Packers vs Cowboys SGP — Sunday Night Football Picks

Our Packers vs Cowboys same game parlay targets correlated angles for Sunday Night Football: a game script that keeps Green Bay within one score while Dallas leans on red-zone efficiency and pass rush. Below, we outline a 3–4 leg SGP with buy ranges, plus alternate ladders if the market shifts on game day.

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SNF SGP — Core Build (3–4 Legs)

1) Packers +7.5 (or Alt +7)

• Buy range: +7 to +7.5 (standard juice to -120).
• Why it fits: SNF spreads often hover on 7; Green Bay’s passing script keeps the backdoor live against prevent looks.

2) Cowboys Team Total Over 20.5 (alt band 20.5–24.5)

• Buy range: 20.5 to 24.5 depending on price; prioritize a number that covers 2 TD + 2 FGs baseline.
• Why it fits: Red-zone efficiency and scripted opening drives support 21+ in most positive scripts.

3) QB Passing Yards — Over (choose the better price/line pre-kick)

• Buy range: 230.5–255.5 on either quarterback, whichever offers the softer number and price.
• Why it fits: If Dallas scores 21+, Green Bay throws more; alternatively, if GB starts hot, DAL responds through the air.

4) Any-Time TD — WR/TE (value band)

• Buy range: +140 to +240 for a primary red-zone option (WR1/TE1 route share ≥ 60%).
• Why it fits: Correlates with the team-total leg and passing volume; shop for best price across books.

Alternates & Ladder Ideas (Optional)

• Alt Spread Ladder: GB +10.5 (safer) or GB +3.5 (risk-on) depending on pre-kick movement.
• Alt Receiving Yards: WR/TE 60+ / 80+ tiers for partial units if coverage matchups look favorable.
• 1H Angles: If full-game stalls at DAL -7, consider DAL 1H ML + GB full-game +7.5 in separate SGP variants.

Correlation & Risk Management

• Build logic: Dog + team-total Over aligns when the favorite scores but the dog answers via pass volume.
• Inactives check (90 mins pre-kick): Confirm WR/CB/OL statuses; move off a TD leg if red-zone role is compromised.
• Bankroll: Keep SGPs to small stakes (0.25–0.5u). They’re high variance even with correlation.

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