Last Updated on November 1, 2025 2:34 am by Alex Becker
MEXICO CITY — The Dallas Mavericks and Detroit Pistons both head to Mexico City for an early-season showdown. Our Mavericks vs. Pistons prediction weighs whether Dallas’s pick-and-roll creation edge will be enough to defeat Detroit’s defense.
The Dallas Mavericks are 2-3 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 2-3 ATS this season.
The Detroit Pistons are 3-2 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 3-2 ATS this season.
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Mavericks vs. Pistons Odds: ML, Spread, Total
- Moneyline: Mavericks +215 / Pistons −275
- Spread: Mavericks +7.5 (-105) / Pistons −7.5 (-115)
- Total: 225.5 points Over (-110) / Under (-110)
- Start Time: 10:00 PM ET, November 1, 2025
- Location: Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico
- TV: Peacock/Telemundo
Mavericks vs. Pistons Matchup Breakdown
- Pace & Shot Profile: Detroit is 5th in pace and averages 115.0 points per game while Dallas is 3rd in pace and averages 107.8 points per game; tempo should lean slightly to Detroit’s favor if they can consistently get out in transition.
- On-Ball Creation: The Mavericks rely on pick-and-roll setups often initiated by rookie Cooper Flagg, while the Pistons’ higher assist rate (25.2 APG) and interior presence (2nd in offensive rebounds per game) boost second-chance scoring.
- Interior & Glass: Detroit’s rebounding advantage and interior size could overwhelm a thinner Dallas frontcourt worn down by travel and injuries.
- Injury/Status: Dallas lists multiple key players as out (Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II), D’Angelo Russell and Daniel Gafford are questionable; Detroit will be without Jaden Ivey and has Marcus Sasser listed as questionable.
Betting Trends and Market Notes
- Dallas is 5-4 ATS in their last 9 games against Detroit.
- Dallas is 60-58-3 ATS as an underdog since the start of the 2022 season.
- Detroit is 4-5 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Detroit is 23-28 ATS as a favorite since the start of the 2023 season.
- 51% of the public bets are on Dallas +7.5 at the time of this writing.
Standings Stakes & Betting Angles
- Detroit seeks to extend early-season success and win 4 out of 5 while Dallas looks to win back-to-back games for the first time this season.
- Totals note: With a line at 225.5, the under has value given Dallas’s offensive inconsistency and travel fatigue; that is unless Detroit pushes the pace and turns the game into a track meet at altitude.
Mavericks vs. Pistons Prediction & Expert Pick
Pick: Mavericks +7.5 (−110). Our Mavericks vs. Pistons prediction leans on Dallas’s top-5 defensive efficiency, the impact of star rookie Cooper Flagg, and the amount of points the Mavs are getting in a neutral-site game.
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