Green Bay opens the 2026 season on the road in a division game the market has spent four months repricing. The Packers were a one-point favorite when this line first posted in May. They are now a two-point underdog at U.S. Bank Stadium. Minnesota has a new quarterback, a clean injury report, and a defensive coordinator who blitzes more than anyone in the sport. Green Bay arrives without two of its best players. There is still a case for the road team, and it starts with the price.
Last Updated: Sunday, September 13, 2026
Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings — Time & How to Watch
| Where | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota |
| When | Sunday, September 13 – 4:25 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview
Both teams enter at 0-0, so the handicap leans on last season and on who is actually dressing. Green Bay went 9-7-1 in 2025. Minnesota missed the postseason but took the most recent meeting, a 16-3 win at U.S. Bank Stadium on January 4. Green Bay still leads the all-time series 66-60-3.
The biggest change is under center for the home team. Minnesota named Kyler Murray its Week 1 starter in training camp, moving J.J. McCarthy to the backup role. Murray signed a one-year deal in March after his release from Arizona. This is his first regular-season action in nearly a year, in a new offense with Justin Jefferson and offseason addition Jauan Jennings.
Green Bay counters with continuity. Jordan Love returns as the starter, and Christian Watson, Jayden Reed and tight end Tucker Kraft are all back from injuries that shortened their 2025 seasons. The problem is everywhere else. Edge rusher Micah Parsons opened the year on injured reserve while he recovers from a torn ACL. Running back Josh Jacobs is on the Commissioner’s Exempt List and is unavailable, leaving MarShawn Lloyd and Chris Brooks to carry the backfield.
The Packers listed three players as questionable: left guard Aaron Banks (knee), tackle Zach Bako-Bewele (knee) and linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper (Achilles). Defensive tackle Warren Brinson is out with a calf injury. Minnesota issued no game-status designations at all. Every player on the 53-man roster is available.
Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | +2 (-110) | +110 | O 46 (-110) |
| Vikings | -2 (-110) | -130 | U 46 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of September 13, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NFL Odds – Futures – Props
Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Packers | 53% | 47% | Vikings |
See the latest NFL Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Packers vs. Vikings Prediction — Does the Road Team Still Deserve This Price?
Start with the movement. This game opened with Green Bay laying a point in May. It now sits with Minnesota laying two. That is a three-point swing, and three is a full key number in the NFL. Markets do not move that far on noise. The information here is specific: Parsons on injured reserve, Jacobs unavailable, two linemen questionable, and a home quarterback who won the job outright.
The case against Green Bay writes itself. Brian Flores blitzes as aggressively as any coordinator in the league, and Love’s own staff has called Minnesota’s pressure package the toughest it sees. Throwing that at a line missing continuity, behind a backfield with almost no NFL production, is a rough opening assignment. Green Bay was also one of the league’s weaker sides against the number in 2025, particularly away from Lambeau Field.
The counter is that the market may have gone a step too far. Love has graded among the NFL’s best quarterbacks against the blitz, the exact skill this matchup demands, and he has seen this scheme six times. Jonathan Gannon arrives as Green Bay’s defensive coordinator after head-coaching Murray in Arizona, a familiarity edge on the other side of the ball. Murray has not taken a meaningful snap in nearly a year. Public money sits at 53 percent on Green Bay, so there is no crowd to fade. The gap between the two quarterbacks on opening weekend may be the piece this market has discounted.
The Pick: Packers +2 (-110)
Packers vs. Vikings Prediction — Can Two Retooled Offenses Reach the Number?
The total opened at 45.5 and has ticked to 46. The argument for the over is straightforward. Parsons is the best pass rusher on the field and he is not playing, which should give Murray cleaner pockets. Minnesota plays indoors, Jefferson remains a game-breaker, and Love has his weapons back healthy.
Still, the shape of this game points lower. Both offenses are breaking in new pieces in Week 1, which tends to produce slower football than the same teams in November. Murray debuts behind a line he has barely played with in live action. Green Bay’s backfield gives it little reason to push tempo. Flores and Gannon both dictate through pressure, and pressure games stall drives rather than extend them. Minnesota’s recent home games have leaned under with some consistency, and the Vikings’ late-2025 slate fell short of the number more often than not.
The Pick: Under 46 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
If you like Green Bay at a short number, the moneyline deserves a look. At +110, the Packers carry roughly a 48 percent implied chance of winning outright. In a game the market calls a two-point affair, that is close to fair value. The trade-off is real. You give up the cushion that makes the side pick comfortable, and a three-point Minnesota win loses a bet the spread would have saved.
Bonus Angle: Packers moneyline +110
This is a close game with real uncertainty on both sidelines, and the picks reflect that rather than conviction. If Minnesota’s front wins early and Murray looks comfortable, Green Bay’s thin backfield will not bail it out. For more Week 1 NFC North coverage, see today’s Detroit Lions prediction and today’s Chicago Bears prediction.
All picks in this article: Packers +2 (-110), Under 46 (-110), and Packers moneyline +110.
NFL Packers vs. Vikings FAQ: Sunday September 13, 2026
What time does the Packers vs. Vikings game start?
Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday, September 13, 2026, which is 3:25 p.m. local time in Minneapolis. The game is part of the late Sunday afternoon window in Week 1 of the NFL regular season, and it is the season opener for both clubs.
What channel is the Packers vs. Vikings game on?
The game airs nationally on CBS, with Jim Nantz on play-by-play, J.J. Watt as analyst and Tracy Wolfson reporting from the sideline. Viewers who prefer to stream can watch through Paramount+. Local radio coverage runs on the Vikings Audio Network in the Twin Cities market.
Where are the Packers and Vikings playing?
The game is at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota, the Vikings’ home venue and an indoor facility. It is Green Bay’s seventh road opener in eight seasons, and the same building hosted the most recent meeting between these two teams in January.
Who is starting at quarterback for the Packers and Vikings?
Jordan Love starts for Green Bay and Kyler Murray starts for Minnesota. Murray was named the Vikings’ Week 1 starter during training camp, beating out J.J. McCarthy, who moves to the backup role. Murray joined Minnesota on a one-year contract in March after his release from Arizona.
Who won the last meeting between the Packers and Vikings?
Minnesota won the most recent meeting 16-3 on January 4, 2026, at U.S. Bank Stadium in the final week of last season. Green Bay still leads the all-time regular-season series 66-60-3, and the two clubs have split their last 20 games played in Minnesota.