The Pittsburgh Steelers and New Orleans Saints make history on Sunday morning in the NFL Paris Game, the league’s first regular-season game in France. Pittsburgh arrives at 4-2 after a wild overtime comeback in Tampa, while New Orleans sits at 2-4 after snapping a three-game skid against the Giants. The market has moved toward the Steelers all week, pushing them to -3 with a total of 43. Below, we break down both teams, the line movement, and our best bets on the side and the total.
Last Updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Preview
Pittsburgh’s last outing showed both its flaws and its resilience. The Steelers trailed Tampa Bay 16-3 entering the fourth quarter, then rallied to win 26-19 in overtime. Aaron Rodgers threw two late touchdown passes, including the winner to rookie Germie Bernard. However, Rodgers also absorbed five sacks in the first three quarters. That win was Pittsburgh’s first on the road after an 0-2 start away from home.
New Orleans is trending up, too. The Saints trailed the Giants 10-0 late in the first half, then scored 34 straight points in a 34-27 road win. Tyler Shough threw three touchdown passes and ran for another. Meanwhile, cornerback Martin Emerson Jr. grabbed two interceptions. Still, New Orleans sits third in the NFC South and has not won consecutive games this season.
Quarterback health matters on the Saints’ side. Shough is playing through broken bones in his left, non-throwing hand, but he was a full participant Friday and carries no game designation. Rodgers is not on Pittsburgh’s report. The Steelers have ruled out cornerback Brandin Echols and receiver Ben Skowronek, according to the team’s final Week 7 injury report. Running back Rico Dowdle and safety DeShon Elliott are questionable. For New Orleans, guard Cesar Ruiz and defensive lineman Nathan Shepherd are questionable. Pittsburgh also did not practice Friday after arriving in France.
These teams last met on November 13, 2022, when the Steelers won 20-10. As a subplot, Saints coach Kellen Moore once served as offensive coordinator in Dallas under Steelers coach Mike McCarthy.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | -3 (-110) | -165 | O 43 (-110) |
| Saints | +3 (-110) | +140 | U 43 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of October 25, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NFL Odds – Futures – Props
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Steelers | 48% | 52% | Saints |
See the latest NFL Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Steelers vs. Saints Prediction — Is the Key Number Worth Laying?
This line opened with Pittsburgh at -2.5 and -140 on the moneyline. It now sits at -3, with the moneyline stretched to -165. That is a meaningful move, since 3 is the most important number in NFL spread betting. Interestingly, spread tickets are close to even, with 48% on the Steelers and 52% on the Saints. When a line climbs onto the key number without a public rush on the favorite, the movement deserves respect.
The matchup supports the move. New Orleans ranks 30th in rushing yards allowed and has given up 29.7 points per game, tied for worst in the league. Pittsburgh can lean on Jaylen Warren and the ground game to grind out yards and keep its own offensive line out of obvious passing downs. In addition, a pass rush led by T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith gets a quarterback playing through a hand injury. Shough has thrown 12 touchdowns, but he has rarely faced a front this disruptive.
The case against Pittsburgh is real, though. The Saints have scored 25.3 points per game, and Chris Olave remains a dangerous target. The Steelers’ offensive line struggled badly in Tampa. Moreover, Pittsburgh lost its Friday practice, and the early kickoff adds an unusual body-clock factor for both clubs. A late Saints field goal could easily land this game on the number. Even so, the defensive gap between these teams is the deciding factor.
The Pick: Steelers -3 (-110)
Steelers vs. Saints Prediction — Will Pittsburgh Control the Clock in Paris?
The total opened at 44.5 and has dropped to 43, so the market is leaning low. Pittsburgh’s likely game plan feeds that view. A run-first approach against a leaky Saints front shortens the game and limits possessions. On the other side, Shough has said his injured hand mainly affects handoffs, which could limit how freely New Orleans runs its offense. The Steelers’ secondary also showed it can force turnovers, picking off two passes in Tampa.
Still, the over has a clear argument. New Orleans’ defense has been porous, and Rodgers just led two touchdown drives in the fourth quarter and overtime in Tampa. The Saints have also shown they can score in bunches, as their 34-point run in New Jersey proved. If the game turns into a shootout early, 43 could fall quickly. On balance, however, a neutral-site morning kickoff and a ball-control script point to a lower-scoring game.
The Pick: Under 43 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
The moneyline does not offer much extra value. Pittsburgh at -165 implies roughly a 62.3% win probability, which is fair for a team with the better defense and the more stable quarterback situation. New Orleans at +140 implies about 41.7%, and the Saints have not yet shown they can string wins together. For that reason, we are sticking with the spread and the total.
For more of our recent NFL analysis, see our Patriots vs. Bears prediction from last Thursday. Here is a recap of our picks for the first NFL game in Paris:
- Steelers -3 (-110)
- Under 43 (-110)
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Stade de France, Paris, France |
| When | Sunday, October 25 – 9:30 AM ET |
| TV | NFL Network |
NFL Steelers vs. Saints FAQ: Sunday October 25, 2026
What time does the Steelers vs. Saints game start?
The Steelers vs. Saints game kicks off at 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, October 25, 2026, which is 2:30 PM local time in Paris. The early start is part of the NFL Paris Game, the league’s first regular-season contest in France.
What channel is the Steelers vs. Saints game on?
The Steelers vs. Saints game airs nationally on NFL Network. In New Orleans, the game also airs locally on WDSU. Fans who prefer streaming can watch through an NFL+ subscription, subject to its viewing terms.
Where are the Steelers and Saints playing?
The Steelers and Saints are playing at Stade de France in the Paris area, with the Saints serving as the designated home team. It is the first NFL regular-season game ever played in France.
Who won the last meeting between the Steelers and Saints?
The Steelers won the last meeting between these teams, beating the Saints 20-10 on November 13, 2022. That Week 10 game was the most recent regular-season matchup before this trip to Paris. Sunday’s game marks the first time the two franchises have met in nearly four years.
Who is starting at quarterback for the Steelers and Saints?
Aaron Rodgers starts at quarterback for the Steelers, and Tyler Shough starts for the Saints. Rodgers is not on Pittsburgh’s injury report. Shough is playing through broken bones in his left, non-throwing hand, but he practiced fully on Friday and carries no game designation for Sunday’s matchup in Paris.