Sharks vs Canadiens Prediction Oct 20: Is San Jose the Best Bet?

Sharks vs Canadiens Prediction Oct 20: Is San Jose the Best Bet? Sharks vs Canadiens Prediction Oct 20: Is San Jose the Best Bet?

Our Sharks vs. Canadiens prediction starts in the crease, because both teams turn to goaltenders playing better than their team numbers. San Jose visits Montreal on Tuesday night in the second half of a back-to-back, one night after a 3-1 loss in Toronto. The Canadiens sit at -205 on the moneyline with the total at 6.5, and neither line has moved off its opening number. We break down the goaltending, the schedule spot and the market before landing on two plays.

Last Updated: October 20, 2026

San Jose Sharks vs. Montreal Canadiens — Game Info

WhereBell Centre, Montreal Quebec
WhenOctober 20 – 7:00 PM ET
TVNBC Sports California, TSN2, RDS

San Jose Sharks vs. Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

Alex Nedeljkovic is expected to start for San Jose after Yaroslav Askarov made 29 saves in Toronto on Monday. Nedeljkovic is 2-0-1 with a 2.20 goals-against average and a .920 save percentage. Askarov sits at .865, so the switch is an upgrade rather than a drop-off. Montreal is projected to go back to Jacob Fowler, who is 3-1-0 with a 2.16 GAA and a .900 save percentage. His wins include a 1-0 shootout victory over Detroit. Fowler has started four of the last five games while Samuel Montembeault works back from a lower-body injury expected to cost about two weeks. Neither start is confirmed yet, so treat this read as provisional until morning skate.

The schedule spot is the other major input. San Jose lost 3-1 to the Maple Leafs on Monday and plays its fourth game in six nights. This is also the fourth stop on a six-game road trip. Montreal, meanwhile, has been off since a 4-3 overtime win over Buffalo on Saturday. We covered the Toronto stop in our Sharks vs. Maple Leafs prediction.

The records are identical in points. The Canadiens are 4-3-1, seventh in the Atlantic, and 3-2-0 at home. The Sharks are 4-4-1, fourth in the Pacific, and 1-3-1 in their last five. Every San Jose win has come after regulation. Montreal has only one regulation win of its own. The underlying numbers favor the hosts, though. MoneyPuck has Montreal controlling about 54% of expected goals at five-on-five, against roughly 44% for San Jose.

Special teams carry their own story. San Jose’s power play is converting 20% of its chances, while Montreal sits at 14.8%. The Canadiens have also been shorthanded more than four times per game. Montreal is still without Ivan Demidov, and Mike Matheson missed Monday’s practice. San Jose forward Alexander Wennberg left late in Toronto with an upper-body injury, and his status is unclear.

San Jose Sharks vs. Montreal Canadiens Odds

Puck LineMoneylineTotal
Sharks+1.5 (-135)+173O 6.5 (-117)
Canadiens-1.5 (+115)-205U 6.5 (-103)

Odds accurate as of October 20, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NHL Odds – Futures – Props

San Jose Sharks vs. Montreal Canadiens — Who Is the Public Betting?

Sharks60%40%Canadiens

See the latest NHL Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!

Sharks vs. Canadiens Prediction — Fourth Game in Six Nights for San Jose

Montreal has not won a game by more than one goal this season. Its four wins came by scores of 3-2, 1-0 in a shootout, 4-3 in a shootout and 4-3 in overtime. Six of its eight games have been decided by a single goal. San Jose plays the same way. Five of its nine games went past regulation, and all four of its wins needed overtime or a shootout. Add two goaltenders posting save percentages of .900 or better, and this projects as a tight game. Nedeljkovic has allowed two or three goals in each of his three starts. Fowler has allowed three or fewer in all four of his.

The market adds a quiet note. The Canadiens draw 92% of moneyline tickets, yet the price has sat at -205 since it opened. Heavy one-way action that fails to move a number can point to money on the other side. That is a possible signal rather than proof. Still, it lines up with the read that the gap between these teams is narrower than the price suggests. Meanwhile, 60% of puck line tickets sit on San Jose, with no movement either way.

The case against is real. Fatigue is a genuine risk in a fourth game in six nights, and Montreal holds a clear five-on-five edge. All four of San Jose’s regulation losses came by at least two goals, and the Toronto loss became a two-goal game on an empty-netter. An empty net in a one-goal third period is exactly how this position loses. However, the price of 57.4% break-even fits a team that keeps nearly every game close.

The Pick: Sharks +1.5 (-135)

Sharks vs. Canadiens Prediction — Celebrini’s Three Points Last Time at the Bell Centre

Macklin Celebrini had three points when San Jose won 4-2 in Montreal last March. He leads the Sharks with 11 points this season despite missing two games with an upper-body injury. He has 31 shots on goal in seven games, and he has reached four or more in four of them. He also logged nearly 22 minutes in Toronto, so his usage has not slipped.

The price asks for roughly a 41% hit rate, while his season rate sits well above that. On the other hand, Montreal allows fewer than 26 shots per game. Fatigue could also trim his shifts in the third period. Seven games is a small sample. Even so, a top-line center taking more than four shots per night offers a cushion at this number. If San Jose trails late, the extra-attacker minutes only add to his chances.

The Pick: Macklin Celebrini 4+ Shots on Target (+144)

Our Final Word on Sharks vs. Canadiens

We are passing on the total at 6.5. Montreal games have gone over that number in six of eight tries. The Canadiens also take plenty of penalties, and San Jose’s power play is converting at 20%. In contrast, Sharks games have topped 6.5 only four times in nine. Two goaltenders in form also argue for fewer goals than the Canadiens’ season numbers suggest. A shootout adds a goal to the final score, which helps the over in a game that could stay level. With the over priced at -117 and the under at -103, the market has the signals balanced about where we do.

Montreal is the better five-on-five team and has the rest advantage, so a Canadiens win would surprise no one. The price already reflects that. The puck line play leans on goaltending news, so confirm the starters before puck drop. A switch to Jakub Dobes, who sits at .842 this season, would weaken the case for the Sharks puck line. Take Sharks +1.5 at -135 because Montreal has yet to win a game by two or more goals. Take Macklin Celebrini 4+ shots on target at +144 because he has cleared that mark in four of his seven games.

NHL Sharks vs. Canadiens FAQ: October 20, 2026

What time does the Sharks vs. Canadiens game start?

The Sharks and Canadiens face off at 7:00 PM Eastern Time on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. That is 4:00 PM Pacific for fans following along in San Jose. It is the second game of a back-to-back for the Sharks, who played in Toronto on Monday night and arrive on short rest.

What channel is the Sharks vs. Canadiens game on?

The game airs on NBC Sports California for viewers in the Sharks’ home market. In Canada, the Canadiens broadcast is on TSN2 in English and RDS in French. All three listed broadcasts are regional team feeds rather than national telecasts, so coverage depends on where you live.

Where are the Sharks and Canadiens playing?

The Sharks and Canadiens play at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, home of the Canadiens. Montreal is 3-2-0 at home this season. The game is the fourth stop on a six-game road trip for San Jose, which continues in Ottawa on Thursday and Boston on Saturday.

Who won the last meeting between the Sharks and Canadiens?

The Sharks won the last meeting 4-2 at the Bell Centre on March 14, 2026. Macklin Celebrini led San Jose with a three-point night in that game. Tuesday’s game is the first meeting between the two teams this season, so the 2026-27 season series has not started yet.

Where do the Sharks and Canadiens stand in the standings?

The Canadiens are 4-3-1 and seventh in the Atlantic Division, while the Sharks are 4-4-1 and fourth in the Pacific Division. Both teams enter with nine points. San Jose has played one more game than Montreal and has lost three of its last five.

Is Ivan Demidov playing tonight?

No, Ivan Demidov is not expected to play for Montreal against the Sharks. The winger has been out with a lower-body injury that carried a two-to-four-week timeline in early October. He did not take part in Montreal’s practice on Monday, and his status was unchanged.