-foot-1 and 211 pounds, he has a nice combination of size and speed, and is very difficult to guard on the outside. He has a great ability to go up and get the ball against defenders, allowing Hundley to look to attack downfield. The linebacking core of the Bruins is one of the very best in the country, led by Myles Jack and Anthony Barr. They are versatile in defending against the run, while also possessing the ability to cover slot receivers and tight ends. With a potential Pac-12 South championship game looming against Arizona State (5-1 in Pac-12), UCLA (4-2 in Pac-12) most be focused on the task at hand, because the Huskies are fully capable of winning on Friday night.

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