Friday 7/6/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL and WNBA games.
Jimmy Boyd
Jul 06 '18, 8:10 PM in 10h
MLB | White Sox vs Astros
Play on: White Sox +1½ +130 at MyBookie
1* FREE Pick on White Sox +1.5 (+130)
I like the value here with Chicago on the +1.5 run line in Friday's contest against the Astros. Chicago should have won the opener, but blew a 3-2 lead in the bottom of the 9th and lost 4-3. I just think this series means a heck of a lot more to the White Sox than it does Houston and we will continue to see Chicago give the Astros a run for their money the rest of the series.
I like their chances here of keeping it close with Reynaldo Lopez on the mound. Lopez has been rock-solid in 2018, posting a 3.68 ERA in 17 starts. Last time out Lopez went on the road and held the Rangers to just 2 runs in 6 2/3 innings. He also was really good in his lone start against the Astros earlier this season, limiting Houston to just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 innings. Take Chicago +1.5!
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Totals Guru
Jul 06 '18, 10:05 PM in 12h
MLB | LAD vs LAA
Play on: UNDER 9 -100
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Kenny Walker
Jul 06 '18, 7:10 PM in 9h
MLB | OAK vs CLE
Play on: UNDER 9 -110
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Marc Lawrence
Jul 06 '18, 7:05 PM in 9h
MLB | Phillies vs Pirates
Play on: Pirates +100 at pinnacle
Play - Pittsburgh Pirates w/Williams vs Pivetta (Game 956).
Edges - Pirates: Williams 17 Ks and 4 BBs last three starts … Phillies: Pivetta 1-6 with 7.09 ERA and 1.70 WHIP last seven starts; and 1-5 as a dog this season. We recommend a 1* play on Pittsburgh. Thank you and good luck as always
Mike Williams
Jul 06 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | MIA vs WAS
Play on: OVER 8½ -121
1* on Marlins vs Nationals over 8½ -121
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Jack Jones
Jul 06 '18, 2:20 PM in 1h
MLB | Reds vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -151 at BMaker
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Chicago Cubs -151
The Chicago Cubs have really turned it around since getting swept in a four-game series by the Reds for the first time since 1983. They have gone 7-1 in there last eight games overall, scoring at least 5 runs in all eight games, including 9 or more five times. Now they get a shot at revenge on the Reds with Cincinnati coming to town for this 3-game set.
I like the Cubs’ chances of winning Game 1 today thanks to their advantage on the mound. Mike Montgomery is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in seven starts this season. Montgomery is also 1-1 with a. 3.32 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in four career starts against Cincinnati.
Tyler Mahle is 6-6 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.418 WHIP in 17 starts this season for the Reds, including 4-3 with a 3.75 ERA and 1.599 WHIP in nine road starts. Mahle gave up 4 earned runs, 3 homers and 9 base runners in 6 innings in his last start against the Cubs on May 20th, taking the loss in a 1-6 home defeat.
The Cubs are averaging 8.8 runs per game in their last eight games. The Reds are 16-36 in their last 52 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Chicago is 6-0 in Montgomery’s last six starts during Game 1 of a series. Bet the Cubs Friday.
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Dustin Hawkins
Jul 06 '18, 9:40 PM in 8h
MLB | SDG vs ARI
Play on: UNDER 8 -101
Free Play on Padres vs Diamondbacks under 8 -101
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Ross Benjamin
Jul 06 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
MLB | TEX vs DET
Play on: UNDER 9½ -110
Texas (Colon) @ Detroit (Zimmerman) 7:10 PM ET
Game# 967-968
Play On: Under 9.5
Bartolo Colon of Texas has started 2 games against Detroit since 2017 and collected a stellar 2.38 ERA in those appearances. Colon has been substantially better on the road than at home this season. The veteran right-hander has gone 6-2 under the total thru 8 road starts while gathering a solid 1.20 WHIP. By the way, Detroit is 40-24 (62.5%) under the total in 2018 when facing right-handed starting pitchers. The Texas bullpen has also performed much better on the road than in Arlington while posting a shiny 2.49 ERA during away games.
Despite going over the total on Thursday, Detroit has seen 7 of their last 9 games go under. Detroit’s Jordan Zimmerman has been spectacular throughout his previous 5 starts by amassing a brilliant 1.55 ERA and 0.76 WHIP during that time frame. Zimmerman has displayed impeccable control in 2018 and has averaged just 1.0 walk issued per start. Meanwhile, he’ll be facing a Texas team on Friday which has gone 10-1 under the total during road games this season when facing a starting pitcher that averages 1.75 or fewer walks issued per start. Bet on this game to go under the total for my Friday 7/6 free pick of the day.
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Brian Bitler
Brian's 9* MLB Electric Dog
San Diego vs. Arizona, 07/06/2018 21:40 EDT
Money Line: +123 San Diego
Sportsbook:
TopBet
Joey Lucchesi is the best young arm the Padres have he has put together a nice season going 4-3 with a 3.26 ERA. Last time out he pitched 5 shutout innings only allowing one hit as he continues to get better as the season rolls on. Tremendous value here with the Padres and him on plus money. I'll gladly back the much better pitcher with this kind of plus money any night. Invest 9 units on the Padres rotation #959 (Make sure you check out my CFL investment I am 7-3 70% on the season in the CFL)
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Tony Brown
Tonys *5 Mlb free play
Boston vs. Kansas City, 07/06/2018 20:15 EDT
Total: +100/+8 Under
Sportsbook:
TopBet
Fp: with 296 runs scored kc dead last in the mlb and the only team not to put up 300 runs on the season ! With Boston expected to do most of the scoring 9 runs to beat us will be a chore making the under my mob free pick !
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Chip Chirimbes
Chip's FREE MLB Winner
Texas vs. Detroit, 07/06/2018 19:10 EDT
Money Line: -101 Texas
Sportsbook:
Bookmaker
Chip's FREE MLB Winner
Texas at Detroit 7:10 ET
Rangers over Tigers- Detroit will be starting Jordan Zimmermann (3-0, 3.91 ERA) who has lost his only career starts against the Rangers while veteran Bartolo Colon (5-5, 4.76) who is 9-10 li
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Tony Karpinski
FREE PLAY
NY Yankees vs. Toronto, 07/06/2018 19:07 EDT
Money Line: -143 NY Yankees
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
Sonny Gray got torched his last time out, but he has been on fire on June 6 against the Blue Jays, allowing just two hits over eight innings. Sonny has pitched great on the road with a 3.28 ERA and this game's in Toronto. The Yankees' offense is getting out of a little funk, and Jays starter Sam Gaviglio has given up 14 runs over his last 19 innings, including four home runs. Take the Yanks as they'll hit 3 more HR's tonight.
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Red Dog Sports
Jul 06 '18, 2:00 PM in 50m
Soccer | Belgium vs Brazil
Play on: Brazil +116 at Pinnacle
Brazil +116
This should be an exciting quarterfinal World Cup match taking place on Friday afternoon in Russia. I think Brazil wins and Neymar plays well scoring a goal.
Belgium 1
Brazil 2
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Cappers Club
Jul 06 '18, 7:07 PM in 5h
MLB | Yankees vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays +130 at 5dimes
Blue Jays ML
This play just missed out on our premium card.
The New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays face off on Friday night and in this game the value lies with the Blue Jays
On the mound for the Yankees is Sonny Gray who has not been good at this year. He comes into this game with a 5-6 record and an ERA of 5.44.
In his last start against the Red Sox he only made it 2.1 innings giving up seven hits and six runs. He is going to get lit up in this game again.
Back the Blue Jays ML
5* FREE Cappers Club Power Play on Blue Jays
Good Luck, Cappers Club.
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Scott Rickenbach
Jul 06 '18, 2:20 PM in 1h
MLB | CIN vs CHC
Play on: OVER 7½ +102
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Game #951 Friday Free Pick OVER the total in Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds @ 2:20 ET - With the wind blowing in at Wrigley Field this afternoon this total has opened up at a 7.5 in most shops. Of course the weather is impacting to hitting in this ball park but they don't call it the "friendly confines" for nothing. The fact is that it is a hitter-friendly venue and even when the wind is blowing in it has a great backdrop for the hitters in terms of seeing the ball well. Both of these lineups come into this match-up swinging the bats quite well. Of course that is a key reason the Reds have recorded only 2 unders in the past few weeks as they are on a 9-2-2 run to the over their last 13 games! As for the Cubs, they've averaged scoring 8.7 runs per game their last 8 games. They've scored at least 5 runs in all 8 of those games and the Reds have scored at least 4 runs in 16 of their last 17 games. You can see easily see why it is certainly more than reasonable to expect each team to get to 4 or 5 runs in this game! Note that Chicago's Mike Montgomery has given up 9 runs (7 earned) in his last two starts while the Reds Tyler Mahle has a lower ERA of late but a closer look at his stats shows reason for concern. Mahle has allowed 11 walks and 16 hits for a total of 27 baserunners in the 16 and 2/3 innings spanning his last 3 starts. The over is 15-7-1 in Reds games versus left-handed starters this season. 7 of the last 8 games between these teams have totaled at least 8 runs. In fact the average runs scored has been 10 runs. I would not be surprised to see double digits again here! Free Pick OVER the total in Chicago Cubs
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Larry Ness
Jul 06 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Rays vs Mets
Play on: Mets -159 at GTBets
My free play is on the NY Mets at 7:10 ET. The Mets opened the season 11-1 but as I have often noted, New York is just 23-48 since that blazing start and its .324 winning percentage during that stretch puts them in a class with MLB's two-biggest season-long losers, Baltimore (.279) and Kansas City (.291). The Mets kick off a 10-game homestand tonight with the first of three against the Tampa Bays Rays, a stretch that will take them into the All-Star break. However, home has not been where the heart is in 2018, as the Mets have dropped 15 of their last 17 games at Citi Field. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay had used an impressive 8-1 homestand to climb above .500 at 42-41, before opening its six-game road trip by dropping two of three in Miami. The Rays come to Queens at 43-43 but in the AL East, that leaves them 15 games back of first-place Boston and 14 games back of the NY Yankees. Both teams were off Thursday, although each is headed in a different direction.
The Rays' lone win in Miami (Monday) took 16 innings and taxed its pitching staff. The Rays have become one of baseball's most pleasant surprises since implementing an unusual wrinkle into their starting rotation. Tampa Bay has the lowest ERA in the majors (2.81) since May 19 when it began utilizing an "opener" instead of a traditional starting pitcher in select games. The Rays have allowed three runs or fewer 25 times in the subsequent 43 games, 23 of which have been started by relief pitchers typically pitching three innings or fewer. Ryne Stanek (1-2, 1.98 ERA) will make his 10th start, by far the most among openers. He has a 1.42 ERA as a starter but has pitched longer than 1 2/3 innings just once.
The frustration continues to bubble over for the New York Mets and no one is feeling it more than ace pitcher Jacob deGrom (5-4, 1.84 ERA), who will take the mound in the opener of a three-game series. Despite leading the major leagues in ERA (1.84) plus a 1.02 WHIP and .208 BAA, deGrom has won only once in his last eight starts. He opened 3-0 through April 30 (team went 4-2) but the Mets are just 2-9 over his last 11 starts, leaving him 6-11, minus-$848 vs the moneyline.
The bottom line is this, deGrom has a 1.42 ERA over his last 13 starts, during which the Mets have gone 3-10. Can that kind of hard luck continue? He has made eight home starts, posting a 1.90 ERA and .199 batting average against. I'll also note that the Rays are just 4-5 in Stanek "openers." I'll take the Mets.
Good luck...Larry
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ASA
Jul 06 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Rays vs Mets
Play on: Rays +143 at BetOnline
ASA FREE PLAY on Tampa Bay Rays Money Line (+) over New York Mets, Friday at 7:10 PM ET
This is another classic "false favorite" as the Mets had lost 11 of their last 13 games overall before Wednesday's win. They're taking on a Rays team that had won 9 of their last 11 games overall before Wednesday's loss. New York is priced as a sizable favorite here even though Jacob deGrom has lost each of his last two starts. As strong as he has been all season the numbers speak for themselves. New York is 2-6 in his home starts and note also that deGrom has a rather unimpressive 4.50 ERA in his last two starts. Looks like the frustration of his season could finally be getting to him as he has not been as sharp in his last two outings. The Rays are expected to start Ryan Stanek here but it doesn't even matter whom starts because they've been using the "bullpen games" as a successful strategy this season. A few relievers will be involved in this one and, when the dust settles, we expect Tampa Bay to have improved on their 10-5 record this season in games where the total is set at 7 runs or less. Also, note that the Rays are 17-10 this season in games against teams with a losing record. As for the Mets, they are an awful 14-26 in home games this season. ASA FREE PLAY: Bet Tampa Bay as a road dog on the money line in early evening action Friday
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Brandon Lee
Jul 06 '18, 8:10 PM in 7h
MLB | Orioles vs Twins
Play on: Twins -117 at BMaker
10* FREE MLB PICK (Twins -117)
I'll take my chances here with Minnesota at home against the Orioles. The Twins snapped a 6-game losing streak with a 5-2 win in the series opener against Baltimore on Thursday and I look for them to carry over that momentum into this one. The Orioles are a complete mess right now. They have lost 3 straight and are just 1-10 in their last 11. Baltimore has scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games and when you can't score runs it's extremely tough to win, especially in the American League. The Twins will send out Lance Lynn, who struggled in his last two outings in Chicago against the White Sox and Cubs, but owns a 2.70 ERA in 7 home starts. Give me Minnesota -117!
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Dennis Macklin
Jul 06 '18, 10:10 PM in 9h
MLB | COL vs SEA
Play on: UNDER 8 -115
DMack's Free Play for Friday, July 6, 2018 is on the Rockies/Mariners Under
Just a flow play here as the entire card is not very attractive and there is very little in the way of interest. German Marquez has been the weakest link in the Mariner rotation but he's never faced Seattle and should be able to get through the lineup twice without too much damage. The under is 7-2 in the Rockies L9 and the low is 8-3 in the Mariners L11. Don't necessarily see a lot of runs being scored here.
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Mike Lundin
Jul 06 '18, 9:40 PM in 8h
MLB | SDG vs ARI
Play on: UNDER 8 +102
#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of 16% so far in 2018.
In addition we can note that Ariona right-hander Zack Godley (9-6, 5.07 ERA) beat the Padres in his only start against them this season, giving up two runs in a 6-2 victory on April 21. He gave up seven runs against the Giants his last time out, but under is 8-3-1 in Godley's last 12 starts after allowing five runs his previous start. San Diego southpaw Joey Lucchesi (4-3, 3.26 ERA) has allowed allowed just two hits through nine scoreless innings through his last two starts. Under is 8-3-3 in Diamondbacks' last 14 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 9-2-1 in Padres last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Free pick on UNDER.
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