In this Sparks vs Mercury prediction, Los Angeles travels to Phoenix as a +5.5 underdog. The Mercury have been strong at home, leaning on efficient perimeter shooting and an experienced core, while the Sparks are trying to stay competitive with a younger roster. Bettors face a key question: is Phoenix the right side at home, or is L.A. live to cover the number?
Sparks vs Mercury Event Information
- Matchup: Los Angeles Sparks at Phoenix Mercury
- Date: Tuesday, September 9, 2025
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Arena: Footprint Center — Phoenix, AZ
- TV: NBA TV / local broadcast
Sparks vs Mercury Betting Odds
Check the latest odds at Bovada:
- Spread: Sparks +5.5, Mercury -5.5
- Total: 172.5
Roster & Matchup Notes
- Phoenix Mercury: A’ja Wilson anchors the Mercury with elite interior scoring and rim protection, while perimeter threats keep defenses stretched. Phoenix’s ability to punish mismatches inside and out makes them difficult to slow down.
- Los Angeles Sparks: The Sparks rely on Angel Reese to control the boards and Chennedy Carter to generate offensive bursts. If they can create transition looks and win second-chance opportunities, they can hang around.
Key Betting Angles
- Interior dominance: Phoenix has a clear edge in paint scoring and rebounding.
- Perimeter defense: The Sparks must contest three-point shots to avoid getting buried early.
- Bench depth: Phoenix’s second unit has been more reliable; L.A. will need contributions beyond its starters.
- Garbage-time factor: Late-game rotation changes can swing a cover on a spread under 6 points.
Sparks vs Mercury Prediction
Phoenix matches up well at home and should control tempo with its balanced scoring. The Sparks have a shot at a backdoor cover if Reese and Carter stay hot, but the Mercury’s depth and home efficiency give them the edge.
Projected Score: Mercury 92, Sparks 83
Best Bet: Mercury -5.5