Last Updated on September 18, 2010 10:15 pm by Anthony Rome
Texas vs. Texas Tech Free Pick
You aren’t giving up many points to bet on Texas Saturday night as the Longhorns face Texas Tech.
Texas is a 3-point favorite to win over Texas Tech according to oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com. The over/under has been set at 55.
Texas is 2-0 on the year but 0-2 against the spread while hitting the under in both games. The Longhorns are 9-7 ATS in conference games since 2008 and 6-4 ATS on the road during that stretch. Texas has not been consistent one way or the other in terms of the over/under, but it has hit the under in 16-of-27 games when it is a favorite since 2008.
Texas Tech is 2-0 on the year at 1-1 against the spread while hitting the over in both games. The Red Raiders are 11-7 ATS in games on turf since 2008 and 82-53 ATS in games on turf since 1992. Tech is also 59-33 ATS at home since 1992. Texas Tech has tended to hit the over in recent years due to their explosive offense. The Red Raiders have hit the over in 8-of-12 games since 2008 at home.
This game has an interesting combination of history and present day. The over/under started at 51 but jumped to 55 by the end of the week because of the potential for an offensive showdown. Yet, a national power like Texas is just a 3-point favorite because of its recent struggles and previous loss to Tech in 2008. For this game, we see the under hitting as Texas’ defense is improved while its offense is still going through changes and Texas Tech has a new offensive style under Tommy Tubberville. In the end, we think Texas will keep Tech in check and cover with ease as it gets revenge from the 2008 loss.
OUR COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 3 PICK: TEXAS -3 and UNDER 55