Oregon at Penn State Odds, Public Betting & Expert Picks

Oregon at Penn State headlines Saturday night in Happy Valley (7:30 p.m. ET, NBC/Peacock). This Oregon at Penn State preview compares opening odds vs. current odds, plus public money, injuries, weather, sharp trends, and our expert pick with buy/sell points. For live context, open the CFB public betting chart and visit the College Football hub.

Updated:
September 27, 2025 • 9:25 AM ET

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Game Snapshot — Oregon at Penn State

• Matchup: No. 6 Oregon Ducks at No. 3 Penn State Nittany Lions
• Date/Time: Sat, Sept. 27, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV: NBC/Peacock
• Venue: Beaver Stadium (State College, PA)

Opening Odds — Oregon at Penn State

• Spread: Penn State −3 to −3.5 (opener range)
• Moneyline: Penn State −160 / Oregon +140 (opener)
• Total: 52.5 (opener)
• Notes: Market opened PSU small home chalk with a low-50s total; quick Ducks money showed at +3.5.

Ducks vs. Nittany Lions — Current Odds (Open → Now)

• Spread: Penn State −3.5 (−105) / Oregon +3.5 (−115)
• Moneyline: Penn State −175 / Oregon +145
• Total: 52.5 (O −110 / U −110)
• Move note: −3 → −3.5 to PSU; total essentially steady near 52.

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Public Money — Tickets %, Money %, Line Moves

• Tickets % (Spread): Majority on Penn State at a field-goal number.
• Money % (Spread): Sharper buys on Oregon +3.5; PSU money appears at −3 flat.
• Total Market: Balanced around 52; slight Over lean if 52.0 holds.

Injuries & Weather

• Oregon: Offensive core intact; monitor late-week status for a rotational DB.
• Penn State: Defense largely healthy; check Friday’s report and 90-min pre-kick per SOP.
• Weather: ~64°F, light wind, minimal rain — neutral to slightly Under-friendly.

Trends That Matter — Oregon at Penn State

• Oregon 9–3 ATS vs. ranked opponents since 2023.
• Penn State 15–2 SU at Beaver Stadium over last 17.
• Key-number gravity at 3/3.5: Ducks value at +3.5; PSU interest at −3.

Expert Pick & Buy Points

Pick: Oregon +3.5 — prefer the hook; smaller buy at +3 (−105 or better).

• Buy up to: +3.5 (−120 max)
• Sell down to: +3 at even money acceptable; avoid +2.5
• Alt options: Over 52 only if market dips to 51.5; PSU ML as parlay anchor at −160/−165

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