[bimmercando]

TRENDSCENTER
Chiefs -8.5 or less after a loss: 14-0 to the UNDER =14 straight
Active on Chiefs at Broncos u40.5

Gianni the Greek NFL
4% [NFL] Detroit Lions -3.0 (-120)
2026 NFL Picks 28-21
4% Denver Broncos +1.5

executive

400 Jets -1.5
300 Ravens-3.5
250 Bucs -1.5
250 6 pt teaser Denver/NEng
250 6 pt teaser Eagles/Bears

[bimmercando]

Bill Rump
NFL
1pm Higgins 69.5 rec yards -112(1u)
1pm Parlay Henry longest rush 15+, Bijan longest rush 15++111(1u)
1pm Jaylen Warren longet rush 16.5 yards-105(1u)
1pm Parlay Bowers 60+ rec, Pickens 50+ rec, Puka 70+ rec+200(1u)
4pm Kyren Williams 20+ rec yards-150(1u) DK
4pm Kyren longest rush 13.5 yards -1181u)

NFL TD
1pm Parlay Javonte, Bijan, Gibbs, Josh Allen+371(.5u)
1pm Parlay Flowers, Pickens, Irving +798(.5u)
1pm Parlay Henry, Kyren, Walker+340(.5u)

BILL”THE VILDER”
1pm THE 50x50x50x50 rush yards parlay, Cook, Bijan, Gibbs, Walker-134(1u)

Bryan Leonard
2% Jets -1.5 (-115)
2% Chargers +6.5 (-105)
4% Dolphins +7.0 (-115)

TK SPORTS ANALYTICS
NFL:
(6u) Over Cowboys/Cardinals 52.5/-120 ( See prior above )
(4u) Over Cowboys/Cardinals 54/-120
(6u) Over Ravens/Bills 54/-120
(3u) Under Chiefs/Broncos 40.5
(3u) Under Eagles/Commanders 40.5

NHL:
(1u) Minnesota Wild -110

Five Star
Golden Whale
Steelers -2.5

[bimmercando]

WAYNE ROOT
Chairman – Bucs -2
Pinnacle – Jets -1
Gold – Balt +3
Reserve – Chargers +6
Millionaire – Miami +7

NFL best bets for Week 8: Tough to love ’dogs at short numbers​
LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION
Matt Youmans VSIN

If the Indianapolis Colts are not completely tanking and waving a white flag on the season, they are doing something close to it.

After firing general manager Chris Ballard in mid-October, Colts owner Carlie Irsay-Gordon scribbled two trades on her notebook, sending offensive guard Quenton Nelson to Seattle and defensive lineman DeForest Buckner to San Francisco. With the NFL’s trade deadline looming on Nov. 10, she’s probably not done.

Ballard was embarrassingly bad at his job and should have been dumped long ago. The next star to go could be running back Jonathan Taylor. Indianapolis (2-5) is in obvious need of a franchise quarterback and enters a rebuilding phase.

The Colts are 10-point underdogs at Jacksonville on Sunday, and this ’dog player will pass. Here are my best bets for Week 8:

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets (-1.5)​

It could be time for Kirk Cousins to win or get benched, although the quarterback position is not the problem for the Raiders. Cousins is tied for the league lead with 16 touchdown passes and ranks fourth in passing yards with 1,877. He’s not getting much help from his running backs and the line is underperforming.

Las Vegas has slipped defensively, and if that continues don’t be surprised if end Maxx Crosby is mentioned in trade talks. The Raiders’ defensive decline has been no surprise considering their past four games (all losses) were against the Rams, Bills, Patriots and Chiefs — teams with elite quarterbacks.

The Jets, led by a clueless coach and clumsy quarterback, represent a significant step down in class for Las Vegas. I like the ’dog, but it’s tough to love the ’dog at such a short number.

Best Bet: Raiders +7.5 with Broncos +7.5 on a six-point teaser.

Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5) at Denver Broncos​

The Denver defense has improved dramatically since Week 1, when Kenneth Walker debuted for Kansas City by rushing for 173 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries. The Broncos, blown out 31-10 in the opener, have allowed 15.7 points during a three-game win streak.

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are reeling after totaling only 11 first downs and 213 yards in a 20-3 loss at Seattle. Denver’s defensive front has cranked up the pressure on opposing quarterbacks, and Mahomes is working behind a mediocre line and not getting many big plays from his wide receivers.

Divisional underdogs are 23-10 against the spread this season, and the Broncos are among seven in that role this week. The Mahomes-Bo Nix showdown should be a slowdown type of game. I prefer the home ’dog on a teaser instead of taking the short number. I rarely play two-team teasers anymore because of the high prices, but will make an exception.

Best Bet: Chiefs-Broncos Under 40.5; and Broncos +7.5 with Raiders +7.5 on a six-point teaser (-140)

Three more plays for Sunday:

Bills -3 vs Ravens

Cardinals +7 at Cowboys

Chargers +6.5 at Rams

NFL Week 8 predictions:
Ravens, Lions, Chargers in favorable spots​
LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION
Wes Reynolds VSIN

Here are my NFL Week 8 best bets:

Baltimore Ravens (+3) at Buffalo Bills​

No one expected the Baltimore Ravens to be sitting in last place in the AFC North, but that is where they are. However, they are getting Lamar Jackson back after missing three games with a high ankle

No one should be more excited to have Lamar back than Derrick Henry, who has had his two lowest rushing outputs (17 carries, 56 yards at Cleveland; 17 carries, 45 yards vs. Cincinnati) in the last two games. That is barely over three yards per carry. However, if there was ever a time for a struggling offense to get right, it is against this Bills defense.

Buffalo is off its bye. Josh Allen is the rightful MVP favorite. He has to be, because his defense ranks dead last in EPA, 30th in Success Rate, 29th in EPA/Pass, 31st in Pass Success Rate, and 25th in EPA/Rush. Only four teams (Washington, Detroit, Las Vegas, and Arizona) have allowed more TD passes than the Buffalo defense.

The Bills offense is certainly explosive — No. 1 in scoring (32.8 ppg) and No. 1 in EPA — but the one game where it struggled was against the Chargers. In that game, Buffalo scored 24 (a late one tacked on with the Chargers giving them a short field late) but allowed four sacks and turned it over five times. The Chargers run essentially the same scheme as the Ravens with Jesse Minter, who was Chargers DC, now as the Baltimore head coach.

Jackson is 9-1-1 against the spread in his career as an underdog of three points or less. This is a huge game for the Ravens to keep pace in its own division.

Detroit Lions (-3.5) vs. Minnesota Vikings​

The Lions moved up to -3.5 last week and did not end up covering vs. the Packers in a 20-17 victory but were the clear better side. Detroit had a 26-to-17 first-down edge, a 415-to-324 yard edge, and forced Jordan Love to drop back 46 times.

Meanwhile, Minnesota moved on to 6-0 and is now the NFL’s lone remaining unbeaten team. However, they were not sharp in a 16-10 victory over an Indianapolis team that is starting to sell anything that is not bolted down. The Vikings defense is still elite with its 69 percent blitz rate that has led to being No. 1 in EPA/Play and No. 1 in Success Rate. On the other hand, the offense continues to struggle as it ranks No. 29 in EPA/Play and No. 31 in Success Rate.

Although Detroit can be prone to giving up big plays, Minnesota has not shown the ability to take advantage even against weaker defenses like Miami and Indianapolis.

Minnesota also has had some kicking game issues as Will Reichard missed two field goals last week.

A 6-0 team can never be called a bad team, but the Vikings have been on borrowed time, and eventually this defense will have to break, and Jared Goff has been the best starter per EPA against the blitz this season. If Detroit gets out to a lead, Minnesota will struggle to play catch up.

Los Angeles Chargers +6.5 at Los Angeles Rams

The Chargers officially became the last winless team last week with Miami’s win over the Jets. If ever there was a team that needed a bye week, it was the Chargers.

The Bolts are the first team since the 2011 Rams to go winless ATS through six games and score under 24 points in each of those games. The offense ranks dead last in points per game, EPA/play, and Success Rate. Justin Herbert ranks 34th among the 34 quarterbacks to have 100 or more dropbacks with a 44.5 grade per PFF.

Perhaps the week off allowed them to regroup and do some soul searching. One would expect that the Chargers would at least come out with a solid effort here.

On the other side, the Rams stopped a losing streak with a 35-21 victory in Las Vegas after losing two straight games. Now the schedule eases up a bit with the Chargers and then road games at Washington and Arizona before the Week 11 bye.

Although it was a win, the Rams caught the Raiders on the back end of a brutal stretch of the schedule, having to play Kansas City, New England, and Buffalo in back-to-back-to-back weeks. The Rams are not suddenly the elite team they were projected to be before the season began. They have issues, especially stopping the run, and they are just 28th in Success Rate. The Chargers are also expected to have tackle Joe Alt back to help their banged-up offensive line.

Sometimes I am as guilty as anyone reading too much into a line, but this has stayed at 6.5 all week and was actually 7 on the lookahead number. Who is cutting in line to bet the Chargers? Things that make you go hmmm.

TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Browns/Steelers Under 39.5

Story continues after advertisement

TEASER OF THE WEEK

Broncos +7.5/Patriots -1 (6-point teaser)

BEST OF THE REST

Buccaneers -126 ML vs. Falcons

NFL trends, predictions: Cardinals among underdogs worth betting​

LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets: The Raiders have covered three of their past four road games and six of their past eight overall since late last season. They have also gone over the total in their past five games and are 9-4 to the over since late 2025. The Jets are on an 8-5 over run since late last season. Edge: Over and a slight lean to the Raiders, based on totals and team trends.

Baltimore at Buffalo: The Bills have won both meetings at home over the past two seasons, including a 2024 divisional-round playoff victory, with the combined margin of victory totaling just three points. Both of those meetings went over the total, and Buffalo is 10-2-1 to the over since late 2025. The Ravens are 7-3 to the over since late 2025. Edge: Over, based on totals trends.

Tennessee at Cincinnati: Note that four of the Titans’ six losses this season have been by six points or fewer, though they are just 3-4 against the spread overall. The Bengals are 1-4 against the spread in their past five games this season while going over the total in three of their past four outings. Edge:Slight lean to the over, based on totals trends.

Arizona at Dallas: The Cardinals won and covered in a 27-17 road upset in this matchup last November. Arizona is 3-1 against the spread on the road this season (0-3 at home), and road teams are 6-1 against the spread in Cardinals games. The Cowboys are 1-5 against the spread in their past six games as favorites at home. Dallas is also on a 10-2-1 over run since late 2025. Edge: Cardinals and over, based on team and totals trends.

Minnesota at Detroit: The Vikings had lost five straight and failed to cover eight consecutive games against the Lions before sweeping last season’s series. Minnesota is 6-0 straight up but only 4-2 against the spread this season and has gone under the total in its past five games of 2026. The Lions are just 2-5 against the spread at Ford Field since late 2025. Edge: Slight lean to the Vikings and under, based on recent and totals trends.

Cleveland at Pittsburgh: The home team has covered 10 straight games in this AFC North rivalry, including the Browns’ 27-24 win in Cleveland on Oct. 1. The Steelers have won and covered three straight games and four of their past five this season. Edge:Steelers, based on home-field series trends.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay: The road team has covered the last three meetings and five of the past six. Visiting teams are also 5-1 against the spread in Falcons games this season. The Buccaneers are 0-4 against the spread at home in 2026 and 0-9 against the number in their past nine games at Raymond James Stadium since mid-2025. Tampa Bay is also on a hard-to-believe 1-15 against-the-spread skid since mid-2025. Edge: Falcons, based on team trends.

Indianapolis at Jacksonville: The Jaguars have won 10 straight games outright against the Colts, covered 11 of the last 13 meetings since 2019, and the Colts have lost 11 straight as the visiting team in the series, including 10 straight in Jacksonville and one in London as the designated visitor. Indianapolis has, however, covered five of its past six road games. The Jaguars have won and covered their past six games at EverBank Stadium since mid-2025. Edge:Jaguars, based on team and series trends.

Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams: The Chargers are 0-9 straight up and 0-8-1 against the spread since late 2025. They are also on a 10-1-1 under streak. Edge: Rams and under, based on recent and totals trends.

Kansas City at Denver: After winning eight straight games outright at Denver from 2015-22, Andy Reid has lost and failed to cover in three consecutive trips to Mile High since Sean Payton arrived in Denver in 2023. The Chiefs’ 16-game series winning streak was snapped in 2023, and they have failed to cover their past five trips to Denver. The last seven meetings have gone under the total. The Broncos are 17-1 straight up at home since mid-2024. Edge: Broncos and under, based on team and totals trends.

New England at Miami: The Patriots won and covered at Miami last season but had previously lost and failed to cover in eight straight visits to Hard Rock Stadium. New England is just 1-3-1 against the spread in its past five road games. The Dolphins have covered their past three games this season. The Patriots are on a 4-0 over run, and the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings of the series. Edge: Over and Dolphins, based on totals and extended series trends.

Philadelphia at Washington: The past four meetings in the series have gone over the total. The Eagles are on a 1-8 against-the-spread slide since late 2025, while the Commanders are on an 8-2 over run. Edge:Over and Commanders, based on totals and recent trends.

Chicago at Seattle (Monday): With Caleb Williams in the lineup, the Bears are 5-2 against the spread in their past seven road games and 10-4 overall against the number since mid-2025. Chicago is also 8-3 as an underdog since early 2025. The Seahawks are just 2-4-1 against the spread this season. Edge: Bears, based on team trends.

[bimmercando]

JR O’Donnell
2* – Detroit -3

Bianco
4% = Jax -10

TKsportsAnalytics
10U = Cowboys OVER 52.5 @ -120

Steve Merrill
4*s = Chiefs, Chargers, Ravens

[bimmercando]

Indian Cowboy
5* ATL/TB UNDER

Docs Platinum Club
7u Chargers +6.5
2u CLV/PIT U39.5
2u Eagles +6

Matt Fargo
SD Chargers

Dave Price
7 GOY Jets over 45

Doug Upstone
Cardinals

AAA
GOM Broncos

Jim Feist
GOW Dolphins +7

ASA
GOW ARIZONA

PSP
5% GOY Chiefs ML

William Burns
Blue Marlin beatdown LA Rams

Norm Hitzges
Double Plays
2 Jags – 10
2 Steelers – 3.5

[bimmercando]

Joe Raineri
5% Detroit -3 good to 3.5
3% KC/Den under 41.5 good to 40.5

Norm Hitzges Double Plays
2* – Jags -10
2* – Steelers -3.5

[bimmercando]

Lenny Stevens
20* LIONS
20* BILLS
10 TB
10 TITANS
10 COLTS

Marc Lawrence 3*
Los Angeles Chargers
perfect system play?

Re: ML & Los Angeles Chargers
He has a couple stats in there about Chargers 8-0 ats non-conference road dog and also 15-1 ats off a bye if they won 7 or more pervious year. There is also a system of teams who are 20-2 ats if they are off a bye and have no wins and at least 5 losses. I think both non covers failed by 1 point. Dolphins were also that system last week

Marc L 5* GAME OF THE MONTH
Baltimore Ravens +3 over the Buffalo Bills

Gianni the Greek NFL
4% [NFL] Detroit Lions -3.0 (-120)
2026 NFL Picks 28-21

Jack Jones NFL
20* Jacksonville Jaguars -8
20* Raiders/Jets OVER 45
15* Vikings/Lions on OVER 45.5
15* Chargers/Rams OVER 45.5

[bimmercando]

The close selection teams (we look for the dogs at their actual gametime lines ) today:

Vikings, ( Chargers just at 25% range but may include them in a few )
Raiders, Falcons, Eagles
Chiefs may be an added consideration (29% diff) due to their explosive QB ability at times(!);
unlike Bo Nix that has not shown any passing powers.

[bimmercando]

Folks the close selection for the teaser play teams (we look at the dogs at their actual gametime lines ) today:

Vikings on the border, Chargers also just off but…,
Raiders, Falcons, Eagles

[bimmercando]

G.Whale = Don’t bet more than a chocolate bar’s worth on these perfect records!
Another is on La Rams Money line, this line claims a 24-0 record! Love it

[bimmercando]

ML Playbook Group
Sat. NCAA Football Complimentary Selection from James Patrick Sports
Miami Florida vs. North Carolina 7:30 pm. est.

Mario Cristobal is the ultimate CEO type and what works in his favor is the Hurricane Athletic Department spends money on transfers like its happy hour forever. Cristobal is a line coach and a recruiter and until last season Playoff run to the National Championship Game. His success on the field had been underwhelming in Miami and he had never had back-to-back (10)-win seasons. Miami has never won the ACC and coach Mario Cristobal’s team is now the favorite and also ranked #1 in the nation heading to Chapel Hill. HC Bill Belichick is now the man in charge at North Carolina. However, for a North Carolina program that has struggled to consistently win at a high level, taking the opportunity to hire arguably the greatest coach in NFL history is a no-brainer. Year One under Bill Belichick was a colossal dud. North Carolina’s five-year bowl streak snapped, and Chapel Hill was left searching for answers.
Upset Alert at Chapel Hill on Saturday Night.

Executive
Exec 650% Oklahoma
300 Boise St -10.5
250 Oregon -3.5

FIVE STAR SPORTS
Golden Whale = Oregon Ducks ML
18-0 All Plays Run (documented??? by who?)

[bimmercando]

NFL Football
Marc Lawrence Super Hot 5-Star NFL Game Of the Month! – Sunday
Pay After Win: $50.00
Discount Pre-Paid:$35.00
Don’t miss it – Marc Sizzling Hot 5-Star NFL Game of the Month kicks this Sunday and it’s backed with a team and its quarterback in a NEVER LOST winning situation. Best of all it’s locked and loaded – get it now

See Above!

[bimmercando]

Marc Lawrence
4* – Ariz
3* – Navy

Lenny Stevens
20* PENN ST
20* ND
10* IOWA
10* FRESNO
10* OREGON

**The Northcoast Small College GOY goes at 4:00 PM
Hopefully will come up

[bimmercando]

Insider’s
Auburn Over 58.5

Marco
5% – Okla
3% Duke/Utah St ML parlay

[bimmercando]

Ross Benjamin
5% Oklahoma state over 57.5
4% BYU -16.5
3% Cincinnati +7.5
3% Georgia -11.5
2% Louisiana Tech -6

Scott Spreitzer
2U – GA -12.5
7U – Ind -20.5
2U – GA Southern -5.5

The Gold Sheet NCAA
4% North Dakota State -24.5 (-115)
CFB picks 2026 27-19

Ben Burns
5% Air Force ML -135

[Author]

Posts