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2012 U.S. Open Odds To Win: Tiger Woods Favored By Oddsmakers

2012 U.S. Open Odds To Win: Tiger Woods Favored By Oddsmakers

2012 U.S. Open Odds To Win: Tiger Woods Favored By Oddsmakers
By Drew Sharper

SAN FRANCISCO, CA (TheSpread) – The second major championship of the year will be contested this week as the 2012 U.S. Open begins play on Thursday. Here is a look at the odds for this event.

According to oddsmakers, Tiger Woods is the favorite to win his first major since 2008, as he has been given 6/1 odds to win the U.S. Open. Other short odds to win are Rory McIlroy (10/1), Luke Donald (12/1), and Lee Westwood (12/1).

Woods is fourth in the world rankings and coming off a win in his last tournament. Woods has won the U.S. Open three times and has a total of 14 major championships in his career. His last major victory was the 2008 U.S. Open. He has finished in the top 10 in eight of his last 12 U.S. Opens.

McIlroy is the defending U.S. Open champion and he is second in the world rankings. Last year’s U.S. Open was McIlroy’s first major championship. He has placed in the top 10 of the U.S. Open in two of his three appearances.

Donald is No. 1 in the world rankings. He has never won a major championship and never finished in the top 10 of a U.S. Open. His best finish at this event was 12th back in 2006. He has placed outside the top 40 in his last five U.S. Opens.

Westwood is third in the world rankings. He has never won a major championship in his career, but has performed well in the U.S. Open as of late. He has finished third in two of the last four and has placed in the top 11 in seven of the last eight major championships.

The U.S. Open begins on Thursday, June 14 and will run through Sunday, June 17 from the Olympic Club-Lake Course in San Francisco, California. For complete odds for each golfer to win the U.S. Open, see below.

2012 U.S. Open Odds to Win

Tiger Woods 6/1
Rory McIlroy 10/1
Luke Donald 12/1
Lee Westwood 12/1
Phil Mickelson 18/1
Jason Dufner 25/1
Dustin Johnson 28/1
Rickie Fowler 30/1
Justin Rose 30/1
Matt Kuchar 30/1
Hunter Mahan 30/1
Adam Scott 40/1
Zach Johnson 40/1
Keegan Bradley 40/1
Jim Furyk 40/1
Steve Stricker 40/1
Louis Oosthuizen 40/1
Bubba Watson 40/1
Sergio Garcia 45/1
Webb Simpson 50/1
Jason Day 50/1
Charl Schwartzel 50/1
Martin Kaymer 50/1
Graeme McDowell 60/1
Nick Watney 60/1
Ernie Els 66/1
Bo Van Pelt 66/1
Ian Poulter 66/1
Peter Hanson 66/1
Padraig Harrington 66/1
Geoff Ogilvy 75/1
K J Choi 80/1
Brandt Snedeker 80/1
Bill Haas 80/1
David Toms 80/1
Francesco Molinari 80/1
Charles Howell 80/1
Martin Laird 90/1
Aaron Baddeley 100/1
Sean OHair 100/1
Jonathon Byrd 100/1
Ben Crane 100/1
Paul Lawrie 125/1
Kyle Stanley 125/1
Johnson Wagner 125/1
Henrik Stenson 125/1
Robert Karlsson 125/1
Matteo Manassero 125/1
Davis Love III 125/1
Kevin Na 125/1
John Senden 125/1
Alvaro Quiros 125/1
Y E Yang 125/1
Carl Pettersson 150/1
Vijay Singh 150/1
Kyung Tae Kim 150/1
Ryo Ishikawa 150/1
Miguel Angel Jimenez 150/1
Tim Clark 150/1
Retief Goosen 150/1
Stewart Cink 150/1
Nicolas Colsaerts 150/1
Thomas Bjorn 150/1
Fredrik Jacobson 150/1
Trevor Immelman 170/1
Gary Woodland 175/1
Mark Wilson 175/1
Angel Cabrera 200/1
D A Points 200/1
Paul Casey 200/1
Robert Rock 200/1
Simon Dyson 200/1
Branden Grace 200/1
George Coetzee 200/1
John Huh 200/1
Rafael Cabrera Bello 200/1
Sang Bae Moon 200/1
Alexander Noren 225/1
Robert Garrigus 225/1
Lucas Glover 250/1
Scott Piercy 250/1
Roberto Castro 250/1
Blake Adams 250/1
Bob Estes 250/1
Charlie Wi 250/1
Patrick Cantlay 250/1
Peter Lawrie 250/1
Anders Hansen 250/1
Soren Kjeldsen 250/1
Kevin Streelman 300/1
Stephen Ames 300/1
Tim Herron 300/1
Bill Lunde 300/1
Gregory Bourdy 300/1
Hunter Haas 300/1
Joe Durant 300/1
Joe Ogilvie 300/1
Michael Thompson 300/1
Raphael Jacquelin 300/1
Rod Pampling 300/1
Alex Cejka 350/1
Charley Hoffman 400/1
Brendan Jones 400/1
Brian Harman 400/1
Chez Reavie 400/1
David Mathis 400/1
Hiroyuki Fujita 400/1
James Hahn 400/1
Jason Bohn 400/1
Kevin Chappell 400/1
Marc Warren 400/1
Scott Langley 400/1
Scott Smith 500/1
Shane Bertsch 500/1
Steve LeBrun 500/1
Steve Marino 500/1
Tadahiro Takayama 500/1
Tim Weinhart 500/1
Tommy Biershenk 500/1
Toru Taniguchi 500/1
Aaron Watkins 500/1
Alberto Sanchez 500/1
Alistair Presnell 500/1
Anthony Summers 500/1
Beau Hossler 500/1
Brian Gaffney 500/1
Brice Garnett 500/1
Brooke Koepka 500/1
Cameron Wilson 500/1
Casey Martin 500/1
Casey Wittenberg 500/1
Cole Howard 500/1
Daniel Miernicki 500/1
Daniel Summerhays 500/1
Darron Stiles 500/1
Dennis Miller 500/1
Dong-Hwan Lee 500/1
Edward Loar 500/1
Hunter Hamrick 500/1
Jae-Bum Park 500/1
Jeff Curl 500/1
Jesse Mueller 500/1
Jim Herman 500/1
John Peterson 500/1
Lee Slattery 500/1
Mark McCormack 500/1
Martin Flores 500/1
Matt Bettencourt 500/1
Matthew Baldwin 500/1
Michael Allen 500/1
Michael Campbell 500/1
Mikko Ilonen 500/1
Nicholas Thompson 500/1
Nick Sherwood 500/1
Olin Browne 500/1
Paul Claxton 500/1
Samuel Osborne 500/1

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Re: 2012 U.S. Open Odds To Win: Tiger Woods Favored By Oddsmakers

Tiger gets cash, but not tickets
By Micah Roberts

Tiger Woods has won 16 majors over his career, but the 17th major has proven to be rather elusive. There have been 14 different winners in the past 14 majors since Woods’ dramatic 2008 U.S. Open win at Torrey Pines. The recent parity probably explains why Woods doesn’t lead in ticket counts at the Las Vegas Hotel & Casino Super Book (LVH) where assistant manager Jeff Sherman currently has him at 7/1 odds, the highest number in town.

“We do have three times as much money wagered on Tiger than we do for any of the other golfer,” Sherman said. “But as far as ticket counts go, (Jason) Dufner tops the list as being the most popular choice among the public. The small money loves the larger priced odds and Dufner is very popular now while the larger money has gone with the shorter odds on Woods.“

Four years ago, Tiger had both categories, most money and more tickets written. Woods has even had all kinds of public support for his last few attempts at a major and comes in probably with his best recent form, yet the masses seem to be backing off. Like Sherman said, the small loves to win large at big prices, but they also like to win.

Deferring from actually making a pick, Sherman offered a few golfers he expects to do well this week beginning with his top rated golfer.

“I have Lee Westwood as my No. 1 rated golfer coming in this week,” says Sherman, “but since we don’t have a ton of action on him right now we can still offer him at very attractive odds of 12-to-1.

“A couple others that should do well at higher price ranges include Matt Kuchar (25/1) and Bo Van Pelt (50/1).”

Sherman factored in many things when making his ratings and odds for this week, but at the top of the list was the Olympic Club course and how it will perform.

“This course is supposed to be as brutal as they come,” Sherman said. “I put the winning score at 1½ under par which should put into perspective how tough this course is expected to be.”

In addition to having 15 golfer vs. golfer matchups -- which soon will become 58 total matchups, Sherman also released his Open propositions on Tuesday morning that includes an OVER-UNDER of 65½ on the lowest round.

Woods is posted with a finish position of 11½ and there’s also a YES-NO prop on Woods winning the tournament. Bettors can lay -1000 (Bet $10 to win $1) on Woods not winning the tournament.

Last year’s winner, Rory McIlroy, has a finish position set at 18½, Luke Donald at 15½, Westwood 12½ and Mickelson at 20½. The LVH uses .20 cent splits for all their props and started the finish positions with -110 juice each way.

Sherman also dug deep for an angle on a YES-NO prop asking whether 14-year old Andy Zhang will make the cut or not. Zhang will be the youngest golfer to ever participate in the US Open when he’s tees off on Thursday.

Based on the odds, Sherman obviously doesn‘t expect much from the kid. NO is -2500 ($25 to win $1) while YES is +1500 ($1 to win $15).

If the most money wagered on a golfer (Woods) this week wins the tournament, the LVH stands to lose the most in the odds to win index category.

“The golfers we currently have the most liability on are Woods, (Rickie) Fowler and Dufner,” said Sherman.

However, as is usually the case with the LVH, they benefit in all facets of their US Open wagering menu just because of all the additional action created by having the fairest future prices in Las Vegas. The spillover effect helps create a large handle with the props and matchups, and in the end, that model usually always leads to a winning tournament for them.

Most sports books will have adjusted odds to win and matchups after each round throughout the tournament. Should the tournament not be a runaway, the LVH might offer in-progress wagering while the match is going on during the final round.

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