Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, June 1

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, June 1

John Ryan

Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres
Prediction: San Diego Padres

The simulator shows a high probability that the Padres will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-13 mark for 71% winners since 2007. Play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) and is not known for their power hitting <=0.9 HR's/game and with a starting pitcher whose strikes out three or less batters per start and is now facing a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start. Toronto is just 4-14 (-12.1 Units) against the money line when facing a NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last three seasons. Moreover, the Jays are just 14-39 (-22.7 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games over the last 2 seasons. You would think with a surging bullpen, that it would be graded as a positive fact. Yet, baseball is filled with ups and downs like no other sport. One day, a starting pitcher or bullpen can look invincible and the very next day, they can look like an International League minor league player. That is exactly what creates these opportunities to wager and steadily make money over the course of the season. Take the Padres.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, June 1

Dave Price

Texas Rangers -127

I like Kansas City's James Shields, but he's not getting any run support. The Royals have lost 8 of his 11 starts, including his last 5. Kansas City has lost 20 of its last 25 overall, largely due to an inept offense that has scored 3 runs or fewer 17 times during this span. The Royals have lost 20 of their last 28 versus the Rangers and are just 3-11 in their last 14 at Texas. The Rangers have won 9 of 12 at home and are an impressive 73-32 in their last 105 home games versus a right-handed starter. Take Texas.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, June 1

Will RogersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona vs. ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cubs seem to have plenty of momentum heading into Saturday night's game with Arizona.  I cashed them yesterday afternoon (part of ANOTHER winning MLB card for me) as they slammed the Diamondbacks 7-2 for a fifth straight win.  With Jeff Samardzija on the hill tonight, I look for Chicago to keep the winning streak going.
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Here are my keys to the game:
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1. Samardzija: Perhaps no other pitcher in baseball is more deserving of a better record than this one.  Samardzija has a 2.85 ERA in 11 starts, yet is only 3-6 (4-7 TSR).  But fortunately, things appear to be turning around.  He threw a complete game shutout against the White Sox on Memorial Day, allowing only two hits, and his only loss over the last three starts (1.12 ERA) came in a game where he surrendered just one run in seven innings.
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2.  Cubs Streaking - The Cubbies are playing their best baseball of the season right now, winning five in a row.  They've averaged more than seven runs per game during the win streak and are now averaging 5.2 rpg for the season at Wrigley.
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3.  X-Factor - The Cubs have really had Arizona's number in recent seasons, particularly here at Wrigley.  They have won 9 of the last 10 meetings here at the Friendly Confines, while batting nearly .300 as a team and hitting 18 home runs, including a grand slam yesterday.  They have won four in a row over Arizona at home, outscoring them 22-5.

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco vs. St. LouisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: St. Louis -1.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Note that this is Game 1 of a doubleheader as last night's game was rained out. I had a play on St. Louis scheduled for that contest, so with the pitching matchup remaining unchanged and many of the same factors still present, I'm reposting that selection here, only this time I'm willing to lay the -1.5 on the run line.  Also, note that I'm now 8-1-1 overall the last three days!
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The Cardinals come into Saturday w/ the best record in baseball at 35-18.  Their four-game win streak was snapped two nights ago following a 4+ hour rain delay as they fell at home 4-2 to Kansas City.  Certainly the rain played a factor as St. Louis got a superb MLB debut from Michael Wacha, who threw seven strong innings, only to see the bullpen blow it by allowing three runs in the top of the ninth.  Note St. Louis manager Mike Matheny actually decided NOT to use closer Edward Mujica, who had previously earned four saves in the last four games.  I expect the Cards to bounce back against the San Francisco Giants, losers of three of four to Oakland to start the week.
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The defending World Series Champs avoided what would have been a four-game sweep at the hands of their Bay Area rivals w/ a 5-2 win Thursday.  But now they're back on the road where they're only 9-15 (-7.0 units) for the season.  These teams met earlier in the year in San Francisco and the Cards ended up taking two of three, including a 14-3 win in the series finale.  For the Giants, Matt Cain has simply not been the same pitcher we've been accustomed to seeing in recent years as he carries a 5.01 ERA in 11 starts.  He was shelled earlier in the year by St. Louis, allowing nine runs in just 3.7 IP in that 14-3 loss.  He's never won in four starts here at Busch Stadium, going 0-3 with a 7.04 ERA.  Cain's team start record might be 3-0 over his last three starts, but his ERA during that time is 4.91, so its a bit of a phony record.
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Meanwhile, there's nothing "phony" at all about Shelby Miller's start for St. Louis.  In fact, his record should probably be even better than 5-3 in 10 starts given that his ERA is 2.02 and his WHIP is 0.979.  At home, he's been brilliant w/ the team winning three of his four starts thanks to a 0.99 ERA and 0.622 WHIP.  He did not face Cain in the earlier series w/ the Giants, but did win the other game for his team.  St. Louis ended up outscoring San Francisco 20-7 in that series.  They are 15-9 at home this season while the Giants have dropped 10 of 16 overall.   The Cardinals are an amazing 12-1 this season if they scored 2 runs or less the previous game.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, June 1

Dave EsslerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tampa Bay +110FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is one of our premium plays for today, FWIW. Archer is a strikeout pitcher than can get out of jams, while IMO Ublado has maxed-out. The Rays are simply on a tear, while the Indians are perhaps still a bit over valued after the run they had a couple of weeks ago. With the wind howling out to right, their are too many big left-handed sticks in the Rays order not to think they don't score plenty off Jiminez. If I totally trusted the Rays pen, especially after Moore didn't last long last night, this would be a bigger play. But, you can't have everything, and with a hit team at plus-money, it's a play for us.

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Cubs -137FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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There is an unbelievable amount of value on the Cubs today with Jeff Samardzija on the mound. Samardzija may be 3-6 on the season but those losses were coming at a time when the Cubs were struggling to score runs. Chicago now has a .266 batting average in their past 7 games averaging 6 runs per game in that span. The improvement offensively for the Cubs has reflected in Samardzija’s last three starts where he has gone 2-1 averaging 8 innings pitched with a 1.12 ERA.
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Arizona is having trouble in this series against Chicago scoring just two runs in yesterday’s game and the future does not look bright for the Diamondbacks when they face Samardzija today. Chicago has now won 5 consecutive games so it is safe to say they are the hot team in this matchup. Arizona will give the start to Ian Kennedy today. Kennedy is 2-3 on the season with a 4.70 ERA so Chicago will have a strong advantage at the starting pitcher position. The Cubs have a history of dominating Arizona when playing at Wrigley Field. They are 6-1 in the last 7 games against Arizona at home.

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Larry NessFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco vs. St. LouisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Matt Cain was a hard luck pitcher to open his career but got things straightened out by 2009. He went 14-8 (2.89 ERA) that year and followed with seasons of 13-11 (3.14) and 12-11 (2.88). He signed a HUGE contract right before the opening of the 2012 season and DELIVERED, going 16-5 (2.79), while helping the Giants win a second World Series in three years. Cain struggled to begin this season and after 11 starts, is 4-2 with a 5.00 ERA (team is 6-5). However, he’s 4-0 with a 3.48 ERA in his last five starts (team is 5-0), and seemingly is back on track.
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St Louis rookie Shelby Miller has been everything (and more) his ‘publicity department’ said he was going to be. He’s 5-3 with a 2.02 ERA after 10 starts (Cards are 7-3), allowing only 45 hits in 62.1 innings with a 65-16 KW ratio. In his four home starts, his ERA is 0.99. Cain and Miller square off against each other in tonight’s opener of a three-game series which is a rematch of last year’s NLCS, one in which the Giants came back from a 3-1 deficit to win in seven games. With these two pitchers on the mound, why go over?
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Here’s why. First, note that the “typical” San Francisco road game has the Giants averaging 4.38 RPG while allowing 5.67, which is 10.05 runs per game (total stood at 7 1/2 when I posted this game!). What’s more, San Francisco comes in having lost 10 of 16, getting let down by its starting pitching, which has just THREE quality starts in that span, after Zito gave the team six innings while allowing just one run in Thursday’s 5-2 win. Yes, Cain is “coming around” by I want no part of him here in St Louis, where he is 0-3 with a 7.04 ERA in four career starts, including the postseason. Let me add here that in his only start against the Cards in 2013 (April 7 in San Francisco), Cain allowed nine ERs over 3.2 innings of a 14-3 loss! Now to Miller. Yes, he’s been terrific but since his May 10 start at home vs Colorado, one in which he allowed a leadoff single and then retired 27 consecutive batters (13 Ks) in a 3-0 win, Miller hasn’t gotten out of the sixth inning in any of his last three starts. Over his last two, he’s allowed 12 hits and six ERs over 11 innings, for a 4.91 ERA. This game is Goin’ Over!

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Jeff AlexanderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston Astros +206FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Astros are enjoying their best stretch of the season with 4 wins in their last 5 games. With Friday's 6-3 win, they improved to 3-1 in their last 4 against the Angels. Norris is 2-0 with a 0.60 ERA in 2 starts against the Halos this season. The Angels are 3-8 in Williams' last 11 starts and 1-5 in his last 6 home starts. With these things in mind, I feel the Astros are a nice value bet Saturday.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles +121 over COLORADOFFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Dodgers usually do well against the Rockies. They took the opener last night and have now won six of their past nine games against Colorado. Since coming off the disabled list a few weeks ago, Zack Greinke has had one decent start followed by two terrible starts.  It's hard to get a read on Greinke's season so far given the disruption caused by his shoulder injury, as he's only thrown 25 innings (17/5 K/BB, 4.38 ERA). However, he has an outstanding track record against these Rockies hitters. Colorado’s current lineup has just 17 hits in 91 career AB’s versus Greinke for a BA of just .187. Backing Greinke when he’s taking back a tag has to be considered the prudent thing to do because when he’s on, he’s still one of the best. Nothing about his skills scream "RED FLAG," as he's flashed elite skills going as far back as 2007 and now he gets to face a team that’s going bad and that he has had success against.
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The Rockies have dropped three in a row and six of seven. Their only win over that span was a 2-1 victory in Houston. The Rockies have scored five runs or less in six straight home games and 12 straight games overall. Jhoulys Chacin went 3-5 with a 4.43 ERA in 69 frames last year when he was terrible in his first five starts. That turned into a demotion, which turned into three months on the DL with shoulder inflammation. ERA bounced back in second half but strikeout rate plunge and xERA show that skills still weren't solid. This year, Chacin is on the same path as last, minus the injury. He’s been whacked in three of his last five starts and over that span, his skills are trending the wrong way. Chacin’s groundball rate has dipped from 48% in April to 42% in May. His line-drive rate has increased from 23% in April to 29% in May. Over his last three home starts, Chacin has been tagged for 20 hits and 16 earned runs over 18.2 innings.  Lastly, current Dodgers have 31 hits in 100 career AB’s versus Chacin for a BA of .310. Overlay.
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CHICAGO -1 +104 over ArizonaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This one is really a no-brainer. The Cubbies will face Ian Kennedy and his fly-ball bias profile. Kennedy’s groundball/line-drive/fly-ball split is a troublesome 37%/24%/39%. At this park with the wind blowing out again today, this is the profile of a disaster waiting to happen. Kennedy has a 4.70 ERA and 1.32 WHIP after 61 innings and his base skills don't give much hope for a rebound. This has been a house of horrors recently for the Snakes, as they have dropped four in a row at Wrigley while being outscored 22-5. With the wind blowing out yesterday, the D-Backs scored twice. The Cubbies are red-hot. They’ve reeled off five in a row and have scored seven runs or more in four straight. Chicago has also hit 11 bombs over their past five games and figure to hit more here against Kennedy.
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Jeff Samardzija broke out in the second half of 2012, posting a 2.58 ERA and 1.02 WHIP He has continued those stats and skills so far in 2013. He has a 2.85 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. He’s also struck out 80 batters in 73 frames while keeping his groundball rate at around the 50% mark. Samardzija is now throwing four different pitches at least 10% of the time: 95 mph fastball (54%), 85 mph slider (14%), 92 mph cutter (11%), 86 mph splitter (19%). With overpowering raw stuff and a varied arsenal, Samardzija's growth is for real. It would be long until everyone will know how to spell his name. Back this dude with confidence because he’s that good.
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Cincinnati +118 over PITTSBURGHFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Francisco Liriano is 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA after four start since coming off the DL. That solid start has many folks licking their chops and why not? 28 K’s and 8 walks are numbers to get excited about. Then again, it's only four starts and we have two years of evidence that his control just isn't reliable enough to count on. In 2011, Liriano walked 75 batters in 134 frames and last year he walked 55 in 89 innings. Liriano was hit hard in his last start in Detroit and his three other starts were favorable when he faced the Cubbies and Milwaukee at PNC Park and the Mets at Citi Field. We’re not ready to concede that Liriano’s highwire act is over. Neither a temporary move to the bullpen nor change of scenery helped him find the plate last year. Two straight years of atrocious disaster starts % reminds us to heed caution. Perhaps he has found his groove again but we’re going to need at least a 10-start sample size before attaching a value sign to him. For this game, he’s a sell-high target.
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Perhaps it’s time to give Mike Leake his just due. Leake has 53 quality starts in 88 career turns, he's got a first-round pedigree and he's in a groove right now. Leake has allowed just one earned run over his past three starts. He’s coming off a 7.1 inning, 5-hit gem against the hot hitting Indians. On the road, Leake is 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA and overall he has a 3.03 ERA. That’s saying something when you pitch half your games at Great American Ballpark. There’s more to like about him also. Leake has an elite groundball rate of 53%. In 62 frames, he’s walked just 15 while maintaining a good strikeout rate of 6.46 batters per nine innings. The Reds have won four of Leake’s last five starts and there’s no reason they can’t win this one too.

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NellyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Mariners / Twins UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Aaron Harang is coming off a complete game shutout in his last game, beating his former team and home town club. Harang has mostly struggled on the road this season but he will face a light-hitting Twins lineup in this game. Minnesota was shut out by Hisashi Iwakuma last night and despite a short-term boost for the offense with four games against the horrible Milwaukee pitching staff this has been a weak hitting team. On the year Minnesota is batting just .235 against right-handed pitching and these are two of the least powerful teams in baseball. Target Field has averaged 9.3 runs per game this season with batters hitting .276 but it has been a low scoring park in day games. The under is 7-3 in Target Field day games with an average of just 7.3 runs scored per game. Minnesota starter Kevin Correia has great numbers at home this season with a 2.50 ERA and while he is not often dominant he has kept the Twins in just about every game. Four of his last five starts have been on the road, explaining his recent decline but he has kept runners off the bases and there are likely to be few home runs in today's humid conditions. The under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these teams and Correia faces a Seattle lineup batting .223 over the last 10 games. In that span Minnesota has scored less than 3.6 runs per game while Seattle has scored fewer than 3.3 runs per game but this total is still relatively high with the lack of dominant starters. Both teams have very good bullpens and this should be another low scoring game in this series.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston +173 over PITTSBURGH (Series)SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston +156 over PITTSBURGHFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Penguins offense is scary. They are extremely deep and talented at the all-important center position and every time they are on the power-play it seems like the scoring chances are endless. The Bruins have to be disciplined and stay out of the box more than Pittsburgh or they will likely suffer the same fate as Ottawa and the Islanders. Ottawa’s inability to score in the last round was a problem, although the Sens were outmatched. The Bruins are not. They have an edge in net and anytime you have that edge you have a good chance of advancing. Boston's fourth line is the best in the league and has contributed significantly to the team's success. Daniel Paille, Gregory Campbell and Shawn Thornton killed the Rangers and it's rare to see a fourth line, with all its movable parts, staying together for three years. Boston's built to outlast its opponents, to grind them down and earn wins. And though Pittsburgh has enviable talent and depth up front, the Penguins have yet to face a defense anywhere in the neighborhood of Boston's physical and intimidating group. The Pens scored at an insane clip of 4.27 goals per game but that is very likely to come down against the B’s. The Bruins have some experience in getting under the skin of opponents, of knocking players off their games. You may recall the 2011 Stanley Cup Final when Brad Marchard used Daniel Sedin's head as a speedbag and Milan Lucic stuck his fingers in Alexandre Burrows' face. Things could escalate quickly against Pittsburgh and James Neal, who is one of the most easily agitated players in the league. Tony Krug and Matt Batkowski have been nothing short of a revelation for the Bruins and it may be worth noting the Bruins have gotten 13 goals from their defense, by far the most in the league.
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The Penguins were able to bend without breaking as the Islanders challenged them in the first round. Remember, they didn't do that last year against the Flyers. When push came to shove in that series, they fell over like a team that couldn't play defense, survive scrums or stop goals. The Penguins have had a rather easy time so far but the Bruins are inarguably a tougher, meaner, more disciplined squad than what the Pens have had to contend with so far and Boston employs a few characters who can slither under your skin and make life miserable. Of course the Penguins can win this series but how can you rule out the Bruins chances? Boston has just a good a chance of advancing but the marketplace loves the Penguins and as a result of that we get a generous line in both the series and in Game 1 and so we’ll play them both.
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Los Angeles vs CHICAGOFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Kings inability to win on the road prevents us from playing them in Game 1. We’re also not that comfortable spotting a ½ puck with the Blackhawks in regulation when Los Angeles is involved in so many low-scoring, close games. Also consider that the Kings have been pushed to the brink in two hard fought and bruising seven-game series against St. Louis and San Jose. The Kings tank may be running low while the Blackhawks tank was refueled after overcoming a 3-1 deficit against the Red Wings. Jonathan Quick gives the Kings an edge in net but Corey Crawford’s play can’t be ignored, as he has come up big when the chips were down. With home ice advantage, we’re leaning Chicago in this series but will not play them because the price is too steep. For now, we’ll watch Game 1 and see how it plays out before stepping in. No bets.

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Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Cubs -137FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Chicago Cubs have a huge edge on the mound tonight with one of the most underrated starters in the league in Jeff Samardzija getting the ball. He'll take down Ian Kennedy and the Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday.
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Samardzija has posted a 2.85 ERA and 1.046 WHIP through 11 starts this season. He has also struck out 80 batters in 72 2/3 innings.
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Kennedy is 2-3 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.321 WHIP through 10 starts this season. He is also 2-2 with a 6.93 ERA and 1.458 WHIP in six career starts against Chicago.
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The Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. The Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games overall. Chicago is 5-0 in Samardzija's last 5 starts as a home favorite. Bet the Cubs Saturday.

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Joe Gavazzi

Pittsburgh -130

We come right back with the Pirates in this Division Rivalry reducing the rating a bit only because the linemaker is at last catching up to Pittsburgh success. In recent years the NL Central, including Houston, was considered to be the weakest Division in MLB. Through the end of May, however, the NL East features 3 teams in St. Louis, Pittsburgh and Cincinnati who are all playing > .600 baseball. It is the first time since 1986 when Boston, NYY and Baltimore were greater than .600 that any division has had 3 such winning teams through the end of May. The Pittsburgh loss last night to Cueto who had a great history against them was really not a shock. After all, Pittsburgh is just 6-12 in Game #1 of a series. But in Game #2 plus of every series this season, the Pittsburgh record is 28-9. Following a 1-5 start, Pittsburgh remains on runs of 33-16 and 16-5. And while Cincinnati is a meager 14-14 on the road, the Pirates stand 20-10 at PNC including 10-2 recently. Leake has been a hot starter for the Reds posting a record of 2-0 with 0.43 ERA L3 starts. But in his lone outing vs. the Pirates this season, Leake allowed 5 runs, 10 hits in 6 IP of a 6-5 loss to the Pirates. Through 4 starts, Liriano has a 2.35 ERA and 28/6 KBB. His work is even better from this mound, where in 2 starts, he has an 0.99 ERA.

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NHL PredictionsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Kings +150FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Kings beat a solid Sharks team in 7 games in Round 2, and have been impressive knocking off two very quality teams in St Louis and San Jose to start their run at defending their Stanley Cup from last season. The Blackhawks came back from down 3-1 to beat the Red Wings in 7 games. They have now beaten Minnesota and Detroit, but will face a much more complete Kings team in the Western Conference finals. These two teams met 3 times this year with Chicago winning the first two 5-2 and 3-2, and then Los Angeles winning the last 5-4 in Chicago. Last season the Kings went 3-1 against the Blackhawks. Kings goalie Jonathan Quick gives them a chance to win every game, as he leads the NHL this postseason with a 1.50 GAA and .948%. Corey Crawford has been great for Chicago as well with a 1.70 GAA and .938%. These two teams match up well and I think we are in for a long series. I had this game closer to a pick'em with a slight edge going to Chicago for home ice advantage and I will happily take the value in the road underdog.
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Boston Bruins +160FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bruins took care of the New York Rangers in 5 games in their 2nd round match up after coming from behind to beat Toronto in Game 7 in round 1. The Penguins also had little troubles in the 2nd round needing just 5 games to beat Ottawa after taking care of the Islanders in 6 games in the first round. Both teams will have to step up their games in what should be another exciting, and long series. Although Pittsburgh went 3-0 in the regular season I don't think that gives us a good indication of what we will see in this series. In those 3 meetings this year Pittsburgh won all by just 1 goal and in two of those games they were outshot 40-24 and 32-18 but still came out on top. The Penguins have an edge in goalie with Tomas Vokoun playing great, but I do think that the Bruins will be able to get to him much better than the Senators and Islanders did. I think we are in the same situation as the first game, in that either team has a chance to win Game 1 and although Pittsburgh should be favored on home ice it shouldn't be this high. I'll hop on the road team getting value at +160.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, June 1

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Los Angeles at ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Chicago -160FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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There is a unique set of circumstances as the COnference Finals feature four teams hat have won a Stanley Cup Championship over the last four years. This is a true round of champions. The reigning Champion, the Los Angeles Kings will start on the road where they have been pretty weak on the season, winning just eight regular season games. The playoffs have been even worse for the Kings as they have just one road win to show for six games. The problem is that the offense that has generated just 8 goals in the six road tilts at 1.25 goals per contest. It's hard to put one in the win column scoring just one time. It runs their road tally to a woeful 1-10 in their last 11. The Blackhawks have been dominating teams that struggle to score as they are 38-13 in their last 51 vs. a team that scored 2 or less in their previous game. The Kings are just 5-12 in the last 17 meetings, including 3-7 in their last 10 trips to the Windy City. Take Chicago.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, June 1

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COLORADO -130 over LA Dodgers: Despite last night's win the Dodgers are still 3-9 in their last 12 games, while the Rockies check in at 20-7 in their last 27 games as a favorite. Zack Greinke has not looked good at all since his return from the DL, as he is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 starts. Those starts include a road game vs lowly Milwaukee, in which he allowed 5 ER's on 9 hits in just 4 innings of work. Overall he is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA in 2 road starts this year. Zach has pitched well in this park, but in his last 5 starts overall vs the Rockies he is 1-1 with a 5.13 ERA. Jhoulys Chacin has really had just 2 bad starts this year and in those starts he allowed 13 ER's, while in his 7 other starts this year he has allowed a combined 11 ER's, while not allowing more than 3 ER's in any of those other 7 starts. In his last start, and only start vs the Dodgers last year he allowed 7 ER's, but in his previous 7 starts vs them he allowed just 8 total ER's. For the most part he has pitched well vs them, posting a 6-5 record with a 3.15 ERA in 12 appearances (11 starts) vs them. LA is still a team in trouble and while they won last night and put up 7 runs in the process, they are still without Kemp and just won't come up with enough offense to win this one.   


St Louis/ San Francisco Under 7 (Game 2): This one has the feel of a pitcher's duel. Madison Bumgarner has not pitched well of late for the Giants as he comes in with a 5.89 ERA in his last 3 starts, but he has a decent 3.13 ERA overall and a 3.55 ERA on the road and a 3.15 ERA in 3 career starts here. Madison will also be taking on a St Louis offense that has really struggled vs lefties on the year. The Cards have averaged 5.22 rp/9  and have hit .278 vs righties on the year, but vs southpaws they have scored just 3.51 rp/9 and have hit .214 off of them. At home its even worse as they have hit just .207 and have scored just 2.87 rp/9 off of lefties. The Cards may not need a whole lot of runs as Wainright has been awesome at home with a 1.45 ERA and an 0.68 WHIP in his 4 starts here. His home starts this year have averaged just 5.25 rpg. The Giants offense has been on a roll of late, but they have not scored more than 2 ER's in Adam's last 6 starts vs them and they haven't put up no more than 1 run in their last 3 trips here vs Adam. The Giants will also be without Sandoval today, while the Cards have 3 players listed as questionable (Freese, Beltran and Molina) due to rest. Not sure if they will sit game 1 or two, but no matter I still don't see this game putting up more than 5 runs.


Boston +104 over NEW YORK: I will go with the Sox to get a measure of revenge from last night's loss. Felix Doubront is starting to pitch well for the Sox as he has a 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts, not allowing more than 2 ER's in each start. Despite his 5.29 ERA overall, the Sox are still 6-2 in his starts this year. Felix also has solid numbers vs the Yanks of late, posting a 1-1 record and a 2.52 ERA in his last 5 starts vs them. Today he will face a yanks offense that is struggling, having scored just 3.2 rpg in their last 10 games and 2.2 rpg in their last 5 games. The Yanks have also given Phil Hughes just 1.7 rpg worth of support in his last 3 starts and 2.8 rpg worth of support in his home starts. He has pitched well in his last 2 starts, but the Yanks still lost both game. Boston's offense was held in check last night, but still they have averaged 5.3 pg in their last 2 games and that's a full 2 rpg more than the Yanks have put up over that stretch. The Yankee offensive injuries are starting to take their toll on this team and I see Boston Taking advantage with a big road win tonight.

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Miami at IndianaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Indiana +2.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Indiana Pacers face a close-out situation in the Eastern COnference Finals at home tonight. The Heat exploded in the third quarter of Game Five by outscoring the Pacers 30-13 to take a 3-2 series lead. Teams that are up 3-2 in an NBA conference final, that have seen a see-saw W-L-W-L-W in the first five games have won just 45.5% of all Game Six contests. The Pacers are 7-1 ATS at home, and 5-0 ATS in their last five following a loss, while the Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last four when following a win. Indiana prevails at the final buzzer, so take them here.

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