WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, August 8th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
Betting Recap - 7/31-8/6
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Underdogs went 7-5 straight up (SU)
Underdogs went 8-4 against the spread (ATS)
Home teams posted a 11-1 SU record
Road teams posted a 10-2 ATS record
The 'over' went 7-5
Team Betting Notes
Atlanta (10-15) continues to sink like a stone, dropping their fourth consecutive game on Saturday on the road in Chicago (10-16) They're also 0-4 ATS over the span after a 6-1 ATS run from July 7-25.
Speaking of the Sky, they came alive with a pair of victories, just the third time this season they have pieced together consecutive wins. They're also a respectable 7-4 ATS over their past 11, and the 'over' has cashed in four of their past five home outings.
Connecticut (15-9) vaulted to the top of the standings in the Eastern Conference, winning their third consecutive game against Phoenix (13-12) on Friday. The Sun have rattled off six straight victories at home, and they're 4-2 ATS during the stretch.
Dallas (13-14) topped Los Angeles (18-7) as 6 1/2-point underdogs on Sunday, winning and covering for the second straight outing. It was just the second time this season they have managed to win two or more games in a row.
Indiana (9-17) snapped a five-game skid with an 84-82 victory over Minnesota (20-3), a stunning win considering they were 13-point 'dogs even at home. The Fever were 0-2 SU/ATS in their first two games as double-digit underdogs.
The Sparks have managed just six wins over their past 10 outings, and they're just 5-5 ATS over the stretch. One thing that has been a point of consistency with L.A. is on totals. The 'under' is 9-2 over their past 11 outings, and 13-3 over the past 16.
New York (12-12) continues to scuffle, as they dropped back-to-back games on the road in San Antonio (6-21) and L.A.Since June 23 they're a dismal 5-8 SU and they're just 1-3 ATS over the past four. The 'over' has connected in four in a row for the Liberty. They'll face the Fever on Tuesday, a team they topped 85-84 on July 28 in the most recent meetings, also an 'over' result.
Phoenix (13-12) is having difficulties with injuries, and they continue to stumble along. They dropped both games on their east coast swing in Connecticut and D.C., and will look to right the ship in Dallas on Thursday. The Mercury routed the Wings 107-65 at home on May 27 in the most recent meeting, but that was revenge for a stunning 68-58 loss in the opener May 14.
The Stars have finally figured it out, winning and covering a season-high three straight games. All six of their victories have come as underdogs this season.
Seattle (10-15) has dropped three in a row, tying a season high. The Storm will look to get right in Connecticut on Tuesday. They lost their first trip to Connecticut back on June 29, losing 96-89 as 6 1/2-point underdogs, and they're 0-2 SU/ATS against the Sun this season.
Washington (15-10) bounced back after a stunning loss in San Antonio on Friday, bouncing the Mercury 85-80 on Sunday in D.C. The Mystics have won and covered four in a row at the Verizon Center.
WNBA Prediction: Minnesota Lynx at Atlanta Dream
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com
Two squads from opposing conferences but both wanting to bounce back after defeats in their latest matchups are clashing tonight, when the struggling Atlanta Dream (10-15), are hosting the leaders of the WNBA, the Minnesota Lynx (20-3), who are coming off a shocking loss.
Atlanta Dream have a 10-15 record so far this season (11-14 ATS) and currently sit on the third to last place of the East. They have lost five of their last six matches and in their last game they lost on the road against Chicago with a 91-86 score. Tiffany Hayes leads the team in scoring with 16.6 ppg, adding 4.3 rpg. She is followed by Brittney Sykes with 12.2 ppg, while Layshia Clanderon adds 11.8 ppg and a team high 7 assists per game.
Minnesota Lynx have the best record currently in the league with 20-3 (12-9-2) and in their last game they saw a seven game winning streak getting snapped by losing on the road against Indiana with an 84-82 score. Sylvia Fowles leads the team in scoring with 20.4 ppg, adding team highs both in rebounds, with 9.9 per game, and in blocks with 2 per game. She is followed by Maya Moore with 17.1 ppg, adding 5.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists.
This will be the third meeting between those two teams this season, with Minnesota having won both previous matchups. Atlanta are 7-5 at home, while Minnesota are 9-2 on the road. Minnesota have the second-best offense in the league with 87.4 ppg to Atlanta’s 80.4, and the best defense, allowing 76.2 ppg to Atlanta’s 82.2. Minnesota also have the third-best percentage in field goals with 47.4% to Atlanta’s 41.7% (third-worse) and are also better in 3-pointers, shooting with 35.2% to Atlanta’s league-low of 27.7%. Lynx lead the league in assists made, with 20.7 to Dreams’ 18.2, while Dream are better in turnovers, committing a third-best 13 to Lynx’s 14.7. Both teams grab the same number of rebounds. Lynx will want to bounce back after a disappointing loss and the struggling Dream look like the perfect victim. Pick Minnesota for a win by more than 8 points tonight.
Prediction: Minnesota Lynx -8
WNBA Prediction: Seattle Storm at Connecticut Sun
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com
Two teams from different conferences and on completely mirror trajectories in their past few games are clashing tonight, when the Connecticut Sun (15-9), who are once again the leaders of the East, are hosting the Seattle Storm (10-15), who are looking to end a losing streak.
Connecticut Sun have a 15-9 record (16-8 ATS) and they surpassed Washington on the race of the top of the East. They have three consecutive wins and in their last game they won at home against Phoenix with a 93-92 score. Jonquel Jones leads the team in scoring with 15.7 ppg, adding a league-best 11.4 rebounds per game. She is followed by Jasmine Thomas with 14.7 ppg and 4.8 assists per game, while Alyssa Thomas adds 14.1 ppg, 6.4 rpg and a team high 4.9 assists per game.
Seattle Storm have a 10-15 record so far this season (10-14-1 ATS) and currently sit on the second to last place of the West. They have lost five of their last six matches and in their last game they lost on the road against San Antonio in overtime with an 87-80 score. Breanna Stewart leads the team in scoring with 20.6 ppg, adding a team high 8.5 rebounds per game. She is followed by Jewell Loyd with 17.4 ppg, 3.4 rpg and 3.5 assists, while Crystal Langhorne adds 12.6 ppg and 6 rpg.
This is the third time those two teams meet this season, with Connecticut leading 2-1 wins. Connecticut are 8-3 at home, while Seattle are 2-9 on the road. Connecticut have the best offense in the league with 86.9 ppg to Seattle’s 82, and they are also better defensively, allowing 81.9 ppg to Seattle’s 83. Seattle have a better field goal percentage, shooting with a second-best 47.7% to Connecticut’s 45.8%, while Connecticut have the best 3-point percentage in the league, shooting with 39.8% while Seattle are second-best with 36.7%. Sun are better in rebounding, grabbing a third-best 35.5 to Storm’s 30.2 (second-worse), and also commit less turnovers (12.4 to 15.1), while Seattle are better in assists made, with a third-best 19.5 to Connecticut’s 18.3. Connecticut are really hot right now and Seattle have been extremely weak on the road throughout the season, so pick Connecticut for the win tonight.
Prediction: Connecticut Sun -7.5
WNBA Prediction: Indiana Fever at New York Liberty
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com
In the only All-Eastern showdown of tonight’s games, two teams coming off different results in their latest matchups are clashing, when the New York Liberty (12-12), who want to snap a losing streak, are hosting the Indiana Fever (9-17), who are coming off one of the most surprising wins of the season.
New York Liberty have a 12-12 record so far this season (11-13 ATS) and currently sit in the third place of the East. They are coming off back-to-back losses and in their last game they lost on the road against Los Angeles with an 87-74 score. Tina Charles leads the team in scoring with 19.9 ppg, adding a team high 9.6 rebounds per game. She is followed by Sugar Rodgers with 11.9 ppg, while Shavonte Zellous adds 11.7 ppg and 4 rebounds.
Indiana Fever have an 9-17 record so far this season (10-15-1) and are sitting to the last place of the Eastern Conference and in the second to last of the whole league. In their last game they snapped a five-game losing streak with a home victory against Minnesota with an 84-82 score. Candice Dupree leads the team in scoring with 14.6 ppg, adding a team high 5.4 rebounds per game. She is followed by Shenise Johnson with 11.3 ppg, while Erica Wheeler adds 10.7 ppg and 4 assists.
In their previous meeting earlier this season, New York won a close game on the road with an 84-85 score. New York are 7-4 at home, while Indiana are 3-10 on the road. New York are better both offensively, scoring 79.6 ppg (third-worse) to Indiana’s 76.8 (second-worse), and defensively, allowing 80.1 ppg to Indiana’s third-worse of 83.9. Indiana have a better field goal percentage, shooting with 43.4% to New York’s 42.6%, while New York have a better 3-point percentage, shooting with 33.1% to Indiana’s 29.8% (second-worse). Liberty are the best rebounding team in the league with 38.5, while Indiana are last with 27.9. Indiana are also last in assists made (15.1 to 16.7), while both teams commit almost the same number of turnovers (13.4 ad 13.8 ). Despite their recent shocking victory, Indiana remain one of the weakest squads in the league, so expect an easy New York win tonight.
Prediction: New York Liberty -9
MINNESOTA (20 - 3) at ATLANTA (10 - 15) - 8/8/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 7-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE (10 - 15) at CONNECTICUT (15 - 9) - 8/8/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) against Eastern conference opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 74-104 ATS (-40.4 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
SEATTLE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
CONNECTICUT is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CONNECTICUT is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 4-3 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 5-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA (9 - 17) at NEW YORK (12 - 12) - 8/8/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 103-69 ATS (+27.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.
NEW YORK is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 7-5 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 8-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
INDIANA vs. NEW YORK
Indiana is 4-9-2 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Indiana is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
SEATTLE vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Connecticut is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Seattle
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
StatFox Super Situations
MINNESOTA at ATLANTA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more 83-42 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 36.8 units ) 3-6 this year. ( 33.3% | -3.6 units )
MINNESOTA at ATLANTA
Play On - Any team vs the money line (ATLANTA) poor three point shooting team (<=30%) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-17.5 TO's) 35-26 since 1997. ( 57.4% | 0.0 units ) 0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )
MINNESOTA at ATLANTA
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season 89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units ) 5-4 this year. ( 55.6% | 0.6 units )