Lightning vs. Senators, 3/22/23 NHL Betting Odds, Prediction & Trends

Last Updated on March 23, 2023 7:55 am by Anthony Rome

Lightning vs. Senators Prediction & Odds

The Lightning and Senators meet in Ottawa on Thursday night at 7:00 p.m. ET. Despite the total sitting at 6.5 goals, keep reading to find out why we love the over.

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

041 Tampa Bay Lightning (-145) at 042 Ottawa Senators (+125); o/u 6.5

7:00 p.m. ET, Thursday, March 22, 2023

Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON

Lightning vs. Senators Public Betting Information

As of this writing, our NHL Public Betting Page shows that 68% of bets are on the Lightning moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.

Tampa Bay Lightning DFS SPIN

Andrei Vasilevskiy turned aside 17 shots in Tuesday’s 3-2 loss to the Canadiens. The All-Star goalie gave up two tallies in the first period, looking a bit shaky on the first one, and the Lightning were never able to climb out of the early hole. Vasilevskiy continues to struggle in March, going 3-4-2 in nine starts with a 3.42 GAA and .883 save percentage, and while he’s capable of flipping the switch once the playoffs start, it’s an ominous sign for Tampa Bay’s chances of making a deep run.

Ottawa Senators DFS SPIN

Dylan Gambrell scored his second goal of the season in Tuesday’s 2-1 loss to the Bruins. The 26-year-old opened the scoring midway through the first period, beating Linus Ullmark on a lightning-quick wraparound, but it was all the offense Ottawa could muster. Gambrell’s only other tally this season came back on Nov. 1, and the bottom-six forward has just seven points in 51 games.

Lightning vs. Senators NHL Betting Trends

Lightning are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Ottawa

Favorite is 39-14 in the last 53 meetings

Lightning are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings

Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings

Lightning vs. Senators NHL BETTING PREDICTION

The over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings between these two teams and is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Ottawa. The over is also 7-2-2 in the Lightning’s last 11 games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game, is 5-2-1 in their last eight games when playing the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation and is 6-2-1 in their last nine conference games. On the other side, the over is 10-4 in the Senators’ last 14 games overall, is 6-2 in their last eight conference games and has cashed in eight of their last 11 games when their opponent scored two goals or less in their previous game.

NHL BETTING PREDICTION: LIGHTNING/SENATORS OVER 6.5