Last Updated on May 17, 2012 7:30 pm by atswins
Heat vs. Pacers Game 3 Free Pick
INDIANAPOLIS, IN (ATS Consultants) – This is the third game of the Eastern Conference semifinal. The Pacers are coming off winning Game 2, 78-75 in Miami. Game 3 is set for 7:05pmET from Indiana.
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Heat as a 1-point favorite while the total is 181.5. The Heat enters the game with a 51-22 overall record and are 27-44-2 Under, while the Pacers are 47-26 overall and 36-35 Over.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Heat opened as a 1-point favorite and remained there at most books. The total opened at 182 and moved down to 181.5 at most books.
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PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers placed on tonight’s game, 77% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Heat. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take the UNDER 181.5 Heat/Pacers to the latest NBA trends, this series is 1-4 Under in the last 5 meetings. Heat are 0-4 Under last 4 road games, 0-7 Under last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 0-6 Under last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 0-4 Under last 4 Thursday games, 0-5 Under last 5 vs. NBA Central, 0-6 Under last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 1-6 Under last 7 games following a S.U. loss, 5-23 Under last 28 games playing on 1 days rest, 9-25 Under last 34 vs. Eastern Conference and 7-19 Under last 26 games following a ATS loss Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Pacers are 0-6 Under last 6 Conference Semifinals games, 1-5 Under in Pacers last 6 playoff games as an underdog, 1-5 Under in Pacers last 6 Thursday games, 2-6 Under in Pacers last 8 overall and 3-7 Under last 10 playoff games as a dog. The Heat must win with defense now that Chris Bosh is out for this series with an abdominal strain. Outside of LeBron James and Dwyane Wade, nobody scored more than five points for the Heat on Tuesday. Talk about lack of balance. The Pacers will get a big lift from their hometown crowd but they lack a consistent three-point shooter and shot just 38% on Tuesday night.
THURSDAY NBA PLAYOFF FREE PICK: HEAT/PACERS UNDER 181.5
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