Holiday Bowl Odds
UCLA is 9-4 on the season and 8-5 against the spread while Baylor is 7-5 overall and 8-4 against the spread. The Bears have hit the over 8 times this season while the Bruins have hit it 9 times. These two teams have no recent meetings.
Trends show that Baylor is 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games at a neutral site and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. UCLA is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on a Thursday and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a cover.
According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, UCLA is the slight favorite in this game, as the Bruins have odds of -3 points against Baylor. The over/under total has been set at 81.5 points. (View Matchup) The opening odds for this bowl game actually had Baylor as a 1-point favorite. The spread quickly moved to the side of UCLA and is at its peak with the Bruins favored by 3 points.
UCLA is coming off back-to-back losses to Stanford to end the season, including a 27-24 loss in the Pac-12 Championship Game. The Bruins went 6-3 in Pac-12 play to win the South Division under new coach Jim Mora Jr. This year’s team averaged 35.1 points per game on offense while allowing 25.9 points per game on defense. UCLA is being led by running back Johnathan Franklin, who has rushed for 1,700 yards and 13 touchdowns.
Baylor ended the season on a three-game winning streak with victories over Kansas State and Oklahoma State included in that run. Baylor went just 4-5 in Big 12 play, but still had one of the top offenses in the country, averaging 44.1 points per game, which ranks fifth nationally. On defense, Baylor has struggled. The Bears are 117th in the country, allowing 38.2 points per game. Baylor is being led by quarterback Nick Florence, who has thrown for 4,121 yards and 31 touchdowns this season.
In terms of Injuries, UCLA safety Tevin McDonald is suspended for this game while offensive tackle Simon Goines is questionable with a knee injury. Baylor linebacker Rodney Chadwick is out with a knee injury.
The Public Bets for this bowl game are backing UCLA. The Bruins are getting 55% of the wagers with odds of -3 points against Baylor on Thursday night.