Last Updated on September 12, 2023 10:45 am by Anthony Rome
Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
Max Fried will oppose Zack Wheeler in Tuesday night’s pitching matchup at Citizens Bank Park, where the Phillies will host the Braves at 6:40 p.m. ET. With the Phillies listed as a home dog and the total sitting at 8.5 runs, what’s the best bet tonight in Philly?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
953 Atlanta Braves (-125) at 954 Philadelphia Phillies (+105); o/u 8.5
6:40 p.m. ET, Tuesday, September 12, 2023
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Braves vs. Phillies Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 59% of bets are on the Braves’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Atlanta Braves DFS SPIN
Matt Olson went 2-for-3 with two homers Monday in a loss to the Phillies. Fresh off winning the NL Player of the Week, Olson blasted his 49th and 50 home runs of the season off Phillies starter Michael Lorenzen. The 29-year-old is one homer away from tying the franchise record of 51 homers, set by Andruw Jones in 2005. With nearly three weeks left in the season, he has enough time to set a new record in Atlanta.
Philadelphia Phillies DFS SPIN
Craig Kimbrel fired a scoreless ninth inning on Monday against the Braves to record his 23rd save of the season. Kimbrel was called upon to protect a two-run lead. He allowed one batter to score but managed to get all three outs by tossing 13 pitches. On the season, the veteran has a 3.39 ERA and his 23 saves this season matches his high-water mark since he was the closer in Boston and collected 42 saves during the 2018 season.
Braves vs. Phillies MLB Betting Trends
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Braves vs. Phillies MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Give me Philadelphia. Wheeler owns a 27.5% strikeout rate, a .269 wOBA and a .215 batting average against when facing the current Atlanta roster. His expected numbers all look great too: .293 xwOBA, .236 expected batting average against and a .413 expected slugging percentage. Fried, meanwhile, owns a .323 batting average against the current Philadelphia roster, as well as a .282 expected batting average, a .351 xwOBA and a .463 expected slug.
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES +105