|2012 Poinsettia Bowl BYU vs. San Diego State Picks & Predictions|
|Written by ATSSportsline.com|
|Thursday, 20 December 2012 13:15|
BYU vs. San Diego State Prediction
BYU (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS, 5-6 O/U) takes on their former conference foe when they meet San Diego State (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS, 5-6 O/U) in the Poinsettia Bowl. BYU has won three of their last four, including a 50-14 win over New Mexico State on the road on Nov. 24. San Diego State has won seven straight including a 42-28 win over Wyoming, giving 7, on Nov. 24.
LINE MOVEMENT: BYU opened as a 3.5-point favorite and remained there at most books. The total started at 50 and moved to 48 in most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Current college football public betting information says that 52% of public bettors are currently backing San Diego State. This information is subjected to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for more detailed information.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL PICK: Take BYU. Latest trends include: BYU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. MWC, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 bowl games and are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall. San Diego State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and is 4-10 ATS last 14 in this series.
The San Diego State Aztecs run a 3-3-5 defensive alignment but that's not unique to Bronco Mendenhall and the BYU staff, who have previously coached against it on several occasions including with Aztecs' coach Rocky Long when he was at New Mexico. BYU is led by receiver Cody Hoffman, who has 90 catches for 1,134 yards and 11 touchdowns. Hoffman caught a school-record five touchdowns in the season finale. Freshman Jamaal Williams rushed for a team-best 744 yards for an offense that averages 29.2 points. The Cougars will win this one on defense, led by junior Kyle Van Noy. The dominating linebacker has 11.5 sacks and five forced fumbles for a unit that ranks third in total defense (266.3 yards per game) and fifth in scoring defense (14.7). BYU's stout rushing defense (84.3) ranks second nationally as it goes up against a strong San Diego State rushing attack. San Diego State will be without senior RB Walter Kazee (822 yards), who injured his knee in the regular season finale. The strong running game has aided sophomore quarterback Adam Dingwell (eight touchdowns, four interceptions) after he became the starter for the final four regular season games because of a season-ending injury to Ryan Katz. The difference here is the superior defense of BYU over a mediocre San Diego State stop unit.
2012 POINSETTIA BOWL FREE PICK: BYU COUGARS -3.5