Pirates vs. Brewers Prediction
Mitch Keller will oppose Adrian Houser in Thursday night’s pitching matchup between the Pirates and Brewers at 7:15 p.m. ET. With the Brewers listed as the favorite and the total sitting at 8.5 runs, what’s the smart bet in this NL Central rivalry?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
955 Pittsburgh Pirates (+110) at 956 Milwaukee Brewers (-130); o/u 8.5
7:15 p.m. ET, Thursday, August 3, 2023
American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Pirates vs. Brewers Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 68% of bets are on the Brewers’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Pittsburgh Pirates DFS SPIN
Oneil Cruz, out since Apr. 9 with a fractured left ankle, could begin a rehab assignment this month. Cruz was aiming for a mid-August return after ankle surgery, but at this point, Sept. 1 seems like the optimistic goal.
Milwaukee Brewers DFS SPIN
Devin Williams allowed two unearned runs and was charged with a blown save and a loss in the ninth inning against the Nationals on Wednesday. The ninth started with a Carlos Santana error and ended with an Andruw Monasterio error, as the third baseman threw well wide of home on a routine force play and allowed both the tying and winning runs to score. It goes as Williams’ third blown save and third loss of the year.
Pirates vs. Brewers MLB Betting Trends
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pirates vs. Brewers MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Keller enters play tonight with a 9-7 record and a 3.97 ERA. He has taken the loss in each of his three starts after a one-inning appearance in the All-Star game, allowing 16 runs in 16 2/3 innings over that span. He’s 0-3 with a 4.62 ERA in five career starts against the Brewers, including a 5-0 road loss on June 17 when he gave up four runs in five innings. Houser, meanwhile, is 3-3 with a 4.43 ERA and is 3-3 with a 4.05 ERA in 13 career games, including nine starts against the Pirates. He was tagged for six runs in four innings in his last start, a 10-7 loss at the Braves on Friday. Opponents are batting .300 against him this season with eight home runs. Given the current form of both starters, I’ll take the over 8.5
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: PIRATES/BREWERS OVER 8.5