NASCAR makes history this weekend, and Shane van Gisbergen is the betting favorite to christen it. The Cup Series races on an active United States military base for the first time, taking on a temporary street course at Naval Base Coronado in San Diego.
Van Gisbergen, the road-course ace who won the inaugural Chicago Street Race in his Cup debut, opens the week at -175 to win the 2026 Anduril 250. Below is a full breakdown of the latest Anduril 250 odds, the favorite worth backing, mid-tier value plays, and longshots worth a sprinkle.
Last Updated: Thursday, June 19, 2026
2026 ANDURIL 250 DATE, TIME & HOW TO WATCH | |
|---|---|
| Where | Qualcomm Circuit at Naval Base Coronado, San Diego, CA |
| When | Sunday, June 21 – 4:00 PM ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Shane van Gisbergen Leads 2026 Anduril 250 Odds
Van Gisbergen is the clear class of the field whenever the track turns both ways. He has seven career Cup Series victories, and every one has come on a road or street course. Most recently, he stormed to a Watkins Glen win on May 10, leading 74 of the 100 laps in his No. 88 Trackhouse Chevrolet. That result pushed him back into playoff position, and a tight, 16-turn street circuit fits his skill set perfectly. The Anduril 250 is exactly the kind of race the market expects him to win.
The price is the problem, however. At -175, Van Gisbergen carries an implied probability of roughly 64 percent, which leaves almost no margin for error. Street courses punish even the best drivers. The 75-lap race runs across narrow lanes, blind corners, and single-file restarts where one tap can end a strong run. Pit strategy and cautions add further chaos. Backing a heavy favorite here means trusting that the fastest car also survives 255 miles of close-quarters traffic without a single mistake.
Still, the board has Van Gisbergen on top for good reason. No active driver matches his street-course resume, and the talent gap on this surface is real. He is the most likely winner of the Anduril 250, and his price looks justified rather than inflated. What would make the call wrong is the part he cannot fully control. An early incident, a strategy flip on a late caution, or a charging Connor Zilisch or Tyler Reddick on a restart could all flip the result. The lean is Van Gisbergen, with eyes open to street-course attrition.
2026 ANDURIL 250 – TOP ODDS TO WIN | |
|---|---|
| Name | Odds |
| Shane van Gisbergen | -175 |
| Connor Zilisch | +650 |
| Tyler Reddick | +900 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1600 |
| Michael McDowell | +1800 |
| Kyle Larson | +2200 |
| Chase Elliott | +2500 |
| Chris Buescher | +2500 |
| Christopher Bell | +3000 |
| William Byron | +3000 |
Odds accurate as of Thursday, June 18, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NASCAR Odds - Props
Mid-Tier Value Plays for the Anduril 250
The best Anduril 250 value sits in the middle of the board, away from both the chalk and the deep longshots. Unlike the ovals that defined the recent Cup schedule, this street course rewards road-course craft over raw horsepower. That shift opens the door for specialists priced well off the favorites.
AJ Allmendinger (+3300) is the most logical mid-tier play. He is one of the sport's proven road-course hands, and his form is trending up. He brought his Kaulig Racing Chevrolet home seventh at Watkins Glen, his first top-10 there since 2023, after a ninth-place run at COTA. The case against is equipment. Kaulig sits a step behind the powerhouse teams, so Allmendinger likely needs a clean track-position race to contend.
Ross Chastain (+5000) drives for Trackhouse Racing, the same organization fielding Van Gisbergen's car and its road-course program. That pipeline gives Chastain real upside on this surface. The flip side is consistency. Chastain races aggressively and has a history of contact, which is a riskier trait on a circuit where walls sit close to the racing line.
Joey Logano (+6600) offers championship pedigree at a long mid-tier number. The three-time Cup Series champion knows how to execute when stages and strategy decide an outcome. The honest counterpoint is that road and street courses have never been his strongest discipline. His price reflects that, but his big-race instincts make him a defensible play at this number.
Longshots and Race-Day Storylines at Naval Base Coronado
The biggest storyline is the venue itself. The Anduril 250 marks the first time the NASCAR Cup Series has raced on an active military base, and the first street-course layout on one. The 3.4-mile Qualcomm Circuit is brand new to every driver, which adds variance and helps longshots. With no track history, qualifying and early practice could reshuffle expectations before the green flag.
At +50000, seven-time champion Jimmie Johnson is the most compelling deep flier. The Hall of Famer runs a part-time schedule in the No. 84 Legacy Motor Club Toyota, and a one-off street race is the kind of wildcard event where his experience matters. The obvious caution is rust and limited reps, so this is a ceiling play, not a core position.
Bubba Wallace (+35000) brings full-time 23XI Racing equipment to the long end of the board. He has the car to surprise if the race stays clean and track position falls his way. The case against is simple. Road and street courses have not been his calling card, so he needs an attrition-heavy event to climb into contention.
One more name worth tracking is Kevin Magnussen (+5000), the former Formula 1 driver entered as Trackhouse Racing's Project 91 ringer. He will not have stock-car seat time on his side, but his open-wheel road-racing background makes him a genuine wildcard.
2026 Anduril 250 Betting FAQ
Who is the favorite to win the Anduril 250?
Shane van Gisbergen is the favorite at -175. The road-course specialist has won all seven of his career Cup Series races on road or street courses, and the temporary circuit at Naval Base Coronado suits his skill set.
Who do you like to win the Anduril 250?
Shane van Gisbergen is the most likely winner at -175 given his unmatched street-course resume. The risk is the short price, because one incident, a late caution, or a strong restart from Connor Zilisch or Tyler Reddick could change the outcome.
When is the Anduril 250?
The 2026 Anduril 250 is scheduled for Sunday, June 21, 2026, with the green flag set for 4:00 PM ET at the Qualcomm Circuit at Naval Base Coronado in San Diego, California.
What channel is the Anduril 250 on?
The 2026 Anduril 250 will stream on Prime Video. The race is the first NASCAR Cup Series event held on an active United States military base.