Is 44 points too high for Titans vs. Texans? NFL Predictions 9/29/17

Titans vs. Texans Total Pick

Will the Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans have a low-scoring battle when the two AFC South foes meet up on Sunday at 1PM ET?

According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Titans are favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -2 points against the Texans. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 43.5 points. Houston has won five of the last six meetings with the Titans and the two have hit the over in four of their last six meetings. Sunday’s game takes place from NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas and airs live on CBS.

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Tennessee improved to 2-1 on the season with a win over Seattle last week and the Titans are 2-1 with the over. Tennessee is putting up 28.7 points and 388.3 yards per game behind one of the top rushing attacks in the league. DeMarco Murray has run for 184 yards while Derrick Henry has 171 yards. Marcus Mariota has thrown for 696 yards and three touchdowns while also running for 77 yards. Rishard Matthews is the leading receiver with 14 catches for 201 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 23 points and 378.3 yards per game. Their run defense is holding opponents to just 92.3 rushing yards per game.

Houston is 1-2 on the season following a 36-33 loss to the Patriots on the road last week. The Texans are 2-1 with the under this season. Houston is putting up just 17.7 points and 325.3 yards per game on offense as the unit continues to grow under rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson. Watson has thrown for 528 yards and three touchdowns with three interceptions while rushing for 124 yards and a score. DeAndre Hopkins has caught 21 passes for 204 yards and a score. Watson gets a new weapon this week as Will Fuller is expect to join the team after suffering a broken collarbone in training camp. Lamar Miller is the leading rusher on the team with 182 yards. Defensively, Houston is giving up 24.7 points and 341 yards per game.

Bet on Titans vs. Texans

On paper this seems like it should be another defensive battle, but I think the mobility of the two quarterbacks is going to lead to some big plays. When each rolls out of the pocket, it creates the opportunity for defensive breakdowns. These two have hit the over in five of their last six meetings in Houston and nine of their last 13 meetings overall. I think there will be some fireworks on Sunday.

NFL WEEK 4 PREDICTION: TITANS/TEXANS OVER 43.5

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