Bahrain Grand Prix odds have Kimi Antonelli on top of the board at +140, for a race that will not be run in Bahrain. Round 16 keeps the Bahrain Grand Prix name but runs at Sepang International Circuit in Malaysia on Sunday, October 4. Antonelli arrives with eight wins and a 66-point championship lead. Below is the full outright board and what holds it in shape.
Last Updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
2026 Bahrain Grand Prix — Race Information
| Where | Sepang International Circuit, Sepang, Malaysia |
| When | Sunday, October 4 – 3:00 AM ET |
| TV | Apple TV |
2026 Bahrain Grand Prix Betting Preview
The venue is the headline. This round was set for April at Bahrain International Circuit. It was postponed, then relocated to Sepang by agreement between Formula 1, the FIA and the Bahraini and Malaysian governments. Sepang is a permanent road course of 5.543 km, and the race runs 56 laps for 310.398 km. This is a standard weekend, so Saturday qualifying alone sets the grid.
Form is why this board is top-heavy. Mercedes has been the class of the field, and its drivers hold the two shortest prices. Antonelli has eight wins in 15 rounds. Russell won in Baku from pole. Drivers who would have headed an F1 board in past seasons sit lower: Verstappen sixth in the standings, Norris fourth, Piastri seventh.
Circuit history is the one counterweight. The last Formula 1 race at Sepang, in 2017, went to Verstappen, with Lewis Hamilton second. Nine years and several rule cycles later, that is context, not a predictor. It is still the only Sepang reference point in this field, and it belongs to a driver priced fourth.
2026 Bahrain Grand Prix — Top Odds to Win
| Name | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | +140 |
| George Russell | +300 |
| Lando Norris | +700 |
| Max Verstappen | +750 |
| Charles Leclerc | +1000 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +1000 |
| Oscar Piastri | +1100 |
| Isack Hadjar | +2500 |
| Liam Lawson | +50000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +50000 |
Odds accurate as of Tuesday, September 29, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest F1 Odds – Props
Bahrain Grand Prix Odds: Kimi Antonelli Favored at Sepang
Antonelli at +140 is the shortest price on the board, and the record behind it is straightforward. He has won eight of the 15 races run this season, and leads the drivers’ championship with 302 points to Russell’s 236. Mercedes leads the constructors by 160 over Ferrari. When one team holds that margin, a price near even money follows.
The case against the price is not the car but what +140 demands. That figure implies roughly 42 percent. It asks a bettor to accept one driver beating a 22-car field more often than not, at a circuit nobody has raced in Formula 1 since 2017. Baku is the useful caution. He qualified 16th and recovered to fifth, protecting the lead without winning.
Russell at +300 is the other half of the chalk. His Baku win is the newest result on the board, taken from pole by under two-tenths over Verstappen. Mercedes owning both short prices reflects a simple read. The question is which Mercedes wins, not whether one does. Norris at +700 is third shortest, after wins in Hungary and the Netherlands.
2026 Bahrain Grand Prix Mid-Grid Odds
Max Verstappen (+750) is the most interesting price in this band. Sixth in the standings on 163 points and without a win this season, he is kept off the short end. However, he finished second in Baku and is the last driver to win an F1 race here. The market prices him on 2026 form, not that history.
Lewis Hamilton (+1000) and Charles Leclerc (+1000) are level, with Ferrari second among the constructors. Hamilton is third on 199 points with one win, at Barcelona, and went sixth from sixth in Baku. Leclerc is fifth on 179 after winning at Silverstone. Both prices reflect a season where Ferrari has been the second-best car more often than the best.
Oscar Piastri (+1100) is priced below his own history here. He won the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix, making him the defending winner, though at a different circuit. He sits seventh on 120 points against Norris on 186, and the board treats him as the second McLaren.
Isack Hadjar (+2500) closes the mid band, eighth in the championship on 86 points in his Red Bull seat. His price sits far from the favorites but far from the field behind him too. It reads him as a podium threat on a chaotic afternoon, not a winner on merit.
Bahrain Grand Prix Long Shot Odds on the Board
Past Hadjar this board does not taper. It drops. Fourteen of the 22 entries are priced at +50000, the market declining to separate them at all. That flat pricing is itself information about how wide the gap has become.
Liam Lawson (+50000) and Pierre Gasly (+50000) are the highest-placed championship drivers in that tie, ninth on 59 points and tenth on 41. Their clearest route runs through attrition, a safety car cycle falling their way, and track position they could not earn on pace.
Fernando Alonso, Carlos Sainz, Esteban Ocon and Oliver Bearman sit in cars that have scored points without going near a win. Sergio Perez and Valtteri Bottas are in the newest operation on the grid. Either way the price describes car performance, not driver quality. One factor cuts across the tier: with Sepang off the calendar for nine years, no team holds recent setup data here.
2026 Bahrain Grand Prix: What to Watch
This board is shaped by one team’s season and one unfamiliar circuit, and those forces pull against each other. Mercedes form explains the prices at the top. The nine-year gap since F1 last ran here is why they could move more than at an annual venue. The first test is Friday practice, where long-run pace will carry unusual weight.
Qualifying follows on Saturday, and with no sprint it alone sets the grid. Expect the board to firm up once it is done. Grid penalties confirmed afterwards will move prices too. Underneath it all sits the championship arithmetic. Antonelli’s 66-point lead over his own teammate, with eight rounds left, means Mercedes has a title to manage as well as a race to win.
F1 Bahrain Grand Prix FAQ: Sunday October 4, 2026
Who is the favorite to win the Bahrain Grand Prix?
Kimi Antonelli is the favorite at +140. The Mercedes driver leads the 2026 drivers’ championship with 302 points and has won eight of the 15 races run this season. George Russell is second choice at +300, giving Mercedes both short prices.
What are the odds to win the Bahrain Grand Prix?
Antonelli is +140, Russell +300, Lando Norris +700, Max Verstappen +750, Charles Leclerc +1000, Lewis Hamilton +1000, Oscar Piastri +1100 and Isack Hadjar +2500. The remaining 14 drivers in the 22-car field are each priced at +50000.
What time does the Bahrain Grand Prix start?
The race starts at 3:00 AM ET on Sunday, October 4, 2026. That is 3:00 PM local time at Sepang International Circuit in Malaysia, where the round was relocated after being postponed from its original April date in Bahrain.
What channel is the Bahrain Grand Prix on?
Apple TV carries the race in the United States. Apple became Formula 1’s US broadcast partner for the 2026 season under a new rights deal, taking over from ESPN, and every session streams there.
Who won the Bahrain Grand Prix last year?
Oscar Piastri won the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix for McLaren, holding off George Russell at Bahrain International Circuit. Piastri is +1100 this year, and the venue change means his win came at a different circuit from the 2026 host.
See also our 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix odds and 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix odds breakdowns.