MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Raging Bull

Soccer:

MSV Duisburg/TSV Alemannia Aachen over 2.5 (German 2 Bundesliga)

US Grosseto/US Albinoleffe over 2 (Italy Serie B)

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Maddux Sports

Basketball

3 units on Cleveland -3.5

3 units on Furman +11
3 units on The Citadel -5

Hockey

Pass Today


Today's Free Pick PHILADELPHIA -2.5

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Winning Angle

Play Baylor (+8) over Texas* (Top NCAA Play)

Texas has lost 7 of the last 9 games against the spread and they have also lost 8 of the last 11 games against the spread coming off three or more conference games. Texas has lost 3 of the last 4 games when playing with one day of rest.

Play Villanova (+3.5) over Notre Dame* (Bonus NCAA Play)

Villanova has won and covered the spread in two consecutive road games when the total posted is between 155 and 159.5 points and they have also won 4 consecutive games when playing their 2nd game in three days. Villanova has won 8 of the last 9 games coming off a game where there was a combined score of 125 points or less.

NBA Hoops
Play Miami (+3.5) over Cleveland* (NBA Top Play)

NHL
Play NY Islanders (+110) over Colorado* (NHL Bonus Play)

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Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Boise State (+6.5) over New Mexico State (NCAA Power Play)

New Mexico State
• 1-12 ATS coming off an OVER the total this season
• 0-7 ATS after allowing 80 points or more

10* Take Washington (+3.5) over Atlanta (NBA Power Play)

Atlanta
• 1-4 SU over the last 5 games
• 3-12 SU in road games when the total is between 195 and 199.5 points
• 6-13 SU coming off a loss by 3 points or less

Bonus Pays
5* Take Furman (+11) over Wofford (NCAA)
5* Take NY Islanders (+110) over Colorado (NHL)

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MATT MOORE

Cleveland / Miami Under 186.5

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MTi Sports

Atlanta at Washington
Play: Washington +4

With seven minutes to go in the third quarter, the Hawks trailed the Cavs 62-49. Then they went on huge run in the third quarter to take a 81-74 lead. However, the Cavs battled back to win 88-87 on a Lebron james free throw with 1 second on the clock.These type of games are tough to recover from with no rest. Indeed, Atlanta is 0-9 ATS (-8.7 ppg) off a loss of four points or fewer at home in which they trailed by double digits. In addition, Atlanta is 0-9 ATS (-7.8 ppg) after a game at home in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.Last night, Atlanta had a total of 11 assists -- a season low at home. This is a bad sign for their chances tonight. The Hawks are 0-12 SU (-13.0 ppg) and 0-12 ATS (-8.1 ppg) after a home loss in which they had more turnovers than assists. Player-wise, the Hawks are 0-7 ATS (-9.8 ppg) since December 13, 2006 with no rest after a loss at home in which Marvin Williams had more turnovers than assists and 0-5 ATS (-11.0 ppg) after a loss at home in which Al Horford had more turnovers than assists.In the last meeting between these two, the Hawks pounded the Wizards 111-90 laying 9 at home. Joe Johnson led all scorers with 22 points on 9-of-16 shooting. Atlanta can be soft in this spot, as they are 0-9 ATS (-8.6 ppg) as a favorite after winning the previous matchup in which Joe Johnson was the Hawks' high scorer. Conversely, the Wizards are 8-0 ATS as a 4+ point dog with less than two days rest when seeking revenge for a double-digit loss as a dog -- including 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS this season. Grab the points and consider a moneyline play on the Wizards.

MTi’s FORECAST: WASHINGTON 107 Atlanta 99

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Jamie Tursini

Cleveland at Miami
Play: Cleveland -3.5

Normally it's very difficult to lay points on the second of back to back games. Especially on the road and vs a solid home team. Miami is 20-10 at home.

But Cleveland simply has an outstanding record with 0 days rest.

They are 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS, averaging a 101.2 to 90.3 score.

I'll lay the points.

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GOLD MEDAL CLUB

NEW MEXICO STATE (HUGE)

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Brandon Lang

25-Dime The Citadel

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Trace Adams

1000* - Texas Longhorns

500* - Philadelphia 76ers


Pay After You Win

500* Miami Heat

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Jake Timlin

300* New Mexico St

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Bell's Best Bets

TEXAS - 7.5

CAVS - 3.5

NY ISLANDERS ML

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BEN BURNS

Blue Chip

I'm playing on Dallas and Oklahoma City to finish UNDER the total.

The Mavericks saw last night's home game vs. Toronto finish above the total. However, I'm expecting a lower-scoring affair for tonight's road affair at Oklahoma City. These teams just played a high-scoring (110-108) game against each other four nights ago, at Dallas. However, that score was deceiving as 28 points were scored in overtime. That means that only 190 were scored in regulation and a closer look shows that the teams had combined for only 133 points through the first three quarters. The earlier meeting, also at Dallas but back in December, slipped below the total with 202 combined points. The Mavs have been a profitable 'under' team on the road all season and that's certainly been the case recently. The UNDER is a perfect 4-0 their last four road games with their most recent two road games finishing with only 169 and 179 combined points. For the season, the UNDER is now 18-11 when the Mavs have played away from Dallas. Note that the UNDER is 8-4 the last 12 times that the Mavericks played the second of back to back games. The UNDER has also gone 12-3 the last 15 times that the Mavs played a road game with a total ranging from 200 to 204.5, including 4-1 this season. Additionally, we find the UNDER at 4-1 the last five times that the Mavs were listed as road favorites in the 3.5 to six range. Meanwhile, the Thunder have seen the UNDER go a profitable 6-1 when listed as home underdogs in the 3.5 to six range. I expect those stats to improve as tonight's final combined score stays below what I believe to be a generous number. *Blue Chip


Eastern Conf. GOW

I'm taking the points with MIAMI.

These teams split a pair of games just after Christmas with the Heat covering the spread in each game. The Cavs won by seven at Cleveland. The Heat came back two nights later and won by nine points when the teams faced each other here at Miami. With the schedule strongly in its favor, I expect the home team to have the advantage again this evening. While the Heat had yesterday off, Cleveland played a big ESPN game at Atlanta. That worked out nicely, as the Cavs won (didn't cover) but were tested the entire way, with the game being decided in the final seconds. In other words, the stars were forced to log a lot of time - Lebron was on the floor for 44 minutes. Note that the Cavs are now a money-burning 9-16 ATS the last 25 times that they were listed as road favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. Unlike many teams, Cleveland has actually played quite well when playing the second of back to back games this season. This is more than just a back to back spot though, as the Cavs are also playing their fourth road game in the past five days and fifth game in seven days, which is as gruelling as it gets in the NBA. Don't be surprised if "fatigue" becomes a factor. The Heat came up just short of covering the spread in their last game, winning by five, as six point favorites, vs. the Knicks. That was the type of victory a team can really build some positive momentum from, as they rallied from a big second half deficit, outscoring the Knicks by a 37-17 margin in the fourth quarter. Dwayne Wade took control, scoring 46 points while also contributing 10 assists and eight rebounds. Note that the Heat, who allowed the Knicks to score 115 points, are a profitable 10-2 ATS on the season after allowing its previous opponent to score 105 or more points. I expect the Heat, 8-2 ATS against teams from the Central, to be the "fresher" team as they build off Saturday's win with a huge effort here, moving to 4-0 ATS the last four games in this series. *Eastern Conf. GOW


Main Event

I'm laying the small number with NOTRE DAME.

Both teams come off damaging losses and both could really use a victory tonight. The Irish were "expected" to lose though, as they were underdogs at Connecticut. Conversely, the Wildcats really delivered a "stinker," as they were upset at home by Georgetown, a team which has had trouble beating anyone lately. Off that defeat, many of the betting public will be quick to back Nova here. However, that loss revealed that all was not as rosy for the Wildcats as many had previously thought. Its also worth noting that the Wildcats are just 8-14 ATS the last 22 times that they were coming off a loss vs. a conference opponent. Yes, the Irish suffered through a tough stretch a few weeks ago. However, starting with their huge 90-57 win over Louisville, they've won four of their last six with the only two losses both coming on the road and vs. top tier teams. After the loss at UConn, star guard Kyle McAlarney had this to say of his team's chances to make the Big Dance: "I think we still have a shot (at the NCAA tournament). We've been recovering from losses from this all year. This isn't a game where a loss knocks us out. A win would have propelled us, but we can still recover from this." Look for McAlarney, Harangody and co., who won by 10 at Philly last year, to bounce back with a huge effort, covering the small number and improving to 11-7 ATS the last 18 times that they were favored by six points or less. *main event

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Seabass
Steam (100) Heat
50 ND
20 Furman
20 Texas
30 OKC
20 Phil

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Sportsbetcapping

6* New Mexico St. -6

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JB Sports

WASHINGTON WIZARDS

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Lenny Del Genio

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS

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Ron Raymond

CAVS / HEAT UNDER

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Nick Parsons

MAVS / THUNDER  UNDER

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