Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction & Odds
The Boston Red Sox remain in Cleveland to take on the Guardians in a Thursday night showdown at 7:10 PM ET on ESPN+ in the final game of a three-game set.
Can the Guardians win the game outright as money-line home favorites?
Projected starting pitchers: Matt Dermody (BOS) vs. Aaron Civale (CLE)
The Boston Red Sox are 31-31 straight up this year. Boston is 3-7 in their last 10 games. The Red Sox are 31-31 ATS this season.
The Cleveland Guardians are 28-33 straight up this year. Cleveland is 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Guardians are 29-32 ATS this season.
Game Matchup and Betting Odds
965 Boston Red Sox (-105) at 966 Cleveland Guardians (-115); O/U 8.5
7:05 PM ET, Thursday, June 8, 2023
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
Red Sox vs. Guardians Public Betting Information
Our MLB Public Betting Information page indicates that 60% of public bets are currently on the Guardians money line. Please note that these numbers are subject to change all the way up to game time, so be sure to check the link to ensure that you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Boston Red Sox DFS Spin
Red Sox third baseman Rafael Devers was the only Boston player to record multiple hits in his team’s 5-2 loss to Cleveland on Wednesday night. Devers went 2 for 4 with singles in the first and eighth innings while hitting fourth in Boston’s lineup. For the season, Devers is slashing .246/.299/.478 with 15 doubles, 13 homers, and a team-high 50 RBIs. Devers has an .817 OPS at night compared to only .708 during the day, so Thursday night’s 7:10 PM ET first pitch could provide him with some additional DFS value.
Cleveland Guardians DFS Spin
Cleveland shortstop Amed Rosario was one of the stars for the Guardians in their 5-2 win over the Red Sox on Wednesday night. The former New York Met went 3 for 4 with a double, an RBI, and 2 runs scored as he hit out of the #2 spot in the Guardians’ lineup. Rosario is slashing just .237/.281/.330 on the year, but he does have 14 extra-base hits and 8 stolen bases on the campaign. Rosario will have the platoon edge over Boston left-handed pitcher Matt Dermody as the Guardians shortstop has an .802 OPS against lefties compared to a .522 OPS against righties. Because of his splits, Rosario could be a nice sleeper play in DFS on Wednesday
Red Sox vs. Guardians MLB Betting Trends
Boston is 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games.
Boston is 9-3 in their last 12 games against the American League Central.
Cleveland is 4-12 in their last 16 games when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cleveland is 2-7 in their last 9 games following a win.
Red Sox vs. Guardians Betting Prediction
The Red Sox have been solid on the road in a few different scenarios this year. Boston is 8-3 in their last 11 road games against a team with a losing record. Boston is also 5-1 in their last 6 road games with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. But the most significant point in Boston’s favor is their track record against Cleveland. The Red Sox are 14-6 in their last 20 games against the Guardians, and Boston is 8-2 in their last 10 games against the Guardians in Cleveland. I like the Red Sox to take the rubber match in this series on Thursday night.
MLB Betting Prediction: BOSTON RED SOX -105