NFL Week 11 Picks: Is 44.5 points too many for the Bears and Giants?

Bears vs. Giants Pick

Will the New York Giants feast on a poor Chicago Bears team this Sunday or will the two struggle to score when they meet at 1PM ET?

According to the oddsmakers at BetDSI, New York is the favorite at home, as the Giants are getting odds of -7.5 points against the Bears. The over/under total is currently listed at 44.5 points. The Bears have won three of the last five in this series while the two have hit the over in seven of their last 10 meetings.

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The Giants are riding the high of a four-game win streak following a 21-20 win over the Bengals on Monday night. New York is now 6-3 on the year while going 6-3 with the under. New York has been steady on defense while struggling at times on offense. The defense is giving up just 20.4 points per game despite allowing 370.3 yards per contest. They have a great run defense, giving up only 92.1 yards per game but are susceptible to the pass, allowing 278 yards through the air per contest. Offensively, the Giants are putting up 20.2 points and 349.9 yards per game. They have one of the league’s worst rushing attacks, averaging just 74.2 yards per game. Rashad Jennings is the leading rusher with 255 yards. Eli Manning has thrown for 2,481 yards and 15 touchdowns to help lead the offense, but he also has 10 interceptions. Odell Beckham Jr. continues to be a big playmakers, as he has 54 catches for 773 yards and six touchdowns. He’s been much more effective at home, catching 37 passes for 572 yards and five touchdowns.

Bet on Bears vs. Giants

The Bears are beat up and not winning games, as they stand 2-7 on the year following a 36-10 loss at Tampa Bay last week. Chicago is also 5-4 with the under as they are averaging just 15.7 points per game this season. Jay Cutler missed a chunk of the season with an injury but is back. He has thrown for 807 yards and three touchdowns with four interceptions. Making matters tougher for him is top receiver Alshon Jeffery was suspended four games this week for a violation of the NFL’s PED policy. Zach Miller is now the team’s leading receiver with 44 catches for 425 yards and three touchdowns. Jordan Howard has run for 605 yards and two touchdowns to lead the offense, but faces a stingy NY run defense. Speaking of defense, Chicago’s isn’t all too bad despite the bad record. The Bears give up just 23.9 points and 358.6 yards per game. They are also tough against the run, allowing only 98.4 yards per game. They also has 24 sacks as a team in 2016. Willie Young is leading the team with six sacks, but is questionable for this game with an ankle injury.

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The Giants just haven’t been getting in their usual shootouts this season. They actually have a defense that is making plays. I see them doing well against this depleted Chicago offense. I also think the Bears will put up somewhat of a fight against the New York offense, as the Giants still won’t be able to run the ball. I like the under in this one.

NFL WEEK 11 PICK: BEARS/GIANTS UNDER 44.5