Lynx vs Sun Prediction September 20: Can Lynx Cover Huge Road Spread?

Lynx vs Sun Prediction September 20: Can Lynx Cover Huge Road Spread? Lynx vs Sun Prediction September 20: Can Lynx Cover Huge Road Spread?

The Minnesota Lynx close out their road schedule at Mohegan Sun Arena on Sunday afternoon, and the number attached to it is enormous by WNBA standards. Minnesota is a heavy favorite over a Connecticut Sun side that has lost four straight, including a 103-59 beating at Atlanta on Thursday. However, the Lynx arrive on a three-game skid of their own, and their offense has not looked like a No. 1 seed’s offense since the international break. That tension shapes both plays below.

Last Updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026

Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun — Time & How to Watch

WhereMohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville CT
WhenSunday, September 20 – 1:00 p.m. ET
TVNBC Sports Boston

Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun Betting Preview

Minnesota enters at 31-10, the best record in the WNBA. Golden State sits one game back at 30-11, so seeding is still live. Two more wins in any combination secure the top seed and home court through the postseason. Cheryl Reeve’s group has not made that easy on itself. The Lynx have dropped three straight, losing at home to Golden State on August 24, falling at Atlanta on August 30, then dropping a 93-81 decision to the New York Liberty at Target Center on Friday night, a game we broke down in our recent Lynx coverage.

Connecticut is 10-31 and long since eliminated. Thursday’s 103-59 loss at Atlanta was as ugly as the season has looked. Olivia Nelson-Ododa led the team with 13 points, which says plenty about the offense. Brittney Griner has been in and out of the lineup since hurting her left knee in July, and she did not play Thursday. Rachid Meziane has leaned on Nelson-Ododa, Aaliyah Edwards and Aneesah Morrow since.

The head-to-head history complicates things. These clubs split two July meetings. Connecticut won 90-89 in Minneapolis on July 6, then lost 86-80 at Mohegan Sun two days later. Sunday is also the last regular-season game these franchises will ever play against each other. The league approved the sale of the Sun in a deal that moves the club to Houston for 2027, and Connecticut is marking the afternoon with a Homecoming Night celebration.

The market has already moved. The spread opened at 16.5 and now sits at 17.5, while the total ticked from 167 down to 166.5. Meanwhile, the spread splits are close to even at 58 percent on Minnesota. The number climbed without a wave of public money behind it. The moneyline splits differ sharply, with 93 percent of tickets on the Lynx. For more on the team chasing Minnesota, see our latest WNBA picks coverage.

Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun Odds

SpreadMoneylineTotal
Lynx-17.5 (-105)-2200U 166.5 (-110)
Sun+17.5 (-115)+1000O 166.5 (-110)

Odds accurate as of Sunday, September 20, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA OddsFuturesProps

Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun — Who Is the Public Betting?

Lynx58%42%Sun

See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!

Lynx vs. Sun Prediction — Is Minnesota Still Capable of a Blowout?

The case for Minnesota is straightforward. Connecticut lost by 44 three days ago, has nothing left to play for, and is short-handed. The Lynx need wins to secure the top seed, and a contender stuck on a three-game skid usually looks for the softest landing spot. Connecticut is that landing spot.

The case against is about scoring. Minnesota managed 81 points on Friday and has struggled from outside since the break. Covering a margin this large means reaching the mid-90s while holding the other side in the 70s. That is a specific outcome, not a default one.

Context matters too. Minnesota tips at 1:00 p.m. ET after a Friday night home game, then faces Indiana twice inside four days with seeding on the line. Minutes management is a live risk. In contrast, the Sun are home for an emotional afternoon and already beat this opponent by a point in Minneapolis this season. Still, emotion fades fast when a roster is this thin.

The Pick: Sun +17.5 (-115)

Lynx vs. Sun Prediction — Will Two Cold Offenses Slow This Down?

The July meetings are the cleanest guide. The first produced 179 combined points in a one-point finish. The second landed on 166 combined at this same arena. Since then, both offenses have cooled. Connecticut managed 59 points on Thursday, and the Sun have not shown a half-court attack capable of carrying scoring on their own. Minnesota’s 81 points on Friday point the same direction.

There is still a real path the other way. Lopsided WNBA games produce loose fourth quarters, and if the Lynx pull away early, bench units tend to play at pace and trade baskets. A hot shooting start from Minnesota changes the math quickly. The counterweight is that a favorite in a scoring slump rarely runs up a scoreboard alone.

The Pick: Under 166.5 (-110)

Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle

One more angle for players who like small-stake longshots. Only 7 percent of moneyline tickets sit on the home side, about as lopsided as it gets. The argument for a sprinkle is narrow but real: this Sun roster already beat this Lynx roster outright in July, on the road, by a single point. The argument against is equally clear. Connecticut has lost four straight, most of them badly, and a 10-31 team beating the league’s best side is a low-probability outcome. Treat it as a flier, not a core position.

The Bonus Pick: Sun +1000 (Moneyline)

Recapping the card: Sun +17.5 (-115) is the featured play, Under 166.5 (-110) is the total, and Sun +1000 is an optional small-stake add.

WNBA Lynx vs. Sun FAQ: Sunday September 20, 2026

What time does the Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun game start?

Tip-off is set for 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, September 20, 2026. It is a matinee start rather than the Sun’s usual evening slot, and it follows Minnesota’s Friday night home game against the New York Liberty.

What channel is the Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun game on?

The game airs on NBC Sports Boston, the regional television home of Connecticut Sun broadcasts. Coverage begins around the 1:00 p.m. ET tip-off. Viewers outside that regional footprint should check local listings, because WNBA broadcast rights vary by market and by package.

Where are the Minnesota Lynx and Connecticut Sun playing today?

The game is at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut, the Sun’s home venue. Connecticut is pairing the afternoon with a Homecoming Night celebration honoring players, coaches and contributors from more than two decades of Sun basketball. It is one of the franchise’s final home dates in Connecticut.

Who won the last meeting between the Minnesota Lynx and Connecticut Sun?

Minnesota won the last meeting 86-80 at Mohegan Sun Arena on July 8, 2026. That result evened the season series at 1-1, because Connecticut had taken the first meeting 90-89 in Minneapolis two days earlier. Sunday is the third and final meeting of the season.

Where do the Minnesota Lynx and Connecticut Sun stand in the WNBA standings?

Minnesota is 31-10 and holds the best record in the WNBA, one game ahead of Golden State at 30-11. Connecticut is 10-31, seventh in the Eastern Conference, and has already been eliminated from playoff contention. Both teams have three regular-season games left.