The Los Angeles Dodgers and Miami Marlins close their weekend set at loanDepot park on Sunday afternoon, and the starting pitching is doing most of the work on this number. Los Angeles is -153 after opening at -147. Miami answers with Eury Pérez, who has not finished five innings in any of his last three starts. The total is 8.5 and the over has already been bid up. Both of our plays trace back to that.
Last Updated: Sunday, September 13, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins — Time & How to Watch
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida |
| When | Sunday, September 13, 2026 — 1:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | SportsNet LA / Marlins.TV |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Betting Preview
Emmet Sheehan gets the ball for Los Angeles. He is 5-8 with a 5.08 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP, but the strikeout rate tells a friendlier story: 118 punchouts in 101 innings. He delivered his best work of the year last time out, striking out 10 over 5.2 innings in a 6-3 win over Cincinnati on September 7, and Dave Roberts confirmed afterward that he keeps the rotation spot. The ERA still reflects a season of stops and starts, however.
Pérez is the more talented arm on paper and the shakier one right now. He carries a 3.94 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP and 150 strikeouts across 139.1 innings, a career high for the 23-year-old. However, his last three turns share a shape. He gave up five earned runs in three innings and walked four against Washington on August 29, allowed six runs in 4.2 innings to Kansas City, then took 10 hits and five earned runs in four innings from the Mets. Three straight short starts is a pattern, not a blip.
The bullpen picture matters just as much. Miami emptied its pen on Saturday, using five relievers to protect a 4-3 win. Los Angeles needed only three, none over 25 pitches. Meanwhile the Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 and lead the West at 90-58. Miami is 73-76 and has lost seven of 10. For more on this series, see our preview of Saturday’s meeting.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Odds
| Run Line | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -1.5 (+110) | -153 | U 8.5 (-110) |
| Marlins | +1.5 (-130) | +128 | O 8.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of September 13, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest MLB Odds – Futures – Props
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Dodgers | 84% | 16% | Marlins |
See the latest MLB Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction — Will Tired Arms lead to Runs?
Start with the arm that has to hold this game together. Pérez has allowed five-plus runs while failing to reach the fifth inning in three straight outings, and the free passes are the tell. He walked four in three innings against Washington and three more in four against the Mets, all while carrying the heaviest innings load of his career. Base runners raise pitch counts, and high pitch counts hand the game to the bullpen early.
That is where Saturday’s workload returns. If Pérez fails to reach the fifth again, Miami must cover four or five innings with arms that mostly threw the day before. The market appears to see it too. The over opened at +100 and now sits at -110, while the under drifted from -120 to -110. That is real money on the high side, and it arrived independently of the action on the Dodgers.
The case against is worth stating plainly. loanDepot park has graded below league average for run scoring, so 8.5 is not a soft number here. The first two games of the series produced eight and seven total runs, both beneath this line. Sheehan also just missed 10 bats in under six innings. This is a lean, not a certainty.
The Pick: Over 8.5 (-110)
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction — Will L.A. Rebound in Big Way?
The same mismatch points to a second angle, and the game’s structure favors the harder version of it. Los Angeles is the road team, so the Dodgers bat in the ninth whether they lead or trail. That extra half-inning is how a one-run lead becomes a two-run win, and it is the standard case for a favorite at -1.5 over the straight price. The number has firmed from +120 to +110.
Still, the counter-case is easy to make. One-run finishes are a staple of baseball, which is why the run line sits at 1.5. Los Angeles managed only three runs in Saturday’s loss, and Sheehan’s 5.08 ERA says he can hand back a lead fast. There is also the crowd: 84% of run-line tickets sit on the Dodgers, yet the moneyline has moved only six cents. That small a move under that much public weight is no green light, though it does argue for the plus-money side over laying -153.
The Pick: Dodgers Run Line -1.5 (+110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
Watch Pérez’s pitch count through the third. If he is near 60 with two innings still to cover, Miami is into its bullpen before the midpoint and both positions get more comfortable. If instead he works efficiently and the ballpark does its usual run-suppressing job, the under and the Miami side come alive fast. Neither play is a heavy lean. Both rest on one read: Miami’s pitching depth is stretched thinner than the price suggests.
Recap of our picks: Over 8.5 (-110) and Dodgers Run Line -1.5 (+110).
MLB Dodgers vs. Marlins FAQ: Sunday September 13, 2026
What time does the Dodgers vs. Marlins game start?
First pitch is 1:40 p.m. ET on Sunday, September 13, 2026, at loanDepot park in Miami. This is the finale of a three-game weekend series between the two clubs. The Marlins head straight to Arizona afterward to open a road series against the Diamondbacks on Monday.
What channel is the Dodgers vs. Marlins game on?
SportsNet LA carries the game for viewers in Los Angeles, and Marlins.TV handles the South Florida broadcast. First pitch is 1:40 p.m. ET from loanDepot park, with Emmet Sheehan and Eury Pérez listed as the starting pitchers for the series finale.
Who is pitching for the Dodgers today?
Emmet Sheehan starts for Los Angeles. Manager Dave Roberts confirmed the right-hander would keep his rotation spot after he struck out 10 over 5.2 innings against Cincinnati on September 7. Sheehan is 5-8 this season with a 5.08 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP and 118 strikeouts in 101 innings.
Where are the Dodgers and Marlins playing today?
The game is at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida, the Marlins’ home ballpark. Los Angeles is the visiting team for all three games of this weekend series. It closes out Miami’s homestand, and the Marlins open a road trip in Arizona on Monday against the Diamondbacks.
Where do the Dodgers and Marlins stand in their divisions?
Los Angeles leads the National League West at 90-58 and has won eight of its last 10 games. Miami is 73-76 and sits third in the National League East, 15 games back of Atlanta, after losing seven of its last 10. The Marlins ended a losing run with Saturday’s 4-3 win.