The Padres vs. Phillies continues in Philadelphia on Tuesday night. First pitch is at 6:30 p.m. ET, with San Diego sending Nick Pivetta (8‑2, 3.36 ERA) to face Philadelphia’s rising lefty Cristopher Sánchez (6‑2, 2.79 ERA). What’s the best bet in this matchup of NL playoff contenders?
Padres vs. Phillies Game Info
San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies
6:35 p.m. ET, Tuesday, July 1, 2025
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Padres vs. Phillies Public Betting & Odds
According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook Bovada.lv, the Phillies are -170 moneyline favorites to beat the Padres, who are +145 moneyline underdogs. The total, meanwhile, is sitting at 8.5 runs.
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting data page shows that the majority of public bettors are on Philadelphia.
Pitching Duel Insight
Nick Pivetta has been a strikeout machine, averaging nearly 10 K per nine innings and owning an elite 1.03 WHIP. His recent start (7 IP, 0 ER, 10 K vs. Washington) showcased dominance. Expect him to challenge Phillies hitters with heavy heat and sliders.
Cristopher Sánchez, an All‑Star in 2024, has kept opposing offenses guessing with a 2.79 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over 93 IP. While he has yet to face San Diego, his results—six innings and one run allowed in each recent outing—suggest strong control and poise.
Offense & Matchups
The Padres offense has been solid outside San Diego, scoring 3.88 runs per game (21st in MLB), but strikeouts are a concern—they punch out nearly eight times per outing.
Phillies bats are steady, averaging 4.70 runs/game at home (4th in MLB). Even without Bryce Harper (just returned from IL), they’ve relied on Schwarber (25 HR, .252 avg) and Turner (.296 avg) to provide timely pops.
In general, expect a disciplined game — Padres’ power threats like Tatis Jr., Machado, and Soto may spark some fireworks, but Sanchez may stifle long rally innings. Philly, with a patient lineup, could scrape across a few runs even if Pivetta is sharp early.
Padres vs. Phillies Betting Prediction
Expect a tight contest defined by starting pitching and situational hitting. If storms disrupt the rhythm, it could favor bullpens and sharpen every at-bat. All things considered, the Phillies just have enough edge — home crowd, deeper lineup, and slight weather-driven chaos tilting momentum their way.
Sánchez limits San Diego to 2 runs over 6 innings, keeping it close.
Pivetta, despite a strong outing, gives up a pinch-hit HR or two to Schwarber/Turner.
Late-game adjustments decide it — Phillies bullpen nabs a lead, while Padres falter against a Corbin Burnes–type reliever drop-in.
Padres vs. Phillies MLB PREDICTION: UNDER 8.5