2009 Texas vs. Baylor College Football Picks Week 11

Last Updated on November 14, 2009 7:00 am by shah

Texas Rolling

No. 2

Texas is well on its way to an appearance in the 2009 BCS National Championship Game.

To make it there, the Longhorns need to avoid a slip up Saturday when they head to Baylor to face the Bears at Noon ET from Floyd Casey Stadium.

Bet Texas at Baylor

Texas is 9-0 on the season and 3-5-1 against the spread. The Longhorns have covered in two of their last three games, both of which came on the road. In the last seven meetings with

Baylor,
Texas has shutout the Bears three times.

Baylor is 4-5 on the season and 5-4 against the spread. The Bears defeated

Missouri 40-32 last week to end a four-game losing streak. Baylor has covered the spread in its last two games, both of which had the Bears as double digit underdogs.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made

Texas 24-point road favorites over Baylor on Saturday afternoon. The over/under total for this game has been established at 51.

Texas has one of the top offenses in the nation, scoring 41-points per-game. The Lonhorns have two legitimate Heisman candidates in quarterback Colt McCoy and receiver Jordan Shipley. McCoy has thrown for 2,447 yards and 17 touchdowns with nine interceptions while Shipley has 75 receptions for 1,050 yards and six touchdowns. Baylor has struggled offensive in comparison, scoring just 24 points per-game.

The Longhorns will undoubtedly score points in this game, and the key will be for Baylor to find enough offense against the

Texas defense. The Longhorns are giving up just 12 points and 231 yards per-game in 2009. The Bears have not had enough consistency at the quarterback position, as they have struggled to maintain a starter all season.

Since having a close call against

Oklahoma in a 16-13 win, the Longhorns have stormed past their last three opponents, winning by at least 27 points in each game. Baylor looks to be out-matched and not strong enough on offense to keep pace with

Texas. We suggest a pick of

Texas to cover the 24-point spread odds in this game. Look for the Longhorns to score a lot of points and for Baylor to add on some scores in garbage time. For that reason, we suggest a pick of over the 51 point total.

Our College Football Week 11 Free Pick for this matchup is:

TEXAS -24 and OVER 51.
College Football Week 11 Betting Trends
All games in this series since 1992

TEXAS is 10-7 against the spread versus BAYLOR since 1992

TEXAS is 15-2 straight up against BAYLOR since 1992

4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus

TEXAS over the last 3 seasons

TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BAYLOR since 1992

TEXAS is 6-2 against the spread versus BAYLOR since 1992

TEXAS is 6-2 straight up against BAYLOR since 1992

2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons.

BAYLOR is 1-0 against the spread versus

TEXAS over the last 3 seasons

TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Week 11 College Football Injury Report
TEXAS

[LB] 09/21/2009 – Jared Norton out for season ( Shoulder )

[S] 09/30/2009 – Christian Scott out for season ( Academics )

[WR] 09/30/2009 – Brandon Collins out for season ( Academics )

[TE] 08/19/2009 – Blaine Irby out for season ( Knee )

[TE] 08/19/2009 – Ian Harris out for season ( Neck )

[OG] 11/09/2009 – Mason Walters is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Baylor ( Foot )

[TE] 08/19/2009 – D.J. Grant out for season ( Knee )

[DT] 11/09/2009 – Calvin Howell is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Baylor ( Concussion )

[CB] 11/09/2009 – Aaron Williams is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Baylor ( Knee )

BAYLOR

[QB] 09/29/2009 – Robert Griffin out for season ( Knee )

[DB] 09/28/2009 – Mikail Baker out for season ( Knee )
Texas at Baylor Odds
Texas Longhorns -24 Over 51

Baylor Bears +24 Under 51
Bet Texas at Baylor
Posted: 11/14/09 7:00AM ET