Week 10 Central Florida vs. Texas College Football Picks & Trends

Last Updated on November 7, 2009 7:00 am by admin

Texas Size Spread

No. 2
Texas takes a break from Big XII Conference play on Saturday when the Longhorns host Central Florida for a Noon ET kickoff from

Texas Memorial Stadium.

Bet Central Florida at Texas
The Longhorns are a perfect 8-0 on the season but are just 3-4-1 against the spread.

Texas has covered in the last two games, but the spread was 13 points or less in both outings. Trends show that

Texas has struggled to cover large spreads this season as all four of the Longhorns’ short comings came with point spreads of 20 or more. Trends also show that

Texas is 1-3 against the spread at home.

The Golden Knights are 5-3 on the season and 5-2 against the spread. UCF has won its last two games and three of its last four. The Knights are 1-2 on the road straight up, but 3-0 against the spread on the road. Trends show the Knights have covered the spread in their last five road games, dating back to last season.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made
Texas 36.5-point home favorites over
Central Florida on Saturday afternoon. The over/under total for this game has been established at 47.

Texas leads the country in points per-game at 41.8, but the Longhorns are doing so with just 417 yards of offense per-game. The Longhorns have gotten three interception returns for touchdowns and four kick or punt returns for scores this season. Add to that a defense that leads the nation in fewest rushing yards allowed, and it is easy to see why

Texas has such sizeable odds.

UCF has a strong defense in its own right as the Knights have not allowed more than 27 points to a single opponent. The Knights are giving up just 19.3 points and 330 yards per-game including just 702 rushing yards through eight games.

The key to this game will be in the Knights offense and if they can put up enough points. You can’t expect UCF to win as it is clearly out-matched by

Texas, but we pick the Knights to cover thanks to their defense. If quarterback Brett Hodges can convert some third downs and give UCF some lengthy offensive possessions, it will keep Colt McCoy and

Texas from being able to score in masses.

UCF has to avoid allowing

Texas to score on defense or special teams and if the Knights can do that, covering the spread should be an easy task. The Knights took

Texas to the limit in 2007, losing 35-32 at home, and trends show that the Knights are the strongest play for Saturday’s game.

Our College Football Week 10 Free Pick for this matchup is:
CENTRAL FLORIDA +36.5 and OVER 47.
College Football Week 10 Betting Trends
All games in this series since 1992

UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus

TEXAS since 1992

TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against UCF since 1992

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus

TEXAS over the last 3 seasons 

TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

UCF: 11-2 Under off conference win

TEXAS: 30-12 ATS off road conference win

Central Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Central Florida is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road

Texas is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Week 10 College Football Injury Report
UCF

[TE] 10/24/2009 – Corey Rabazinski out for season ( ACL ) 

[WR] 11/04/2009 – Jamar Newsome is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs.

Texas ( Leg ) 

TEXAS

[LB] 09/21/2009 – Jared Norton out for season ( Shoulder ) 

[S] 09/30/2009 – Christian Scott out for season ( Academics ) 

[WR] 09/30/2009 – Brandon Collins out for season ( Academics ) 

[TE] 08/19/2009 – Blaine Irby out for season ( Knee ) 

[TE] 08/19/2009 – Ian Harris out for season ( Neck ) 

[OG] 11/03/2009 – Mason Walters is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs.
Central Florida ( Foot ) 

[TE] 08/19/2009 – D.J. Grant out for season ( Knee ) 

[DT] 11/03/2009 – Calvin Howell is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs.
Central Florida ( Concussion ) 

[DB] 11/02/2009 – Aaron Williams injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Central Florida ( Knee ) 
Central Florida at Texas Current Odds
Central Florida Golden Knights +36.5 Over 47

Texas Longhorns -36.5 Under 47
Bet Central Florida at Texas
Posted: 11/7/09 7:00AM ET