This South Alabama vs Auburn prediction previews a non-conference in-state matchup where Auburn comes in as a strong favorite at home. On paper Auburn has the depth and playmakers to control this game. Meanwhile, South Alabama’s path is to stay efficient, avoid turnovers, and try to keep possessions long.
Event Information
- Matchup: South Alabama Jaguars at Auburn Tigers
- Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
- Kickoff: 12:45 p.m. ET
- Stadium: Jordan-Hare Stadium — Auburn, AL
- TV: Check local/national listings
Betting Odds & Market Info
- Spread (market): South Alabama +24.5 / Auburn -24.5
- Total (O/U): 54.5
- Moneyline (sample): Auburn heavy favorite / South Alabama long dog
Check the live line at Bovada and monitor public ticket/money splits at the College Football Public Betting Chart.
Quick matchup notes
- Auburn strengths: Athletic front line, balanced run/pass attack, depth across skill positions, and a raucous home crowd. They can score in chunks and control tempo with an elite ground game.
- South Alabama strengths: Efficient offense that avoids mistakes when the script is right, and the ability to generate explosive plays on the perimeter. Their best path is long, mistake-free drives that shorten the game.
- Game factors: Turnovers, special teams, and late rotation decisions by Auburn’s coaching staff (starter minutes vs. benching) are the biggest swing elements on a large spread. Weather and kickoff time can affect tempo and scoring, too.
Prediction & Best Bet
Predicted Score: Auburn 38, South Alabama 14
Best Bet: South Alabama +24.5
Why this is the play (expanded reasoning): Auburn should win comfortably, but getting nearly 25 points with South Alabama offers tangible value. Large chalk numbers are vulnerable to factors bettors can’t price early. These include late-game rotation, garbage-time variance, and the underdog’s ability to execute a clock-eating game plan. My projection has Auburn winning by 24. This is one of those razor margins where the points tilt toward the dog. If you prefer lower variance, size this as a smaller unit. But at +24.5 the Jaguars are the value ticket here.