Monday Service Plays

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DUNKEL INDEX - MLB

Houston at San Diego

The Padres look to bounce back from their heart-breaking Wild Card loss last season behind starter Jake Peavy, who captured pitching's version of the Triple Crown by leading the NL in wins, ERA and strikeouts. The Astros are rebuilding after a 73-89 campaign in '07. San Diego is the pick in the opener (-155) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1.

Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-155).

Here are all of today's and games.
MONDAY, MARCH 31
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Arizona at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Webb) 15.088; Cincinnati (Harang) 14.576
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-105); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-105); Under

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Sheets) 14.962; Chicago Cubs (Zambrano) 15.077
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-120); N/A

Game 905-906: Washington at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Chico) 14.368; Philadelphia (Myers) 15.473
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-205); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-205); Under

Game 907-908: San Francisco at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 14.853; LA Dodgers (Penny) 14.786
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+160); Over

Game 909-910: NY Mets at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 15.163; Florida (Hendrickson) 14.167
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-210); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-210); Over

Game 911-912: Colorado at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Francis) 15.501; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.748
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110); Under

Game 913-914: Pittsburgh at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 14.463; Atlanta (Glavine) 15.773
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Over

Game 915-916: Houston at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 14.375; San Diego (Peavy) 15.140
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-155); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-155); Over

Game 917-918: Kansas City at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Meche) 14.981; Detroit (Verlander) 15.530
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-200); Under

Game 919-920: Toronto at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 15.243; NY Yankees (Wang) 16.006
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-150); Over

Game 921-922: Tampa Bay at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.425; Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.158
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+115); Under

Game 923-924: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 14.803; Cleveland (Sabathia) 15.452
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-170); Under

Game 925-926: Texas at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 14.879; Seattle (Bedard) 15.368
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-180); Under

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.101; Minnesota (Hernandez) 15.179
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+135); Under

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Brandon Lang

5 Dime Mets Run Line
5 Dime Bradley
5 Dime Nuggets

Free - Blue Jays and Angels

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Drew Gordon

1. 200,000* Rockies

2. 50,000* LA Angels

3. 50,000* Hawks

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2-Minute Warning 

Dallas Mavericks

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Chris Jordan

Kansas City at DETROIT -1' +105

No doubt about Gil Meche shocked some folks last season, when he opened the 2007 campaign with a win over the BoSox. This year he heads into Comerica Park, where he is admittedly 4-1 lifetime in nine starts, but will be facing an awfully rowdy crowd and even more hostile lineup. I am expecting Detroit to jump all over him early, providing young Justin Verlander with plenty to work with.

And there’s no doubting we’re safe in banking Verlander for the run line, as he’s emerged as an ace Tiger with that explosive fastball that overwhelms teams with late life. I love watching this kid vary his speeds, and then mix in his plus-curve with long-arm action against righties. And when he short-arms the lefties, it’s a wicked change that runs and sinks from the boys on the other side of the plate. Lay the run and a half with the jungle stripes on opening day.

2* TIGERS RUN LINE

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Michael Cannon

Houston +145 at SAN DIEGO

Take the Astros as the road dog tonight over the Padres.

A great pitching matchup as Roy Oswalt and Jake Peavy square off in a battle of power right-handers.

But I like Oswalt and I love the Astros getting him at this price.

There's no doubt Peavy is one of the better pitchers in the league, but Oswalt has a good track record against the Padres and I'm going to ride that tonight.

The Astros right-hander is 7-1 with a 2.27 ERA in nine career games against San Diego. Pitching in Petco will only help to enhance those numbers tonight.

Houston can also send some serious hitters at Peavy, with guys like Hunter Pence, Lance Berkman and Carlos Lee.

San Diego's lineup doesn't pack nearly the punch, so look for Oswalt to breeze tonight.

Take Houston as the dog tonight as they grab the road win.

3* HOUSTON

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Joel Tyson

Pittsburgh +130 at ATLANTA

The Pirates travel to Turner Field today to take on the Atlanta Braves. The Pirates had little success last year in the Braves home, as they managed to post just one victory.

Today however could be a day for the Pirates to end their Turner Field funk and walk out with a Win.

The Pirates will have slugging second baseman Freddie Sanches in the lineup today, after being sidelined with a sore shoulder. Sanchez hit .304 with 11 homers and 81 RBIs last season, and led the NL in battering average the year before.

The Pirates will send Ian Snell to the mound to square off against 41 year old Tom Glavine. Snell was 9-12 in 2007 with a 3.76 ERA, with his record being adversely effected by lack of run support. In the right handers final three starts of last year Snell held down a 1.42 ERA, but failed to win, as the offense bolstered just six runs of support over these outings.

Today however I look for better things, as Glavine was roughed up near the end of last season, an indication that age may be coming into play. Maybe or maybe not, well have to wait and see.

Pirates great value today as we say play ball.

2* PITTSBURGH

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Bobby Maxwell

Colorado -105 at ST. LOUIS

We're going with the Rockies as we all remember their incredible run to end the season and through the first two rounds of the playoffs. This team won 14 of 15 games to end the season, won a wild-card tiebreaker and then swept through the first two rounds of the playoffs with seven straight wins before falling apart in the World Series.

And the roster is pretty much unchanged for this squad. The only regular they lost was second basebam Kaz Matsui who is easily replaced by rookie Jayson Nix who hit .292 with 11 homers in Triple-A Colorado Springs. Matt Holliday was a MVP candidate with a .340 average, 137 RBIs and 36 homers. SS Troy Tulowitzki had a .987 fielding percentge and hit 24 homers.

This offense is deadly and if the pitching comes along like it did in the second half of last season, this squad could be headed back to the World Series. Jeff Francis gets the start tonight for Colorado after going 17-9 last season with a 4.22 ERA. He was 9-4 after the All-Star break and is 4-1 with a 2.28 ERA in six starts against St. Louis.

There are questions surrounding the Cardinals offense with Albert Pujols not 100 percent and the departures of Jim Edmonds, Scott Rolen and David Eckstein. And on the hill tonight is Adam Wainwright who went 14-12 last year with a 3.70 ERA.

Let's go with the Rockies in this one as the offense is just too much for Wainwright and the Cardinals.

4* COLORADO

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SportsKingz

MLB

ANGELS -140
SAN DIEGO -165


NBA

SUNS OVER 235 (5 UNITS)

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INFOPLAYS

3* on D-Backs/Reds UNDER 8.5
(List Webb and Harang)

Despite winning the division, the Diamondbacks scored only 712 runs - the fifth-fewest total in the major leagues last season. It won’t be a better start this season for the Diamondbacks offensively when they face the Reds’ Ace in Aaron Harang today. Harang was great at home last season with just a 3.41 ERA. D-Backs’ Ace Brandon Webb was better on the road last year with a 2.88 ERA in 18 road starts. This will definitely be a boring, pitcher’s duel on opening day. The UNDER is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between Arizona and Cincinnati. That stat cannot be ignored. Bet the UNDER 8.5 runs.

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Armvin Sports

Pittsburgh Pirates 132

Toronto Blue Jays 140

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West Coast Sports Service Baseball:

Cubs -130
Houston +145
Baltimore +115
Minnesota +120
Toronto +140

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Kelso

Chairmans Club 10 units Charlotte +2
Best Bets 5 units Denver +6.5

March Madness
50 unit Bradley +5.5 @ Tulsa in the best of three CBI tourney.

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Keith Martin Sports

Yankees under 9

Reds under 8.5 - Comp

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Thanks for all of your hard work in getting these picks, they're terrific!  Do you get the daily MLB package from Jeff Bonds? 

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Michael Cannon

Monday's Plays...

15 Dime –

BRADLEY

Take the points with Bradley tonight when they travel to take on Tulsa in Game 1 of the CBI Finals.

Bradley has the advantage in the backcourt in this matchup with Daniel Ruffin, Andrew Warren and Jeremy Crouch.

This is one of the few times Bradley has had all three of those players healthy and in the lineup together this year. The Braves are 14-5 SU this year when Ruffin and Warren are in the lineup together.

Crouch has been the hottest of the three, however. He’s posted seven 20-point or more games in his last nine, including 27 in the semifinal win at Virginia.

With the way they are playing right now, Bradley has a definite chance at stealing a win here before returning home on Wednesday night.

Take the points with Bradley as they stay within the number.


5 Dime –

BLUE JAYS (With Halladay as listed pitcher)

Take the Blue Jays as the underdog this afternoon over the Yankees.

It’s hard to pass up Toronto at a plus return when Roy Halladay is pitching, regardless of the opponent.

The fact that it’s the Yankees makes this a bit of a reach, but Halladay hasn’t exactly been intimidated by the Pinstripes in his career.

The right-hander is 10-4 lifetime with a 2.99 ERA in 24 games against the Yankees. What’s more, he’s 4-0 with a 1.77 ERA in his last eight starts against New York, which hasn’t beaten him since September 2004.

The Yankees will counter with Chien-Ming Wang, who was destroyed in the playoffs last year against Cleveland, going 0-2 with a 19.06 ERA in two games.

You have to wonder about Wang’s mental state after that disappointment, and going against Halladay only reduces his margin for error in this game.

Take Toronto at the plus return as they grab the road win.


TIGERS -1 ½ RUN LINE (With Verlander as listed pitcher)

Take the Tigers on the run line this afternoon over the Royals.

It’s hard not to like the Tigers at this reduced price, considering their potent lineup.

Off-season acquisition Miguel Cabrera only strengthens a lineup that already includes Magglio Ordonez and Gary Sheffield. They figure to score a lot of runs this year, and with Justin Verlander getting the nod today it shouldn’t take much to cover the run line.

Verlander is 6-0 with a 2.26 ERA in eight career starts against the Royals, who lost 11 of the 18 meetings with the Tigers last year.

Take Detroit on the run line as they win by at least two.


PIRATES (With Snell as listed pitcher)

Take the Pirates at the plus return tonight over the Braves.

Atlanta played last night at Washington and had to catch a late flight home, while the Pirates already went through their workout at Turner Field.

I know it’s the Pirates and they are a woeful team, but Ian Snell gets the start tonight and he’s proven to be a promising young starter for the Bucs.

The right-hander won 14 games in 2006, then responded with a 3.76 ERA in 32 starts last year.

The Braves will counter with Tom Glavine, and while he’s a 300-game winner in the majors, you have to wonder how much the 42-year-old has left in the tank.

Take the Pirates at the plus return as they grab the road win.

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silentnightrider wrote:


Thanks for all of your hard work in getting these picks, they're terrific!  Do you get the daily MLB package from Jeff Bonds? 

Sometimes I post everything I find

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Akmens CBB

Bradley/Tulsa OVER 141

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Lance's Lock

Current streak: 4 losses

Todays play: The Grizzlies +3

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FAST EDDIE

Toronto

Last time the Jays opened up the season in March they defeated a highly touted Rangers team 8-3 at Arlington. And yes, it was, Roy Halliday, Mister April tossing that win. Once again Halliday gets the nod for the Jays on opening day. The obvious starter for the Jays considering what he does in April and against the Yankees in his career. Last season Halliday started off 4-0 in April with a solid 2.28 ERA in 6 starts. He followed up that early success as the Jays #1 man against the Yankees too. In his 3 starts against the Yankees Halliday went 2-0 with a decent 2.43 ERA including 2 GEMS at Yankee Stadium. In those 2 starts last year he allowed just 2 runs in 15.2 innings while striking out 10 with a miniscule ERA of 1.18. Last year was not an aberration as he has had success every year against the Yanks. The cream comes to the top in big games and that describes Halliday when facing the Yankees. In last seasons opener he stymied the mighty Tigers over 6 innings of 2 run ball.

Once again, Halliday has carried his early season success into spring training. In 14 innings he has an ERA of 2.57 and best of all, the Halliday trade mark, he has K’d 12 while not allowing a free pass. That’s how you beat the Yankees; just keep the runners off the bases. Halliday has the talent to do this all game. With the new improved defence behind him and arguably the best bullpen in the American League, the Jays are primed for another opening day win.

The true pressure today and all eyes will be on the Birthday Boy Wang in his first opening day start. Wang has not looked good since being demolished by the Indians in last year’s playoffs. In his 2 starts he allowed 12 runs and 14 hits in just 5 and 2/3 innings of work. That huge let down that he says took him 2 months to get over has carried into spring. In his 3 spring outings he has been lit up for an ERA of 8.44 in just 10 innings. The 10 runs allowed and 15 hits are a real concern for the Yankees with a suspect pen at best. Sure he has won 38 games the last 2 years but his disaster October seems to be playing on his mind. The Jays have had no problems beating him either. He faced the Jays 3 times last year going 0-2 with a high 6.35 ERA. Bad news for Wang is the emergence of the bats of Wells and Overbay. Both are having great springs and both struggled last season. The only good news for Wang is that Rolen may be out. However, the Jays have gone out and got some infield depth so no worries for the Jays.

I can talk all day about Wangs difficulties coming in but more impressively is how Halliday ended last year and this spring. In September he was untouchable and he has carried that success into opening day. A big difference between these 2 starters’ attitudes and mentality going into opening day. It gets more intriguing for Halliday as well with Posada, Jeter and Damon all struggling to hit above .220 in spring.

With Superior starting pitching, bullpen and defence, expect the Jays to duplicate their 8-3 win on opening day!

JAYS 8 YANKEES 3

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