Reply To: Weekend Service Plays – DEC 13-15

#541315
bimmercando
Participant

Pro Sports Picks

3% Cleveland Browns +7.5 (-105)
3% New England Patriots +1.5 (-115)
3% Indianapolis Colts +10.5

Indian Cowboy
7-Unit Play. #468. Take Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 over LA Chargers (Sunday @ 1pm est)

4-Unit Play. #463. Take Buffalo Bills -115 ML over New England Patriots (Sunday @ 1pm est)

4-Unit Play. #478. Tale LA Rams -5.5 over Detroit Lions (Sunday @ 4:25pm est)

4-Unit Play. #473. Take Green Bay Packers -2 over Denver Broncos (Sunday @ 4:25pm est)
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4-Unit Play. #483. Take Miami Dolphins +3.5 over Pittsburgh Steelers (Monday @ 8:15pm est)

Marc Lawrence

4* $50 GOM play. Denver ( As per the above 100% TOP DOG )

3 NE

3*. Detroit

Lean towards Pittsburgh, Balt, KC

Scott Spreitzer
7 stars – Kansas City Chiefs

Chuck Esposito
Red Rock SB director

Last week: 3-2
Season: 32-37-1

Bills -1
Giants -2½
Lions +6
Vikings +5½
Steelers -3½

Lou Finocchiaro

Last week: 2-3
Season: 33-35-2

Cardinals +9½
Bills -1
Chargers +4½
Broncos +2
Cowboys -5½

Doug Fitz
Systemplays.com

Last week: 3-2
Season: 30-40

Cardinals +9½
Jets +13½
Ravens -2½
Panthers -2½
Vikings +5½

Scott Kellen
Last week: 2-3
Season: 31-37-2

Bills -1
Ravens -2½
Panthers -2½
Vikings +5½
Steelers -3½

Westgate SuperBook VP
Last week: 4-1
Season: 38-30-2

Jaguars -13½
Browns +7½
Bills -1
Broncos +2
Panthers -2½

Brent Musburger
VSiN host
Last week: 3-2
Season: 33-35-2

Bears -7½
Bills -1
Panthers -2½
Cowboys -5½
Steelers -3½

Kelly Stewart
Last week: 3-2
Season: 36-34

Browns +7½
Bills -1
Chargers +4½
Packers -2
Lions +6

Dave Tuley
Last week: 2-3
Season: 30-38-2

Cardinals +9½
Browns +7½
Chargers +4½
Lions +6
Titans +13

JOE RAINERI​
NFL BEST BET!
(477) DETROIT LIONS AT (478) LOS ANGELES RAMS​
Date/Time:Dec 14 2025 4:25 PM EST
Line Provider:DraftKings
Play Rating:5%
Odds:-112
Play:Los Angeles Rams -5.5 (-112)
Was waiting to see if this line would move back towards Detroit this week but it looks like it will continue to head towards the Rams. Lock it in, Good to -6.5.
So it’s the Matthew Stafford Revenge Game, Part 3. But forget the narrative for a second, because the reality of this game is all about the casualty report in the Detroit secondary.
The Lions are walking into SoFi Stadium with a secondary that is completely decimated. We are talking cluster injuries galore.
Last week, they lost their best defender, Brian Branch, to a torn Achilles. He is gone. Their other starting safety, Kerby Joseph? Gone since October. Their top corner, Terrion Arnold? Out for the season. They are literally down to their 4th and 5th string safeties to try and stop a Sean McVay offense.
That is like bringing a knife to a nuclear war.
And McVay is going to exploit the specific weaknesses that Detroit already had beforethe injuries. The Lions play Man Coverage at the highest rate in the NFL. Well, guess what the Rams destroy? Man Coverage. They rank #3 in EPA per attempt and #2 in completion percentage against it.
And it gets worse. The Rams use Play Actionmore than any team in the league (38% of dropbacks). The Lions’ defense ranks 28th in yards per attempt allowed against Play Action. It’s why we loved our 5% Play on the Dallas Cowboys Team Total last game against this Lions defense and cashed it easily.
So you also have a Rams offense that is elite in the Red Zone this year (#3 TD rate), facing a depleted defense that allows quarterbacks to hold the ball far too long. Stafford is going to have all day to pick apart these backups.
In the playoffs last year, the Rams moved the ball but choked in the Red Zone. This year? They are finishing drives. This isn’t a matchup Dan Cambell and the Lions want at this point with their season on the line. I don’t blame them. They are going to have to take multiple chances in this game to try and keep pace with the Rams offense and that will lead to extra possessions and likely more scoring for the Rams. While I certainly like the OVER in the game, I believe the Rams defense will get more stops and allow the offense to win this game by double digits. Lay the points. Give me Rams-5.5 to -6.5