2026 Xfinity 500 odds have Denny Hamlin on top of the board at +450. The NASCAR Cup Series returns to Martinsville Speedway on Sunday, Nov. 1, for the ninth of 10 Chase races. Kyle Larson leads the standings by 73 points after winning at Talladega. Most of the garage is racing for a trophy rather than a title. Here is how the board is shaped, top to bottom.
Last Updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026
2026 Xfinity 500 — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Martinsville Speedway, Ridgeway, VA |
| When | Sunday, November 1 – 2:00 PM ET |
| TV | NBC |
2026 NASCAR Xfinity 500 Betting Odds Preview
Martinsville is the shortest, flattest track left on the schedule. The paperclip oval measures 0.526 miles with 12 degrees of corner banking. The race runs 500 laps and 263 miles. Stage 1 ends on lap 130, Stage 2 ends on lap 260, and the final stage covers 240 laps. Brakes, tire management, and track position matter more than raw speed. Passing is hard, so restarts carry outsized weight.
Recent history here is concentrated among a few names. William Byron won last year’s Xfinity 500 on Oct. 26, 2025. Chase Elliott took the spring Martinsville race on March 29, 2026. Hamlin owns six Cup wins at the track, more than any active driver. Ryan Blaney won this race in both 2023 and 2024.
The format shapes the market too. NASCAR restored a 10-race, points-based Chase for 2026, so there are no eliminations and no cutline. The title goes to the points leader after Homestead-Miami on Nov. 8. Larson sits on 2,441 points. Hamlin is 73 back, with Christopher Bell a point behind him. Larson also arrives under debate: NASCAR reviewed his winning Talladega pass for a possible yellow-line violation and did not penalize him, per reporting.
The posted field runs 36 drivers deep. Three prices sit inside +700, three more are bunched at +900, and the board stretches to +250000. Last week’s Talladega board was far flatter. Superspeedways compress a market. Short tracks do the opposite.
2026 Xfinity 500 — Top Odds to Win
| Name | Odds |
|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | +450 |
| Ryan Blaney | +550 |
| Kyle Larson | +700 |
| Chase Elliott | +900 |
| Joey Logano | +900 |
| William Byron | +900 |
| Chase Briscoe | +1000 |
| Christopher Bell | +1000 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1600 |
| Tyler Reddick | +2000 |
Odds accurate as of Tuesday, October 27, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NASCAR Odds – Props
2026 Xfinity 500 Odds Favorite: Denny Hamlin
Hamlin’s +450 implies roughly 18 percent, and his record explains the number. He has six Cup wins at Martinsville with 21 top fives, 27 top 10s, and 2,722 laps led. Each mark leads all active drivers. He has also won four points races in 2026, at Las Vegas, Nashville, Michigan, and Pocono, and he sits second in the Chase standings.
Hamlin has not won in the Chase’s first eight races. He finished 28th at Phoenix after a pit-road speeding penalty. A 500-lap short track also squeezes the field, where one flat tire or one bad restart erases an afternoon of speed. At +450, there is little margin for that.
Blaney at +550 and Larson at +700 sit close behind for different reasons. Blaney has won this race twice and ran second at Phoenix two weeks ago. Larson brings form instead of track record. He won at Kansas and Talladega within the last five Chase races, yet he has only one Martinsville victory, in the spring of 2023.
Xfinity 500 Mid-Board Odds Contenders
Tyler Reddick at +2000 is the most notable name in the middle. He has six wins in 2026, the most of any driver, and the latest came at Phoenix on Oct. 18. He is also seventh in Chase points. However, none of those wins came on a flat half-mile. They came at Daytona, EchoPark Speedway, COTA, Darlington, and Kansas. The price reads as a track-fit discount, not a form discount.
Bubba Wallace sits at +2200. He made the 16-driver Chase field and ranks 13th, but he has not won this season. Carson Hocevar follows at +3500. He broke through for his first Cup win at Talladega in the spring and holds 10th in the Chase order.
Alex Bowman at +5000 splits the difference. Bowman won the Xfinity 500 here in 2021, so the track history is real. Still, he did not make the 2026 Chase field and has not won this year. The board is pricing track history that this season does not support.
Xfinity 500 Long Shot Odds on the Board
Past +15000, the board thins out fast. Martinsville rewards equipment and track position, and both are scarce for smaller teams. Lapped traffic also arrives early here.
Connor Zilisch at +15000 carries the most upside. The Trackhouse Racing rookie is in his first full Cup season in the No. 88 Chevrolet. He has two top 10s in 2026, with sevenths at Sonoma and World Wide Technology Raceway. He finished 26th in the spring Martinsville race.
Erik Jones at +20000 and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. at +35000 are priced as true fliers. Neither has won in 2026, and neither is in the Chase field. Cody Ware anchors the board at +250000. One quirk of the points format matters here. Drivers outside the 16 have nothing to protect on restarts. That is why the long end of a short-track board is never fully dead.
2026 Xfinity 500 Odds: What Bettors Should Watch For
This board should not stay still. Cup qualifying runs Saturday, Oct. 31, and a starting spot matters more here than at most tracks. Prices can move once the grid is set.
The Chase math is the other variable. Larson’s cushion lets him manage the final two weeks. Hamlin and Bell need wins and stage points. Watch the gap between the top three prices and the +900 cluster. If it narrows, the market is leaning toward chaos. If it widens, it is leaning on Martinsville’s habit of rewarding drivers who already know the place.
NASCAR Xfinity 500 FAQ: Sunday November 1, 2026
Who is the favorite to win the 2026 Xfinity 500?
Denny Hamlin is the favorite at +450. He has six career Cup wins at Martinsville Speedway, the most of any active driver, and he sits second in the Chase standings. Ryan Blaney is next at +550, followed by points leader Kyle Larson at +700.
What time does the Xfinity 500 start?
The 2026 Xfinity 500 starts at 2:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov. 1, at Martinsville Speedway. It is the ninth of 10 races in the NASCAR Cup Series Chase. The season finale follows a week later at Homestead-Miami Speedway on Nov. 8.
What channel is the Xfinity 500 on?
NBC carries the 2026 Xfinity 500 from Martinsville Speedway. Radio coverage comes from the Motor Racing Network and SiriusXM NASCAR Radio. Cup Series practice and qualifying are set for the day before, Saturday, Oct. 31, with that session scheduled for TruTV.
How many laps is the Xfinity 500?
The Xfinity 500 is 500 laps and 263 miles around the 0.526-mile Martinsville oval. The race splits into three stages. Stage 1 ends on lap 130 and Stage 2 ends on lap 260, leaving a 240-lap final stage to settle the result.
Who won the Xfinity 500 last year?
William Byron won the 2025 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville on Oct. 26, 2025, driving the No. 24 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet. It was his third career Cup win at the track. Byron is priced at +900 this year, part of a three-driver cluster at that number.