Our Singapore Grand Prix predictions start with a grid that finally hands Max Verstappen the one thing he never owned at Marina Bay. The 2026 Singapore Grand Prix runs Sunday, October 11, under the lights at the Marina Bay Street Circuit. Verstappen beat Charles Leclerc to pole by 0.054 seconds, hours after winning a wet, wild sprint. George Russell, last year’s winner here, starts at the back. Below are the odds and our five picks.
Last Updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026
2026 Singapore Grand Prix — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Marina Bay Street Circuit, Singapore |
| When | Sunday, October 11 – 8:00 AM ET |
| TV | Apple TV |
2026 Singapore Grand Prix Betting Preview
Marina Bay is a 19-corner street circuit measuring 4.927 km per lap. Sunday’s race covers 62 laps and 305.337 km, and four editions have hit the two-hour limit before full distance. This is a sprint weekend, so teams got only one hour of practice. Verstappen’s 1:31.373 edged Leclerc, with Lewis Hamilton third and championship leader Kimi Antonelli fourth. Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri complete the top six after their sprint collision, ahead of Pierre Gasly, Liam Lawson, Arvid Lindblad and Nico Hulkenberg. Russell qualified sixth-fastest but drops to the back row after Mercedes fitted a fresh power unit. Isack Hadjar also starts at the back, left without a Q1 time by gearbox trouble.
The board reflects all of that. Verstappen is clear chalk at -200, and TheSpread.com carries a separate Winner Without Max Verstappen market in which Leclerc leads at +150. The Grid Position Of Winner market prices pole at -200, which tracks the history here. Pole-sitters have won more than two-thirds of the Singapore races run so far, and the last three winners all started from P1. Mercedes leads the constructors’ standings by 143 points, yet sits at +1000 in the winning-car market, with one car fourth on the grid and the other last. Safety Car Yes is priced at -650, and the sprint produced a record nine retirements. Two things could still move prices: the final classified grid is not yet published, and Aston Martin has flagged a possible power unit change for Fernando Alonso.
2026 Singapore Grand Prix — Top Odds to Win
| Name | Odds |
|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | -200 |
| Charles Leclerc | +400 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +550 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +1100 |
| Lando Norris | +2000 |
| Oscar Piastri | +5000 |
| George Russell | +10000 |
| Isack Hadjar | +10000 |
| Liam Lawson | +25000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +25000 |
Odds accurate as of Saturday, October 10, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest F1 Odds – Props
2026 Singapore Grand Prix Best Bets
Max Verstappen (-200) is the pick to win, and the reasoning is narrower than his price suggests. Verstappen is 0-for-9 at the Singapore Grand Prix with four podiums. Look at how those races started, though. All four front-row starts here came from second, and he has led just three racing laps at Marina Bay. What stopped him was grid position, not pace, at a track where passing barely exists. That constraint is gone on Sunday.
The form backs it up. Verstappen won last weekend’s rain-hit race at Sepang from pole, then won Saturday’s sprint by 2.591 seconds over Hamilton on worn intermediates. He inherited that lead when Russell crashed on lap one, so it is not a clean pace reference. It still showed a Red Bull that holds a gap here. Verstappen’s own read was blunt: the series “shouldn’t host a sprint where you can’t pass.”
The case against is real. At -200 there is no margin for error, and Ferrari has two cars right behind him. Hamilton was within 2.6 seconds in the sprint from sixth on the grid. Red Bull sits fourth in the constructors’ standings, and Sepang was Verstappen’s first win of 2026. A timed safety car or a first-lap scrap with Leclerc undoes the thesis. We would not stretch past this number.
Singapore Grand Prix Predictions Mid-Tier Value Plays
Lewis Hamilton to beat Charles Leclerc (+130), driver head-to-head. Leclerc is the -170 side on the strength of one grid slot. That looks thin. Hamilton started the sprint sixth and finished second, clearing Leclerc on the way. He also leads his teammate in the standings, 221 points to 197. The plus-money price on the quicker race-trim Ferrari is the value. The risk is plain: Leclerc starts ahead, and Marina Bay rarely lets the car behind through.
Liam Lawson to beat Pierre Gasly (+130), driver head-to-head. Gasly starts seventh and Lawson eighth, and the market makes Gasly a -170 favorite on that single place. The weekend evidence points the other way. Lawson finished fifth in the sprint, four spots ahead of Gasly. He also leads Gasly in the championship, 69 points to 41, and Racing Bulls sit ahead of Alpine. The counter is Alpine’s better one-lap pace on Saturday, and track position is close to decisive here.
Long Shot Picks for The 2026 Singapore Grand Prix
Oscar Piastri (+5000) is the deep outright worth a look. He starts sixth in a McLaren that is third in the constructors’ standings. Singapore almost always throws a safety car, and the sprint showed how fast this weekend turns chaotic. Piastri has the car to be on the lead lap for it. The case against is equally plain. He spun after contact with Norris in the sprint and was classified 14th, and trails his teammate by 61 points.
George Russell (+1000) to set the fastest lap is the better structural play. Russell starts at the back on a brand-new power unit, which hands Mercedes full strategic freedom. He has no track position to protect and nothing to lose by running long and bolting on fresh rubber late. Mercedes leads the constructors’ standings by 143 points. The problem is traffic, and Verstappen is the +150 favorite in this market for a reason.
2026 Singapore Grand Prix Final Thoughts: What to Watch
Everything on Sunday runs through the opening corners. Verstappen has never led from pole here, and Leclerc gets one clean look before the field strings out. If Red Bull survives lap one in front, the race turns into a tyre-management exercise and our best bet is well placed. If Ferrari gets ahead, the Hamilton head-to-head gains value while the outright suffers. Watch the safety car windows, since the two-hour limit can compress 62 laps into a dash. Watch Russell too, because his recovery drive is where the fastest lap most likely comes from. For the earlier board, see our Singapore Grand Prix odds preview and our Bahrain Grand Prix in Malaysia predictions.
F1 Singapore Grand Prix FAQ: Sunday October 11, 2026
Who is the favorite to win the Singapore Grand Prix?
Max Verstappen is the favorite at -200. He starts from pole at Marina Bay for the first time in his career and won Saturday’s sprint race. Charles Leclerc is next at +400, with Ferrari teammate Lewis Hamilton at +550.
What are the odds to win the Singapore Grand Prix?
Verstappen leads the race-winner market at -200, followed by Leclerc at +400, Hamilton at +550, Kimi Antonelli at +1100 and Lando Norris at +2000. Oscar Piastri is +5000, while George Russell and Isack Hadjar are both +10000 from the back.
Who is on pole for the Singapore Grand Prix?
Max Verstappen is on pole with a lap of 1:31.373, beating Charles Leclerc by 0.054 seconds. It is his first Singapore pole and Red Bull’s first at the circuit since Sebastian Vettel. Lewis Hamilton qualified third for Ferrari.
What time does the Singapore Grand Prix start?
The 2026 Singapore Grand Prix starts at 8:00 AM ET on Sunday, October 11. That is 8:00 PM local time in Singapore, because Marina Bay runs as a night race under floodlights. The race is scheduled for 62 laps.
What channel is the Singapore Grand Prix on?
Apple TV carries the Singapore Grand Prix in the United States, as the home of Formula 1 coverage for the 2026 season. Race highlights are also posted free on Formula 1’s official YouTube channel after the event finishes.
How many laps is the Singapore Grand Prix?
The Singapore Grand Prix is 62 laps of the 4.927 km Marina Bay Street Circuit, a race distance of 305.337 km. The layout has 19 corners. Four editions have ended early after reaching Formula 1’s two-hour time limit.