2013 Sugar Bowl Prediction
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Florida is a 14-point favorite versus Louisville while the over/under total is currently sitting at 45.5 points. The Cardinals finished the regular season with a 10-2 overall record and the Gators wrapped up their 2012 season with an 11-1 record.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Gators opened as a 15-point favorite but the spread was bet down to 14 at most sports books. As for the total, it opened at 47 points and has been bet down to 46.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 64% of College Football public bettors currently favor the Gators. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL PICK: Take Florida. According to latest college football trends, Louisville is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Florida is: 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games, 22-9 ATS in their last 31 non-conference games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win. Florida brings one of the top defenses in the nation against Louisville. The Gators' defense allowing just 186 yards per game in the air as opponents have completed only 51.2 percent of their passes against them. In early September, they held eventually Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel to a season-low 173 yards before beating the Aggies, 20-17 on the road, laying one. Safety Matt Elam, a first-team All-American, leads the defense that allows just 12.9 points per game (third in the nation) and five passing touchdowns, while making 19 interceptions. On offense, it's pretty simple. Get the ball to All-SEC running back Mike Gillislee, who picked up 1,1014 yards and 10 touchdowns. QB Jeff Driskel's job is to manage the offense and limit the mistakes, which he has with just three picks to go along with 11 touchdowns. They should be able to move the ball against a Louisville defense that allowed 175 ypg on the ground in the Big East to rank seventh in the eight team league. Expect Florida's defense to shut down Teddy Bridgewater and company and score at least once on defense.
2013 SUGAR BOWL FREE PICK: FLORIDA GATORS -14