The Green Bay Packers visit MetLife Stadium on Sunday as a road favorite, but the betting market is telling two stories at once. Green Bay is laying 3 points after opening at 4, and the Packers moneyline has shortened from -210 to -170. Meanwhile, roughly four out of five spread tickets sit on Green Bay. When the public piles onto one side and the number moves the other way, that is worth a closer look. Our headline play leans into that gap.
Last Updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Jets — Time & How to Watch
| Where | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ |
| When | Sunday, September 20 – 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Jets Betting Preview
Green Bay is 0-1 and last in the NFC North after a 39-22 loss at Minnesota. The Packers led 22-10, then watched the Vikings pour in 22 unanswered fourth-quarter points. Jordan Love went 21-of-42 for 387 yards and two touchdowns, and Christian Watson turned six catches into 147 yards and two scores. Still, Green Bay ran for only 66 yards and turned the ball over twice late. The yardage was there. The finish was not.
New York is 1-0 and second in the AFC East behind Buffalo, per the NFL’s current division standings. The Jets won 23-10 at Tennessee with a formula that has nothing to do with fireworks. They held the ball for 38:46 and outgained the Titans 367-195. Breece Hall carried 22 times for 102 yards and a score. Geno Smith, in his first Jets start since 2016, went 19-of-24 for 215 yards. Tennessee is also covered in our Eagles vs. Titans odds breakdown, so opponent quality is a fair question.
The injury sheets matter here. Green Bay ruled out defensive linemen Javon Hargrave and Warren Brinson, while edge rusher Lukas Van Ness cleared concussion protocol. Guard Aaron Banks, tackle Zach Bako-Bewele and cornerback Benjamin St-Juste are questionable, per the team’s Week 2 injury report. New York is without safety Minkah Fitzpatrick, edge rusher Joseph Ossai, receiver Omar Cooper Jr. and running back Kene Nwangwu. Edge rusher Will McDonald IV is questionable. Both front sevens are thinner than a week ago.
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Jets Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | -3 (-110) | -170 | U 44.5 (-110) |
| Jets | +3 (-110) | +145 | O 44.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of September 20, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NFL Odds – Futures – Props
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Jets — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Packers | 78% | 22% | Jets |
See the latest NFL Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Packers vs. Jets Prediction — Can a Banged-Up Favorite Hold a Short Number?
Start with the disagreement inside the market. Green Bay opened at -4 and is now -3, and the Packers moneyline came in from -210 to -170. Those are moves toward New York. Yet 78 percent of spread tickets are on Green Bay. Lopsided ticket counts paired with a line drifting the other way usually means the sharper money disagrees with the crowd. That signal is worth respecting on a three-point number.
The structural case for New York sits up front. Green Bay’s offensive line is banged up at guard and tackle, and Love spent much of Week 1 throwing under duress. The Jets’ defensive front was the best unit on the field in Tennessee. Add a home opener and a run game that chewed up nearly 39 minutes of clock, and New York has a credible path to keeping this inside a field goal. Hall against a Green Bay front missing two interior linemen is a real edge.
The case against is straightforward. Green Bay is the more talented roster and produced 419 total yards in Minnesota. Love has the arm to attack a Jets secondary without Fitzpatrick, and Watson is running past people. A one-score road win is what a frustrated favorite often delivers. The counter is price, not talent: at this number, the underdog is getting paid for a scenario that looks live rather than lucky.
The Pick: Jets +3 (-110)
Packers vs. Jets Prediction — Will the Clock or the Scoreboard Win This One?
The total opened at 45 and has ticked to 44.5, another small nudge worth noting. New York’s Week 1 blueprint was built to shrink games. The Jets ran 22 times with Hall, held possession for 38:46 and asked Smith to throw only 24 times. If that script repeats, Green Bay gets fewer cracks at the end zone, and the Packers ran for just 66 yards a week ago. Fewer possessions is the most reliable path to a low-scoring game.
The other side is obvious. These teams combined for 94 points across their openers, and Love just threw for 387 yards. A Jets secondary without Fitzpatrick could give up chunk plays to Watson and Matthew Golden, and Green Bay’s fourth-quarter collapse showed a defense that can be moved late. If the Packers score early and force New York out of the run, pace picks up fast. That risk is real, but the clock-control profile and the line movement point the other way.
The Pick: Under 44.5 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
There is history worth a mention. The Jets lead the all-time series 9-5 and won the last meeting 27-10 at Lambeau Field in 2022. Treat that as flavor, not evidence. The more useful context is what New York did in the season opener in Nashville: a possession-heavy, low-variance win.
If you want leverage on the same read, the Jets moneyline is the natural extension. At +145, the market implies roughly a 41 percent chance New York wins outright. For a home underdog of less than a field goal, that price is defensible. The risk is real: a push that saves the spread ticket loses the moneyline, so size it smaller than the side. For more of Sunday’s slate, see our latest NFL odds coverage.
Bonus Angle: Jets Moneyline +145
All picks for this game: Jets +3 (-110), Under 44.5 (-110), and Jets moneyline +145.
NFL Packers vs. Jets FAQ: Sunday September 20, 2026
What time does the Packers vs. Jets game start?
Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, September 20, 2026, which is noon Central time. The game is New York’s home opener and sits in the early Sunday afternoon window in Week 2 of the NFL regular season.
What channel is the Packers vs. Jets game on?
FOX has the broadcast. Kenny Albert handles play-by-play with Jonathan Vilma as analyst and Jennifer Hale reporting from the sideline. Coverage is regional, so availability depends on whether your local market is assigned this game.
Where are the Packers and Jets playing?
The game is at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, the Jets’ home venue. It is New York’s first home game of the 2026 season after opening on the road at Tennessee. Green Bay travels east after its Week 1 game in Minnesota.
Who is starting at quarterback for the Packers and Jets?
Jordan Love starts for Green Bay and Geno Smith starts for New York. Love threw for 387 yards and two touchdowns in Week 1. Smith completed 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards against Tennessee in his first start for the Jets since 2016.
Where do the Packers and Jets stand in their divisions?
Green Bay is 0-1 and last in the NFC North, behind Minnesota, Chicago and Detroit. New York is 1-0 and second in the AFC East, trailing only Buffalo at 2-0. New England and Miami are both 0-1 in the division.