Bengals vs. Chiefs, 1/29/23 AFC Championship Game Over/Under Prediction

AFC Championship Game Total Prediction

With Patrick Mahomes set to play the AFC Championship Game despite suffering a high ankle sprain in last week’s win over the Jaguars, many believe that the Bengals-Chiefs matchup at 6:30 p.m. ET will turn into a shootout.

That said, is the under the better bet?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

323 Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5) at 324 Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5); o/u 48.5

6:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 29, 2023

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Bengals vs. Chiefs Public Betting Information

Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 67% of public bettors are currently backing the Bengals when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Cincinnati Bengals DFS Spin

Hayden Hurst (calf) said he'll play in the AFC Championship Game against the Chiefs.  Hurst practiced Friday ahead of the Bengals' AFC title bout with Kansas City and was officially removed from the injury report. He was added to the team's injury report Thursday with a calf issue that has plagued him for the past couple months. Hurst could be more involved than usual this Sunday if the Bengals continue to operate a quick-hitting passing attack against the Chiefs.

Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin

Chiefs coach Andy Reid told reporters that Patrick Mahomes (ankle) will start in Sunday's AFC Championship against the Bengals. He'd gotten in two full practices in a row to open the week, then added a third to that on Friday and was taken off the injury report. There's never been much of a doubt that Mahomes would play, only doubts about how much mobility he'll have on a damaged ankle. Reid said that Mahomes is "moving around good" when asked about it today.

Bengals vs. Chiefs Betting Trends

Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings

Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings

Bengals are 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 games overall

Chiefs are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 home games

Bengals vs. Chiefs Prediction:

The under has hit in nine of the previous 12 meetings between these two teams and is 5-1 in the last six meetings at Arrowhead. The under is also a perfect 5-0 in the Bengals’ last five road playoff games, is 9-1 in their last 10 postseason games overall and is 13-3-1 in their last 17 conference games. On the other side, the under is 8-3 in the Chiefs’ last 11 games coming off a win and is 6-1 in their last seven home games.

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OVER/UNDER PREDICTION: BENGALS/CHIEFS UNDER 48.5