Lynx vs. Liberty WNBA Prediction: Liberty Test Depth Against Hungry Lynx

Lynx vs. Liberty Lynx vs. Liberty

Last Updated on August 18, 2025 9:20 pm by Michael Cash

The New York Liberty, loaded with star power and Finals expectations, welcome the scrappy Minnesota Lynx in a clash that’s as much about style as it is about standings. With New York pushing for dominance at home and Minnesota eager to prove it can punch above weight, this matchup offers a litmus test for both rosters’ playoff readiness. What’s the best bet in tonight’s Lynx vs. Liberty matchup?

Lynx vs. Liberty Event Info

Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty

When: 7:00 p.m. ET, Tuesday, August 19, 2025

Where: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY

Watch: NBA TV

Lynx vs. Liberty Betting Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook Bovada.lv, the Lynx are 1-point road favorites to knock off the Liberty. The total, meanwhile, sits at 168.5 points.

The Minnesota Lynx (28–5) head into Brooklyn riding a six-game win streak and leading the Western Conference. They’ll look to extend their dominance at the Barclays Center against the New York Liberty (21–13), who have a solid 13–4.

Series dominance:

Minnesota has owned this matchup in 2025—winning all three previous meetings. Their 86–80 win on August 16, plus earlier victories on August 10 and July 30, have set the tone for a season sweep.

Minnesota’s offensive and defensive machine: They’re first in the league in both offensive rating and defensive rating—translating to a league-best net rating.

The Liberty pack a punch, too: Third in offensive rating, sixth in defensive rating, and boast the fastest pace in the league—but that speed is not enough to overcome execution deficits.

Player matchups:

Courtney Williams (Lynx) is throwing down 14.2 PPG and dishing 6.3 APG, endearing herself as the engine of the team.

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) leads New York with 19.2 PPG and over 5 APG, dangerous from deep and the smart nerve center.

Jonquel Jones (Liberty) grabs 8.6 RPG and adds around 14 PPG—solid inside presence.

Minnesota’s rebounding anchor, Jessica Shepard, averages 6.9 RPG, with Kayla McBride’s 2.7 threes per game stretching defenses.

Injury watch:

Breanna Stewart (NYL) is out, and Nyara Sabally is game-time decision.

Napheesa Collier (MIN) is questionable but could return, which would add even more firepower for the Lynx.

Momentum and psychology:

This has become more than a game—it’s a statement. A possible path to a Finals rematch with extra intensity, possibly building toward a postseason narrative where both rosters are at full strength. Still, the Lynx keep asserting control, while the Liberty fight through attrition.

Lynx vs. Liberty Prediction

I’m picking the Minnesota Lynx to win, but not by runaway. Expect a gritty, elevated duel—Lynx 85, Liberty 82. If Collier plays, they might widen the gap; if not, New York will keep it close, especially with their home-court advantage and pace. But with consistency, depth, and a well-oiled machine, Minnesota takes yet another win, finishing the regular season sweep.

It’s an intriguing snapshot: a championship-caliber unit (Lynx) finally accessing full velocity, versus a resilient home squad (Liberty) still trying to shake loose a key piece (Stewart) and find rhythm. Feels like a chess match disguised as athletic theater.

Lynx vs. Liberty WNBA PREDICTION: MINNESOTA LYNX -1